Malibu Boats, Inc. (MBUU)
Valuation Overview•Is Malibu Boats, Inc. Overvalued or Undervalued?
Commands a premium valuation multiple over its peers, likely pricing in superior execution.
Moderate quality score of 50/100, reflecting stable operating margins and manageable leverage.
Analysts remain bullish, forecasting further upside expansion with consensus targets suggesting solid gains.
Verdict: Average quality business weighed down by significant profitability concerns.
Wall Street is highly bullish, projecting significant upside alongside robust expected earnings growth. This outlook is strongly supported by highly attractive capital returns, driven predominantly by aggressive share repurchases.
Returns capital exclusively via buybacks — no active dividend
MBUU struggles with subpar profitability and pressured margins. This is backed by a fortress balance sheet, holding significant net cash ($12M) and minimal debt risk.
The company is facing top-line contraction (-12.7% 3Y CAGR) however, earnings have severely contracted over the same period. However, profitability remains a major concern with severely compressed operating margins (0.1%).
| Financial Metric | Trend (12Q) | Latest Qtr | 1Y Growth | 3Y CAGR | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $235.7M | -2.6% | -12.7% | +4.3% | +13.5% | |
| EBITDA | $9.3M | — | -36.9% | — | — | |
| Net Income | -$2.4M | +126.6% | -54.5% | — | +0.1% | |
| EPS (Diluted) | $-0.13 | +127.7% | -53.4% | -23.8% | -2.0% | |
| Free Cash Flow | $15.5M | +240.1% | -36.1% | -11.6% | — |
| Metric | TTM | 3Y Avg | 5Y Avg | 10Y Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Margin | 15.0% | 20.3% | 22.4% | 23.6% |
| Operating Margin | 0.1% | 2.1% | 8.0% | 11.0% |
| Net Margin | -0.1% | 0.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% |
| FCF Margin | 4.8% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 7.8% |
| Quarter | EPS Est. | EPS Act. | Surprise | EPS | Rev |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2'26Latest | $0.29 | $0.56 | +93.1% | ||
| Q1'26 | $-0.03 | $-0.02 | +33.3% | ||
| Q4'25 | $0.06 | $0.15 | +150.0% | ||
| Q3'25 | $0.46 | $0.42 | -8.7% | ||
| Q2'25 | $0.67 | $0.72 | +7.5% | ||
| Q1'25 | $0.21 | $0.31 | +47.6% | ||
| Q4'24 | $-0.08 | $0.08 | +198.5% | ||
| Q3'24 | $-0.31 | $-0.39 | -25.8% |
Total return is -13.8% (1Y), lagging the benchmark by -38.8%
| Period | Total Return | vs S&P 500 (Alpha) | Dividend Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| YTD | -4.8% | -14.1% | — |
| 1Y | -13.8% | -38.8% | — |
| 3YCAGR | -22.2% | -42.0% | — |
| 5YCAGR | -17.6% | -30.1% | — |
| 10YCAGR | +6.9% | -6.9% | — |
The S&P 500 is at 31.3x trailing P/E — Expensive relative to historical averages.
Quick answers to common questions about Malibu Boats, Inc. (MBUU) valuation, health, and returns.
Based on peer relative multiples, Malibu Boats, Inc. appears Slightly expensive versus peers compared to industry peers.
Malibu Boats, Inc. has multiple valuation anchors: Peer Relative Fair Value: $24.67 | Wall Street Analyst Target: $31.67 (implying +16.2% upside). A convergence of these signals offers higher conviction.
Malibu Boats, Inc. displays fair financial health with a composite quality score of 50/100, supported by a Altman Z-Score of 3.6 (safe zone), Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) of 3.2%.
Malibu Boats, Inc. returns capital via buybacks instead of dividends, carrying a 6.7% buyback yield and reducing outstanding shares by -3.6% in the last 12 months.
Malibu Boats, Inc.'s current growth trajectory is Accelerating. The company achieved -2.6% 1Y revenue growth and +127.7% 1Y EPS growth, compared to its 3Y revenue CAGR of -12.7%.
Wall Street consensus is Buy based on 16 analysts, beating EPS expectations in 83% of recent quarters with a 3-quarter streak. The consensus price target represents a +16.2% change from current levels.
Investment risks for Malibu Boats, Inc. include: -39.4% 1-year max drawdown, high beta (1.61x market volatility). Volatility risk is characterized by a beta of 1.61x.
No. These computations are purely quantitative model outputs for informational purposes. They do not account for qualitative management shifts or macro events. Always consult a licensed RIA before buying or selling shares.
Disclaimer: This page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All valuation models, scores, and target estimates are automated computations under stated assumptions and should not be relied upon as the sole basis for any investment decision.