Nexxen International Ltd. (NEXN)
Valuation Overview•Is Nexxen International Ltd. Overvalued or Undervalued?
Trading at a relative discount to industry peers, suggesting a specific risk premium is applied.
Moderate quality score of 65/100, reflecting stable operating margins and manageable leverage.
Analysts remain bullish, forecasting further upside expansion with consensus targets suggesting solid gains.
Verdict: Solid fundamental quality, though profitability presents a headwind.
Wall Street is highly bullish, projecting significant upside alongside robust expected earnings growth. This outlook is strongly supported by highly attractive capital returns, driven predominantly by aggressive share repurchases.
Returns capital exclusively via buybacks — no active dividend
NEXN demonstrates adequate business quality with stable profitability. This is backed by a fortress balance sheet, holding significant net cash ($101M) and minimal debt risk.
The company exhibits steady, low-single-digit revenue growth paired with robust earnings compounding (11.0% EPS 3Y CAGR). Operating efficiency remains adequate with margins around 6.5%.
| Financial Metric | Trend (12Q) | Latest Qtr | 1Y Growth | 3Y CAGR | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $86.8M | -0.2% | +2.9% | +11.5% | +17.0% | |
| EBITDA | $11.5M | — | +0.7% | — | — | |
| Net Income | -$5.3M | -29.3% | +3.3% | — | +27.8% | |
| EPS (Diluted) | $-0.09 | -19.6% | +11.0% | +67.8% | +28.7% | |
| Free Cash Flow | -$29.3M | -23.0% | +13.0% | +27.0% | — |
| Metric | TTM | 3Y Avg | 5Y Avg | 10Y Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Margin | 83.9% | 83.2% | 82.1% | 64.0% |
| Operating Margin | 6.5% | 5.0% | 10.4% | 8.4% |
| Net Margin | 4.8% | 3.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% |
| FCF Margin | 15.4% | 24.7% | 28.3% | 20.9% |
| Quarter | EPS Est. | EPS Act. | Surprise | EPS | Rev |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2'26Latest | $0.04 | $0.06 | +50.0% | ||
| Q1'26 | $0.27 | $0.33 | +22.2% | ||
| Q4'25 | $0.22 | $0.20 | -9.1% | ||
| Q3'25 | $0.19 | $0.29 | +52.6% | ||
| Q2'25 | $0.06 | $0.16 | +166.7% | ||
| Q1'25 | $0.32 | $0.48 | +50.0% | ||
| Q4'24 | $0.11 | $0.14 | +27.3% | ||
| Q3'24 | $0.09 | $0.09 | +0.0% |
Total return is -14.4% (1Y), lagging the benchmark by -35.2%
| Period | Total Return | vs S&P 500 (Alpha) | Dividend Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| YTD | +35.4% | +28.1% | — |
| 1Y | -14.4% | -35.2% | — |
| 3YCAGR | +7.8% | -11.4% | — |
| 5YCAGR | -14.6% | -25.3% | — |
| 10YCAGR | -7.1% | -20.7% | — |
The S&P 500 is at 30.6x trailing P/E — Expensive relative to historical averages.
Quick answers to common questions about Nexxen International Ltd. (NEXN) valuation, health, and returns.
Based on peer relative multiples, Nexxen International Ltd. appears Cheap versus peers compared to industry peers.
Nexxen International Ltd. has multiple valuation anchors: Peer Relative Fair Value: $17.12 | Wall Street Analyst Target: $10.75 (implying +24.1% upside). A convergence of these signals offers higher conviction.
Nexxen International Ltd. displays good financial health with a composite quality score of 65/100, supported by a Altman Z-Score of 2.1 (grey zone), Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) of 6.5%.
Nexxen International Ltd. returns capital via buybacks instead of dividends, carrying a 21.1% buyback yield and reducing outstanding shares by -12.9% in the last 12 months.
Nexxen International Ltd.'s current growth trajectory is Decelerating. The company achieved -0.2% 1Y revenue growth and -19.6% 1Y EPS growth, compared to its 3Y revenue CAGR of +2.9%.
Wall Street consensus is Buy based on 11 analysts, beating EPS expectations in 67% of recent quarters with a 2-quarter streak. The consensus price target represents a +24.1% change from current levels.
Investment risks for Nexxen International Ltd. include: -50.6% 1-year max drawdown. Volatility risk is characterized by a beta of 0.94x.
No. These computations are purely quantitative model outputs for informational purposes. They do not account for qualitative management shifts or macro events. Always consult a licensed RIA before buying or selling shares.
Disclaimer: This page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All valuation models, scores, and target estimates are automated computations under stated assumptions and should not be relied upon as the sole basis for any investment decision.