MODEL VERDICT
Priority Technology Holdings, Inc. (PRTH) — Relative Valuation
Peer multiples, Monte Carlo simulation & quality-adjusted fair value
Popular:
Peer multiples, Monte Carlo simulation & quality-adjusted fair value
Composite score derived from valuation, quality, and risk factors
Quantitative model thresholds · For educational and research purposes only
Each row records the model's monthly assessment. High Conviction = the model detected notable undervaluation vs peers. Neutral = no notable divergence was found. The return column shows the actual price change over 90 days for reference. This is a quantitative observation log — not investment advice.
| Date | Assessment | Score | Price | Status | 90d Fwd Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.67 | $5.55 | CURRENT | — |
| Feb 21, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.67 | $5.51 | CURRENT | — |
| Feb 14, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.67 | $5.39 | CURRENT | — |
| Feb 11, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.68 | $5.47 | CURRENT | — |
| Jan 11, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.68 | $5.91 | Pending | -4.7% |
Historical model observations for research purposes only. Past quantitative patterns do not predict future results. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.
| Methodology | Fair Value | vs Current | Weight | Quality | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forward P/E 71 analyst estimates | $17.46 | +214.6% | 20% | A- | Analyst Est. |
| EV/EBITDA 55 industry peers | $31.69 | +471.0% | 20% | A- | Peer Data |
| Price / Free Cash Flow 67 industry peers | $12.29 | +121.4% | 15% | B+ | Peer Data |
| EV/EBIT 51 industry peers | $20.07 | +261.6% | 8% | B+ | Peer Data |
| EV/FCF 68 industry peers | $2.00 | -64.0% | 7% | B | Model Driven |
| EV To Revenue 78 industry peers | $27.79 | +400.7% | 4% | B | Data |
| Price / Sales 79 industry peers | $34.65 | +524.3% | 3% | B | Model Driven |
| FCF Yield 67 industry peers | $12.75 | +129.7% | 1% | B | Data |
| Weighted Output Blended model output | $20.97 | +277.9% | 100% | 75 | SIGNIFICANTLY UNDERVALUED |
Cross-sectional regression predicting expected multiples based on growth, margins, ROIC, and beta.
| Multiple | Avg | Median | Min | Max | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EV/EBIT | 36.70 | 17.59 | 6.64 | 91.85 | 35.60 |
| EV/EBITDA | 12.33 | 13.28 | 5.86 | 22.25 | 5.40 |
| P/FCF | 31.71 | 11.15 | 4.65 | 99.88 | 45.63 |
| P/FFO | 24.74 | 9.96 | 4.16 | 104.89 | 36.37 |
| P/AFFO | 9.98 | 8.29 | 6.08 | 15.18 | 3.68 |
| P/B Ratio | 3.02 | 3.10 | 2.48 | 3.49 | 0.51 |
| Div Yield | 0.04 | 0.03 | 0.01 | 0.09 | 0.03 |
| P/S Ratio | 0.83 | 0.99 | 0.37 | 1.17 | 0.34 |
Based on our peer multiples analysis with 20 valuation metrics, the model estimates PRTH's fair value at $20.97 vs the current price of $5.55, implying +277.9% upside potential. Model verdict: Significantly Undervalued. Confidence: 75/100. This is a quantitative estimate, not a recommendation.
The blended fair value of $20.97 is calculated using four lenses: industry median multiples (40%), historical multiples (30%), forward estimates (20%), and quality-adjusted multiples (10%). Monte Carlo simulation (10,000 iterations) gives a range of $15.12 (P10) to $29.75 (P90), with a median of $22.09.
PRTH's current P/E of -17.9x compares to the industry median of 23.0x (45 peers in the group). This represents a -177.9% discount to the industry. The historical average P/E is N/Ax over 0 years. Signal: Deep Discount.
3 analysts cover PRTH with a consensus rating of Buy. The consensus price target is $11.00 (range: $11.00 — $11.00), implying +98.2% upside from the current price. Grade breakdown: Strong Buy (0), Buy (2), Hold (1), Sell (0), Strong Sell (0).
The model confidence score is 75/100, based on: data completeness (21), peer quality (25), historical depth (20), earnings stability (5), and model agreement (4). Cyclicality penalty: -0 points. The model shows strong agreement across inputs.
The model flags several key risks: (1) Macro/regulatory risks are not captured in this model but remain material.
Peak earnings risk data is not available for PRTH.
No. This dashboard is a quantitative research tool for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. The operator of this platform is not a registered investment advisor (RIA), broker-dealer, or financial planner. All model outputs, fair value estimates, signals, and scenarios are the result of automated quantitative computations and should not be construed as professional financial guidance. You should consult a qualified, licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past model performance is not indicative of future results.