MODEL VERDICT
Silence Therapeutics plc (SLN) — Relative Valuation
Peer multiples, Monte Carlo simulation & quality-adjusted fair value
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Peer multiples, Monte Carlo simulation & quality-adjusted fair value
Composite score derived from valuation, quality, and risk factors
Quantitative model thresholds · For educational and research purposes only
| Methodology | Fair Value | vs Current | Weight | Quality | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EV To Revenue 182 industry peers | $22.38 | +396.2% | 4% | B | Data |
| Price / Sales 184 industry peers | $13.64 | +202.4% | 3% | B | Model Driven |
| Weighted Output Blended model output | $27.92 | +519.1% | 100% | 54 | SIGNIFICANTLY UNDERVALUED |
Cross-sectional regression predicting expected multiples based on growth, margins, ROIC, and beta.
| Multiple | Avg | Median | Min | Max | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/TBV | 292.71 | 18.43 | 0.85 | 778.40 | 389.12 |
| P/B Ratio | 33.45 | 9.77 | 0.79 | 83.08 | 38.21 |
| P/S Ratio | 37.00 | 8.46 | 2.45 | 109.45 | 46.17 |
Based on our peer multiples analysis with 5 valuation metrics, the model estimates SLN's fair value at $27.92 vs the current price of $4.51, implying +519.1% upside potential. Model verdict: Significantly Undervalued. Confidence: 54/100. This is a quantitative estimate, not a recommendation.
The blended fair value of $27.92 is calculated using four lenses: industry median multiples (40%), historical multiples (30%), forward estimates (20%), and quality-adjusted multiples (10%). Monte Carlo simulation (10,000 iterations) gives a range of $13.77 (P10) to $46.81 (P90), with a median of $27.41.
SLN's current P/E of -1.4x compares to the industry median of 23.5x (45 peers in the group). This represents a -106.0% discount to the industry. The historical average P/E is N/Ax over 0 years. Signal: Deep Discount.
5 analysts cover SLN with a consensus rating of Buy. The consensus price target is $57.00 (range: $49.00 — $67.00), implying +1163.9% upside from the current price. Grade breakdown: Strong Buy (0), Buy (4), Hold (0), Sell (1), Strong Sell (0).
The model confidence score is 54/100, based on: data completeness (6), peer quality (25), historical depth (16), earnings stability (5), and model agreement (2). Cyclicality penalty: -0 points. The model shows moderate agreement across inputs.
The model flags several key risks: (1) Macro/regulatory risks are not captured in this model but remain material.
Peak earnings risk data is not available for SLN.
No. This dashboard is a quantitative research tool for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. The operator of this platform is not a registered investment advisor (RIA), broker-dealer, or financial planner. All model outputs, fair value estimates, signals, and scenarios are the result of automated quantitative computations and should not be construed as professional financial guidance. You should consult a qualified, licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past model performance is not indicative of future results.