Intrinsic Value (DCF)
Current$31.49
→
Intrinsic$80.99
+157%
$54.68$80.99$130.94
Market implies 1% growth for 5 years
DCF analysis suggests TDC could have 157% upside at 20% growth — verify assumptions match your view.
At $31, the market prices in only 1% growth — below historical 20%, suggesting low expectations.
Range: Bear $55 → Bull $131. Current price implies expectations below the bear case — very conservative expectations.
| Discount ↓Growth → | 16% | 18% | 20% | 22% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8% | $99 | $107 | $116 | $126 |
| 10% | $69 | $75 | $81 | $88 |
| 12% | $53 | $57 | $61 | $66 |
| 14% | $42 | $45 | $49 | $53 |
Bull Case
- Bull case ($131) offers 316% upside at 24% growth, 9% discount
- Price below even worst-case scenario — strong margin of safety
- Market-implied growth (1%) ≤ historical CAGR (20%)
Bear Case
- Bear case ($55) with 16% growth, 12% discount rate
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5-Year Free Cash Flow Projection
Year 1$332.40M
Year 2$398.88M
Year 3$478.66M
Year 4$574.39M
Year 5$689.26M
Terminal$10.14B
📐 Model Inputs
Growth Rate20.0%5Y CAGR (cascade: 5Y→3Y→TTM)
Discount Rate10.0%WACC estimate
Terminal Growth3.0%Perpetuity rate
Base Free Cash Flow$277.00MTTM actual
Bear g×0.8, r+2%
Base Historical CAGR
Bull g×1.2, r−1.5%
DCF estimates based on historical growth rates extrapolated forward. See FAQ below for full methodology.