MODEL VERDICT
TTEC Holdings, Inc. (TTEC)
Relative Valuation•Peer multiples, Monte Carlo simulation & quality-adjusted fair value
Popular:
Composite score derived from valuation, quality, and risk factors
Quantitative model thresholds · For educational and research purposes only
| Methodology | Fair Value | vs Current | Weight | Quality | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forward P/E 49 analyst estimates | $17.59 | +494.3% | 20% | A- | Analyst Est. |
| EV To Revenue 59 industry peers | $62.02 | +1995.3% | 4% | B | Data |
| Price / Sales 59 industry peers | $76.23 | +2475.3% | 3% | B | Model Driven |
| Weighted Output Blended model output | $26.56 | +797.2% | 100% | 62 | SIGNIFICANTLY UNDERVALUED |
Cross-sectional regression predicting expected multiples based on growth, margins, ROIC, and beta.
| Multiple | Avg | Median | Min | Max | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 43.53 | 29.71 | 20.24 | 120.39 | 38.09 |
| EV/EBIT | 18.50 | 17.64 | 15.84 | 22.85 | 2.63 |
| EV/EBITDA | 11.69 | 11.14 | 9.05 | 16.03 | 2.67 |
| P/FCF | 18.74 | 14.76 | 10.45 | 39.39 | 11.05 |
| P/FFO | 13.24 | 12.47 | 9.37 | 18.05 | 3.71 |
| P/TBV | 81.13 | 97.43 | 17.67 | 128.29 | 57.08 |
| P/AFFO | 21.96 | 22.94 | 15.94 | 24.88 | 3.42 |
| P/B Ratio | 3.96 | 3.68 | 0.89 | 7.22 | 2.36 |
| Div Yield | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.05 | 0.01 |
| P/S Ratio | 1.00 | 0.88 | 0.11 | 1.89 | 0.65 |
Based on our peer multiples analysis with 8 valuation metrics, the model estimates TTEC's fair value at $26.56 vs the current price of $2.96, implying +797.2% upside potential. Model verdict: Significantly Undervalued. Confidence: 62/100. This is a quantitative estimate, not a recommendation.
The blended fair value of $26.56 is calculated using four lenses: industry median multiples (40%), historical multiples (30%), forward estimates (20%), and quality-adjusted multiples (10%). Monte Carlo simulation (10,000 iterations) gives a range of $19.28 (P10) to $39.36 (P90), with a median of $29.17.
TTEC's current P/E of -0.4x compares to the industry median of 20.3x (40 peers in the group). This represents a -102.2% discount to the industry. The historical average P/E is 43.5x over 6 years. Signal: Deep Discount.
14 analysts cover TTEC with a consensus rating of Hold. The consensus price target is $34.17 (range: $3.50 — $59.00), implying +1054.4% upside from the current price. Grade breakdown: Strong Buy (0), Buy (5), Hold (8), Sell (1), Strong Sell (0).
The model confidence score is 62/100, based on: data completeness (6), peer quality (25), historical depth (20), earnings stability (4), and model agreement (7). Cyclicality penalty: -0 points. The model shows moderate agreement across inputs.
The model flags several key risks: (1) Macro/regulatory risks are not captured in this model but remain material.
Peak earnings risk data is not available for TTEC.
No. This dashboard is a quantitative research tool for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. The operator of this platform is not a registered investment advisor (RIA), broker-dealer, or financial planner. All model outputs, fair value estimates, signals, and scenarios are the result of automated quantitative computations and should not be construed as professional financial guidance. You should consult a qualified, licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past model performance is not indicative of future results.