INNOVATE Corp. (VATE)
Valuation Overview•Is INNOVATE Corp. Overvalued or Undervalued?
Popular:
Poor quality — fundamental deterioration
| Quarter | EPS Est. | EPS Act. | Surprise | EPS | Rev |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1'26Latest | $-2.18 | $-0.58 | +73.4% | ||
| Q4'25 | — | $-0.71 | — | ||
| Q3'25 | — | $-1.67 | — | ||
| Q2'25 | — | $-1.89 | — | ||
| Q1'25 | — | $-1.29 | — | ||
| Q4'24 | — | $-1.18 | — | ||
| Q3'24 | — | $1.00 | — | ||
| Q2'24 | — | $-2.20 | — |
Total return, benchmark alpha, and annual history in one section.
3Y, 5Y, and 10Y use CAGR when available.
| Period | Return | vs S&P | Dividends |
|---|---|---|---|
| YTD | +153.7% | +146.2% | — |
| 1Y | +111.4% | +80.1% | +12.5% |
| 3YCAGR | -21.4% | -42.0% | +2.9% |
| 5YCAGR | -20.4% | -32.8% | +1.9% |
| 10YCAGR | +2.1% | -10.9% | — |
Year-by-year total return versus SPY, including dividend contribution.
| Year | Stock Return | SPY Return | Alpha | Dividends |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026YTD | +1.9% | +0.4% | +1.5% | — |
| 2025 | -9.6% | +16.6% | -26.2% | — |
| 2024Worst | -57.0% | +24.0% | -81.0% | — |
| 2023 | -42.8% | +24.8% | -67.6% | — |
| 2022 | -52.2% | -19.9% | -32.2% | — |
| 2021 | +20.5% | +28.8% | -8.3% | — |
| 2020Best | +223.5% | +15.1% | +208.4% | +176.0% |
| 2019 | -18.7% | +28.7% | -47.4% | — |
Based on our multi-model analysis of INNOVATE Corp. (VATE) at $12.41: Fundamental quality score: 24/100 (below average). This is a quantitative summary combining DCF intrinsic value, peer-based relative valuation, quality scoring, and analyst consensus — not a buy/sell recommendation. Always consult a qualified financial advisor before investing.
Fair value data is not yet available for VATE.
INNOVATE Corp.'s financial health as measured by our composite scoring: Overall quality score: 24/100. Piotroski F-Score: 3/9 (weak fundamentals). Altman Z-Score: -0.2 (distress zone — elevated risk). Return on invested capital: 5.7%. Cash conversion (OCF/NI): -0.26x (earnings exceed cash generation). The quality score blends profitability (ROIC, ROE, margins), solvency (leverage, coverage, Z-Score), and growth trajectory into a single 0–100 framework updated end-of-day.
INNOVATE Corp.'s performance profile: 1-year total return: +111.4%. 1-year alpha vs S&P 500: +80.1% (outperforming the benchmark). 5-year CAGR: -20.4%. Maximum drawdown (1Y): -46.1%. Relative Strength rating: 97/99 (strong momentum). Beta: 0.94 (similar volatility to the market). Total returns include reinvested dividends. Alpha is calculated against the S&P 500 Total Return Index over matching periods.
Current dividend yield: 0.7%. Annual dividend per share: $0.09. Total shareholder yield (dividends + buybacks): 0.7%.
Wall Street's outlook on INNOVATE Corp.: Earnings beat rate: 50% with a 2-quarter consecutive beat streak. Analyst estimates are blended into our proprietary model with weight based on coverage depth and historical accuracy. We track estimate revisions, beat rates, and grade changes daily.
Key risks identified for INNOVATE Corp.: Drawdown risk: The stock experienced a -46.1% max drawdown in the past year. Solvency risk: Altman Z-Score (-0.2) is in the distress zone, indicating elevated bankruptcy risk. Note: This model does not capture regulatory changes, management decisions, competitive disruption, or geopolitical events. Macro and qualitative risks remain material and should be assessed independently.
No. This overview dashboard aggregates data from our DCF intrinsic value model, relative peer multiples model, proprietary estimates engine, and third-party analyst consensus feeds. It is strictly for educational and informational purposes. The operator of this platform is not a registered investment advisor (RIA), broker-dealer, or financial planner. All model outputs, fair value estimates, quality scores, and signals are automated quantitative computations and should not be construed as investment recommendations. Consult a qualified, licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past model performance does not guarantee future results.