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WHLRDWheeler Real Estate Investment Trust, Inc.
$36.00$13.0B
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WHLRD logo

Wheeler Real Estate Investment Trust, Inc. (WHLRD)

Valuation Overview•Is Wheeler Real Estate Investment Trust, Inc. Overvalued or Undervalued?
Full Profile →
OverviewDCF ValuationRelative ValuationEstimates
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OverviewUpdated Jul 18, 2026

Fundamental models agree on overvaluation relative to historical norms

Valuation Alignment Spectrum
DCF Intrinsic Value$1.59
-95.8% implied move
Relative Fair Value$2.87
-92.4% vs market
Current Price$37.60
Live Exchange Feeds
DCF$1.59
Relative$2.87
Market$37.60
DCF Intrinsic Value
$1.59-95.8% implied move
Relative Fair Value
$2.87-92.4% vs market
Current Price
$37.60Live Exchange Feeds
Valuation Profile

Priced at a premium to peer multiples and intrinsic cash flows, demanding strong execution to justify current levels.

Financial Health

Moderate quality score of 52/100, reflecting stable operating margins and manageable leverage.

Wall Street Outlook

Wall Street forecasts a balanced outlook with consensus price targets near the current price.

Company Quality

Overall Quality
52/100
RatingGrade C+
C+
Investment Read

Verdict: Average quality business weighed down by significant solvency concerns.

EdgeReliable growth supports ongoing operations.
RiskSub-par solvency limits upside compounding potential.
ImplicationRequires a deep value discount to justify the risk.
Core Pillars
Profitability
45/100Moderate
ROIC: 4.2% | ROE: 6.3%
Solvency Health
40/100Moderate
Piotroski F-Score: 7/9
Growth Trajectory
72/100Strong
3Y ROIC Avg: 4.1% | 5Y Gross Margin Avg: 66.7%
Quality Diagnostics
Economic MoatROIC 4.2% — below cost of capital
No Moat
Cash Return QualityOCF/NI conversion: Excellent
2.41x
Altman Z-ScoreBankruptcy Risk: N/A
—
Piotroski F-ScoreMomentum: Strong
7/9

Investment Narrative

Wall Street sentiment is generally neutral. The company currently dilutes shareholders to fund operations and growth rather than returning capital.

Wall St Estimates

Forward Valuation5 Analysts
Fwd P/E Ratio
—
Fwd EPS
—Model: $0.15
Fwd PEG Ratio
——
Fwd EV/EBITDA
153.6xForward Estimate
Implied Growth
—EPS YoY (Implied)
Model Confidence
42%Quantitative Score
Analyst Rating DistributionConsensus: Buy
Buy/Strong Buy: 3Hold: 2Sell: 0

Shareholder Returns

0.0%Yield
Total Shareholder Yield
Div: 0.0%Buyback: 0.0%
Growth — Reinvesting, diluting shares
FCF Yield0.0%
Earnings Yield—E/P Inverse
Owner Yield0.1%$15M
No Capital Return ProgramEarnings are retained entirely for reinvestment & growth
Share Δ 1Y
100.0%
Return Contribution (10Y)+18% return boost

Fundamental Analysis

Profitability & Financial Health

Fundamental Quality Synthesis

WHLRD demonstrates adequate business quality with stable profitability. However, the balance sheet carries elevated leverage, requiring careful monitoring of debt servicing capabilities.

Moat & Profitability

45
Capital Returns
3Y Avg ROIC
4.1%
5Y Avg ROE
-4.3%
ROA (TTM)
1.0%
Margin Profile
5Y Avg Gross Margin
66.7%
Operating Margin
32.4%
5Y Avg Net Margin
-7.3%
FCF Margin
4.3%
Income QualityOperating Cash Flow / Net Income
2.41x

Balance Sheet & Risk

40
Liquidity & Leverage
Debt/Equity
5.11
Interest Coverage
1.48x
Current Ratio
8.91
Quick Ratio
8.91
Total Cash$24M
Total Debt$484M
Net Debt$460M
Altman Z-Score
—Unknown
Piotroski F-Score
7/9Strong
1ROA > 0
2OCF > 0
3ROA ↑ YoY
4OCF > NI
5Leverage ↓
6Liquidity ↑
7No dilution
8Margin ↑
9Turnover ↑
Deep Dive Financials

Growth & Efficiency Synthesis

72Good

The company demonstrates solid revenue growth (9.1% 3Y CAGR) paired with stable bottom-line earnings. This growth is supported by elite operational efficiency, sustaining an impressive 32.4% operating margin.

Growth Trajectory Matrix

Growth Trend:Decelerating
Financial MetricTrend (12Q)Latest Qtr1Y Growth3Y CAGR5Y CAGR10Y CAGR
Revenue
$24.3M-4.9%+9.1%+10.3%+14.2%
EBITDA
$9.5M—+7.4%——
Net Income
-$2.4M+191.6%———
EPS (Diluted)
$-14.55+99.9%——+55.5%
Free Cash Flow
$2.6M+16.3%-43.4%-21.5%—

Margin Profile & Efficiency

Quarterly Trend HistoryCurrent TTM: 32.4%
2021Q1 2026
Historical Averages
MetricTTM3Y Avg5Y Avg10Y Avg
Gross Margin56.8%66.4%66.7%55.8%
Operating Margin32.4%32.2%32.1%24.5%
Net Margin5.9%-1.6%-7.3%-12.4%
FCF Margin4.3%2.8%10.9%17.1%

Earnings Surprise History

Last 12 Quarters
—EPS Beat Rate
0 / 12Quarters Beat
—Avg Surprise
—Rev Beat Rate
Beat/Miss History
Q2'23
Q3'23
Q4'23
Q1'24
Q2'24
Q3'24
Q4'24
Q1'25
Q2'25
Q3'25
Q1'26
Q2'26
QuarterEPS Est.EPS Act.SurpriseEPSRev
Q2'26Latest—$-0.66—
Q1'26—$-22.52—
Q3'25—$-4.58—
Q2'25—$17165.05—
Q1'25—$182072.82—
Q4'24—$-161747.57—
Q3'24—$-21423.73—
Q2'24—$-39577.27—
EPS and revenue estimates vs actual reported figures. Green = beat, Red = miss.

Performance vs S&P 500

Total return is +4.8% (1Y), lagging the benchmark by -11.1%

10 Years Tracked
YTD Return-6.5%Alpha: -14.7%
1Y Return+4.8%Alpha: -11.1%
Max Drawdown-21.7%1Y Max Pullback
Beta0.14vs Market Vol
RS Rating40/99Relative Strength
Beat SPY6/10Avg Alpha: +0.7%
CAGR Returns
PeriodTotal Returnvs S&P 500 (Alpha)Dividend Contribution
YTD-6.5%-14.7%—
1Y+4.8%-11.1%—
3YCAGR+44.2%+29.6%—
5YCAGR+15.8%+5.4%—
10YCAGR+4.9%-7.6%—
Positive Return Frequency5 / 10 Years (50%)
Total return includes dividends reinvested. Excess Alpha = Stock Return − S&P 500 Return. Multi-period snapshot values use Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) for periods greater than 1 year. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
S&P 500 Market Context

The S&P 500 is at 30.8x trailing P/E — Expensive relative to historical averages.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Quick answers to common questions about Wheeler Real Estate Investment Trust, Inc. (WHLRD) valuation, health, and returns.

Is WHLRD stock undervalued or overvalued?

🔴 OVERVALUED

Wheeler Real Estate Investment Trust, Inc. is estimated to be overvalued under our discounted cash flow framework. relative multiples indicate the stock is Expensive versus peers compared to industry peers. overvalued (implying -95.8% downside from DCF intrinsic value of $1.59)

Valuation

What is the fair value and price target for WHLRD?

Wheeler Real Estate Investment Trust, Inc. has multiple valuation anchors: DCF Intrinsic Value: $1.59 | Peer Relative Fair Value: $2.87. A convergence of these signals offers higher conviction.

Valuation

Is WHLRD financially stable and healthy?

Wheeler Real Estate Investment Trust, Inc. displays fair financial health with a composite quality score of 52/100, supported by a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) of 4.2%.

Quality

Does WHLRD return capital via dividends or buybacks?

Wheeler Real Estate Investment Trust, Inc. does not return material capital to shareholders via dividends or share repurchases, electing to retain earnings to fund internal growth.

Income

Is WHLRD's revenue and earnings growth accelerating?

Wheeler Real Estate Investment Trust, Inc.'s current growth trajectory is Decelerating. The company achieved -4.9% 1Y revenue growth and +99.9% 1Y EPS growth, compared to its 3Y revenue CAGR of +9.1%.

Growth

What is the Wall Street analyst consensus on WHLRD?

Wall Street consensus is Buy based on 5 analysts. The consensus price target represents a N/A change from current levels.

Estimates

What are the primary investment risks for WHLRD?

Investment risks for Wheeler Real Estate Investment Trust, Inc. include: -21.7% 1-year max drawdown. Volatility risk is characterized by a beta of 0.14x.

Risk

Are these valuation model estimates financial advice?

No. These computations are purely quantitative model outputs for informational purposes. They do not account for qualitative management shifts or macro events. Always consult a licensed RIA before buying or selling shares.

Legal

Disclaimer: This page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All valuation models, scores, and target estimates are automated computations under stated assumptions and should not be relied upon as the sole basis for any investment decision.

Our Methodology

Institutional-grade research documentation
Relative Valuation
Peer universe construction, Monte Carlo simulation, and confidence scoring.
→
Estimates & Forecasts
Revenue CAGR blending, margin path engine, and analyst fusion logic.
→
DCF Intrinsic Value
Two-stage discounted cash flow with WACC and Gordon Growth model.
→