Clear Secure, Inc. (YOU)
Valuation Overview•Is Clear Secure, Inc. Overvalued or Undervalued?
Trading at a relative discount to industry peers, suggesting a specific risk premium is applied.
High-quality fundamentals with a strong composite quality score of 80/100, backed by robust profitability and solvency.
Analysts remain bullish, forecasting further upside expansion with consensus targets suggesting solid gains.
Verdict: High-quality compounder, with solvency as the only relative weakness.
Wall Street is highly bullish, projecting significant upside. This is paired with healthy capital returns, driven by a balanced mix of reliable dividends and share buybacks.
YOU exhibits elite business quality, driven by exceptional capital efficiency and highly lucrative margins (highlighted by a massive 68.1% ROIC). This is backed by a fortress balance sheet, holding significant net cash ($86M) and minimal debt risk.
The company is driving exceptional top-line expansion (27.2% 3Y CAGR) paired with stable bottom-line earnings. The company maintains healthy operational efficiency with a 22.4% operating margin.
| Financial Metric | Trend (12Q) | Latest Qtr | 1Y Growth | 3Y CAGR | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $253.0M | +16.9% | +27.2% | +31.3% | — | |
| EBITDA | $68.8M | — | — | — | — | |
| Net Income | $85.1M | -35.7% | — | — | — | |
| EPS (Diluted) | $0.38 | -28.2% | — | — | — | |
| Free Cash Flow | $185.5M | +21.0% | +36.0% | — | — |
| Metric | TTM | 3Y Avg | 5Y Avg | 10Y Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Margin | 91.0% | 70.5% | 66.7% | 64.8% |
| Operating Margin | 22.4% | 13.3% | -7.0% | -10.3% |
| Net Margin | 17.9% | 12.9% | 1.9% | -3.2% |
| FCF Margin | 46.4% | 35.8% | 30.9% | 20.4% |
| Quarter | EPS Est. | EPS Act. | Surprise | EPS | Rev |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2'26Latest | $0.35 | $0.38 | +8.6% | ||
| Q1'26 | $0.31 | $0.31 | +0.0% | ||
| Q4'25 | $0.27 | $0.29 | +7.4% | ||
| Q3'25 | $0.23 | $0.26 | +13.0% | ||
| Q2'25 | $0.30 | $0.32 | +6.7% | ||
| Q1'25 | $0.28 | $0.90 | +221.4% | ||
| Q4'24 | $0.33 | $0.30 | -9.1% | ||
| Q3'24 | $0.26 | $0.34 | +30.8% |
Total return is +112.0% (1Y), outperforming the benchmark by +87.0%
| Period | Total Return | vs S&P 500 (Alpha) | Dividend Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| YTD | +51.1% | +41.8% | — |
| 1Y | +112.0% | +87.0% | +3.0% |
| 3YCAGR | +31.1% | +11.0% | +11.3% |
| 5YCAGR | +6.4% | -6.3% | +7.9% |
| 10YCAGR | +3.2% | -10.6% | — |
The S&P 500 is at 31.3x trailing P/E — Expensive relative to historical averages.
Quick answers to common questions about Clear Secure, Inc. (YOU) valuation, health, and returns.
Clear Secure, Inc. is estimated to be fair under our discounted cash flow framework. relative multiples indicate the stock is Cheap versus peers compared to industry peers. trading near fair value (DCF: $46.06)
Clear Secure, Inc. has multiple valuation anchors: DCF Intrinsic Value: $46.06 | Peer Relative Fair Value: $82.04 | Wall Street Analyst Target: $64.25 (implying +24.9% upside). A convergence of these signals offers higher conviction.
Clear Secure, Inc. displays excellent financial health with a composite quality score of 80/100, supported by a Altman Z-Score of 3.8 (safe zone), Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) of 68.1%.
Clear Secure, Inc. pays a 1.8% dividend yield, covered by a 84% payout ratio with 0 years of growth, supplemented by a 2.4% buyback yield.
Clear Secure, Inc.'s current growth trajectory is Decelerating. The company achieved +16.9% 1Y revenue growth and -28.2% 1Y EPS growth, compared to its 3Y revenue CAGR of +27.2%.
Wall Street consensus is Buy based on 9 analysts, beating EPS expectations in 83% of recent quarters with a 1-quarter streak. The consensus price target represents a +24.9% change from current levels.
Investment risks for Clear Secure, Inc. include: -22.9% 1-year max drawdown. Volatility risk is characterized by a beta of 1.04x.
No. These computations are purely quantitative model outputs for informational purposes. They do not account for qualitative management shifts or macro events. Always consult a licensed RIA before buying or selling shares.
Disclaimer: This page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All valuation models, scores, and target estimates are automated computations under stated assumptions and should not be relied upon as the sole basis for any investment decision.