Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
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DINO vs MPC
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
DINO vs MPC — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing | Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing |
| Market Cap | $12.81B | $72.38B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $27.62B | $135.75B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $1.23B | $4.63B |
| Gross Margin | 7.3% | 8.8% |
| Operating Margin | 6.1% | 5.0% |
| Forward P/E | 12.6x | 11.1x |
| Total Debt | $3.23B | $34.36B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $978M | $3.67B |
DINO vs MPC — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| HF Sinclair Corpora… (DINO) | 100 | 226.0 | +126.0% |
| Marathon Petroleum … (MPC) | 100 | 699.4 | +599.4% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: DINO vs MPC
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
DINO carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and sleep-well-at-night.
- Dividend streak 4 yrs, beta 0.31, yield 2.8%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.31, Low D/E 34.9%, current ratio 1.94x
- Beta 0.31, yield 2.8%, current ratio 1.94x
MPC is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth -4.4%, EPS growth 31.5%, 3Y rev CAGR -9.2%
- 6.5% 10Y total return vs DINO's 185.5%
- -4.4% revenue growth vs DINO's -6.0%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | -4.4% revenue growth vs DINO's -6.0% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (11.1x vs 12.6x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 4.5% margin vs MPC's 3.4% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.30 vs DINO's 0.31 | |
| Dividends | 2.8% yield, 4-year raise streak, vs MPC's 1.5% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +124.1% vs MPC's +72.7% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 7.1% ROA vs MPC's 5.5%, ROIC 6.1% vs 8.3% |
DINO vs MPC — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
DINO vs MPC — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
DINO leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
MPC is the larger business by revenue, generating $135.8B annually — 4.9x DINO's $27.6B. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from 4.5% (DINO) to 3.4% (MPC).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $27.6B | $135.8B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $2.6B | $10.1B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $1.2B | $4.6B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $1.2B | $5.7B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +7.3% | +8.8% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +6.1% | +5.0% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +4.5% | +3.4% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +4.3% | +4.2% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +11.8% | +9.7% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +135.3% | +8.2% |
Valuation Metrics
DINO leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 18.5x trailing earnings, MPC trades at a 19% valuation discount to DINO's 22.9x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, DINO's 8.2x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than MPC's 11.4x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $12.8B | $72.4B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $15.1B | $103.1B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 22.86x | 18.52x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 12.62x | 11.07x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 8.17x | 11.43x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.48x | 0.55x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.43x | 3.11x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 14.80x | 15.18x |
Profitability & Efficiency
DINO leads this category, winning 5 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
MPC delivers a 19.6% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $20 in annual profit, vs $13 for DINO. DINO carries lower financial leverage with a 0.35x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to MPC's 1.43x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), MPC scores 7/9 vs DINO's 6/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +13.0% | +19.6% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +7.1% | +5.5% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +6.1% | +8.3% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +6.7% | +9.3% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 6 | 7 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.35x | 1.43x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $2.3B | $30.7B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $978M | $3.7B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $3.2B | $34.4B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 7.13x | 6.36x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
MPC leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in MPC five years ago would be worth $43,929 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $22,242 for DINO. Over the past 12 months, DINO leads with a +124.1% total return vs MPC's +72.7%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors MPC at 33.1% vs DINO's 25.4% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +52.8% | +49.4% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +124.1% | +72.7% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +97.1% | +135.7% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +122.4% | +339.3% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +185.5% | +654.2% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +25.4% | +33.1% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — DINO and MPC each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
MPC is the less volatile stock with a 0.30 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than DINO's 0.31 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.31x | 0.30x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $74.72 | $261.61 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $32.39 | $141.91 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +95.1% | +93.9% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 80.1 | 72.0 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 2.7M | 2.5M |
Analyst Outlook
DINO leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates DINO as "Buy" and MPC as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply -12.6% upside for MPC (target: $215) vs -13.4% for DINO (target: $62). For income investors, DINO offers the higher dividend yield at 2.84% vs MPC's 1.52%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $61.57 | $214.78 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 16 | 33 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +2.8% | +1.5% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 4 | 4 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $2.02 | $3.74 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +2.8% | +4.8% |
DINO leads in 4 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Valuation Metrics). MPC leads in 1 (Total Returns). 1 tied.
DINO vs MPC: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is DINO or MPC a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) is the stronger pick with -4.
4% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -6. 0% for HF Sinclair Corporation (DINO). Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) offers the better valuation at 18. 5x trailing P/E (11. 1x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate HF Sinclair Corporation (DINO) a "Buy" — based on 16 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — DINO or MPC?
On trailing P/E, Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) is the cheapest at 18.
5x versus HF Sinclair Corporation at 22. 9x. On forward P/E, Marathon Petroleum Corporation is actually cheaper at 11. 1x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — DINO or MPC?
Over the past 5 years, Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) delivered a total return of +339.
3%, compared to +122. 4% for HF Sinclair Corporation (DINO). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: MPC returned +654. 2% versus DINO's +185. 5%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — DINO or MPC?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) is the lower-risk stock at 0.
30β versus HF Sinclair Corporation's 0. 31β — meaning DINO is approximately 3% more volatile than MPC relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, HF Sinclair Corporation (DINO) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 35% versus 143% for Marathon Petroleum Corporation — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — DINO or MPC?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) is pulling ahead at -4.
4% versus -6. 0% for HF Sinclair Corporation (DINO). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: HF Sinclair Corporation grew EPS 241. 8% year-over-year, compared to 31. 5% for Marathon Petroleum Corporation. Over a 3-year CAGR, MPC leads at -9. 2% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — DINO or MPC?
Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) is the more profitable company, earning 3.
0% net margin versus 2. 2% for HF Sinclair Corporation — meaning it keeps 3. 0% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: MPC leads at 4. 3% versus 3. 5% for DINO. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — MPC leads at 7. 5%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is DINO or MPC more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) trades at 11.
1x forward P/E versus 12. 6x for HF Sinclair Corporation — 1. 6x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for MPC: -12. 6% to $214. 78.
08Which pays a better dividend — DINO or MPC?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
HF Sinclair Corporation (DINO) offers the highest yield at 2. 8%, versus 1. 5% for Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC).
09Is DINO or MPC better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
30), 1. 5% yield, +654. 2% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (MPC: +654. 2%, DINO: +185. 5%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between DINO and MPC?
Both stocks operate in the Energy sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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