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ERIE vs TRV
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Insurance - Property & Casualty
ERIE vs TRV — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Insurance - Brokers | Insurance - Property & Casualty |
| Market Cap | $9.86B | $65.22B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $4.33B | $48.83B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $571M | $6.29B |
| Gross Margin | 18.1% | 36.9% |
| Operating Margin | 17.0% | 16.0% |
| Forward P/E | 16.9x | 10.8x |
| Total Debt | $0.00 | $9.27B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $346M | $842M |
ERIE vs TRV — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Erie Indemnity Comp… (ERIE) | 100 | 118.5 | +18.5% |
| The Travelers Compa… (TRV) | 100 | 281.9 | +181.9% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: ERIE vs TRV
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
ERIE carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 2 yrs, beta 0.16, yield 2.3%
- Rev growth 7.2%, EPS growth -7.5%, 3Y rev CAGR 12.7%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.16, current ratio 1.27x
TRV is the clearest fit if your priority is long-term compounding and valuation efficiency.
- 204.9% 10Y total return vs ERIE's 172.5%
- PEG 0.51 vs ERIE's 1.24
- Lower P/E (10.8x vs 16.9x), PEG 0.51 vs 1.24
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 7.2% revenue growth vs TRV's 5.2% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (10.8x vs 16.9x), PEG 0.51 vs 1.24 | |
| Quality / Margins | Combined ratio 0.8 vs TRV's 0.8 (lower = better underwriting) | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.16 vs TRV's 0.22 | |
| Dividends | 2.3% yield, 2-year raise streak, vs TRV's 1.4% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +14.2% vs ERIE's -39.3% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 17.3% ROA vs TRV's 4.4%, ROIC 29.5% vs 15.3% |
ERIE vs TRV — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
ERIE vs TRV — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
TRV leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
TRV is the larger business by revenue, generating $48.8B annually — 11.3x ERIE's $4.3B. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from 13.2% (ERIE) to 12.9% (TRV).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $4.3B | $48.8B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $786M | $8.5B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $571M | $6.3B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $537M | $7.9B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +18.1% | +36.9% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +17.0% | +16.0% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +13.2% | +12.9% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +12.4% | +16.2% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +2.3% | +3.5% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +7.9% | +23.4% |
Valuation Metrics
TRV leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 11.0x trailing earnings, TRV trades at a 45% valuation discount to ERIE's 20.1x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), TRV offers better value at 0.52x vs ERIE's 1.48x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $9.9B | $65.2B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $9.5B | $73.6B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 20.11x | 10.99x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 16.90x | 10.78x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 1.48x | 0.52x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 11.95x | 8.69x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 2.43x | 1.34x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 4.93x | 2.09x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 17.28x | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
ERIE leads this category, winning 6 of 7 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
ERIE delivers a 25.0% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $25 in annual profit, vs $19 for TRV. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), TRV scores 7/9 vs ERIE's 4/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +25.0% | +19.1% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +17.3% | +4.4% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +29.5% | +15.3% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +32.0% | +8.6% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 4 | 7 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | — | 0.28x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$346M | $8.4B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $346M | $842M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $0 | $9.3B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | — | 19.34x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
TRV leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in TRV five years ago would be worth $20,027 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $11,372 for ERIE. Over the past 12 months, TRV leads with a +14.2% total return vs ERIE's -39.3%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors TRV at 19.8% vs ERIE's -0.5% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -22.1% | +6.1% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -39.3% | +14.2% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -1.6% | +72.1% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +13.7% | +100.3% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +172.5% | +204.9% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -0.5% | +19.8% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — ERIE and TRV each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
ERIE is the less volatile stock with a 0.16 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than TRV's 0.22 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. TRV currently trades 96.3% from its 52-week high vs ERIE's 56.1% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.16x | 0.22x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $380.67 | $313.12 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $210.06 | $249.19 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +56.1% | +96.3% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 37.5 | 50.2 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 232K | 1.3M |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — ERIE and TRV each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
For income investors, ERIE offers the higher dividend yield at 2.26% vs TRV's 1.43%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | — | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | — | $313.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | — | 43 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +2.3% | +1.4% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 2 | 20 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $4.83 | $4.30 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +4.8% |
TRV leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Valuation Metrics). ERIE leads in 1 (Profitability & Efficiency). 2 tied.
ERIE vs TRV: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is ERIE or TRV a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE) is the stronger pick with 7.
2% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 5. 2% for The Travelers Companies, Inc. (TRV). The Travelers Companies, Inc. (TRV) offers the better valuation at 11. 0x trailing P/E (10. 8x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate The Travelers Companies, Inc. (TRV) a "Hold" — based on 43 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — ERIE or TRV?
On trailing P/E, The Travelers Companies, Inc.
(TRV) is the cheapest at 11. 0x versus Erie Indemnity Company at 20. 1x. On forward P/E, The Travelers Companies, Inc. is actually cheaper at 10. 8x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: The Travelers Companies, Inc. wins at 0. 51x versus Erie Indemnity Company's 1. 24x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — ERIE or TRV?
Over the past 5 years, The Travelers Companies, Inc.
(TRV) delivered a total return of +100. 3%, compared to +13. 7% for Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: TRV returned +204. 9% versus ERIE's +172. 5%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — ERIE or TRV?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE) is the lower-risk stock at 0.
16β versus The Travelers Companies, Inc. 's 0. 22β — meaning TRV is approximately 36% more volatile than ERIE relative to the S&P 500.
05Which is growing faster — ERIE or TRV?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE) is pulling ahead at 7.
2% versus 5. 2% for The Travelers Companies, Inc. (TRV). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: The Travelers Companies, Inc. grew EPS 27. 8% year-over-year, compared to -7. 5% for Erie Indemnity Company. Over a 3-year CAGR, ERIE leads at 12. 7% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — ERIE or TRV?
Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE) is the more profitable company, earning 13.
8% net margin versus 12. 9% for The Travelers Companies, Inc. — meaning it keeps 13. 8% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: ERIE leads at 17. 7% versus 16. 0% for TRV. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — TRV leads at 44. 3%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is ERIE or TRV more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, The Travelers Companies, Inc. (TRV) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 51x versus Erie Indemnity Company's 1. 24x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, The Travelers Companies, Inc. (TRV) trades at 10. 8x forward P/E versus 16. 9x for Erie Indemnity Company — 6. 1x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis.
08Which pays a better dividend — ERIE or TRV?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE) offers the highest yield at 2. 3%, versus 1. 4% for The Travelers Companies, Inc. (TRV).
09Is ERIE or TRV better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
16), 2. 3% yield, +172. 5% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (ERIE: +172. 5%, TRV: +204. 9%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between ERIE and TRV?
Both stocks operate in the Financial Services sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: ERIE is a small-cap quality compounder stock; TRV is a mid-cap deep-value stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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