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FLY vs ASTS
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Communication Equipment
FLY vs ASTS — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Aerospace & Defense | Communication Equipment |
| Market Cap | $5.54B | $20.68B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $185M | $71M |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-335M | $-342M |
| Gross Margin | 21.7% | 53.4% |
| Operating Margin | -153.5% | -405.7% |
| Total Debt | $309M | $32M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $793M | $2.34B |
Quick Verdict: FLY vs ASTS
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
FLY carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and sleep-well-at-night.
- Dividend streak 1 yrs, beta 2.73, yield 0.2%
- Lower volatility, beta 2.73, Low D/E 25.9%, current ratio 4.51x
- Beta 2.73, yield 0.2%, current ratio 4.51x
ASTS is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 15.1%, EPS growth 30.9%, 3Y rev CAGR 72.5%
- 6.2% 10Y total return vs FLY's -42.8%
- 15.1% revenue growth vs FLY's 163.0%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 15.1% revenue growth vs FLY's 163.0% | |
| Quality / Margins | -181.1% margin vs ASTS's -482.2% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 2.73 vs ASTS's 2.82 | |
| Dividends | 0.2% yield; 1-year raise streak; the other pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +181.8% vs FLY's -42.8% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | -12.6% ROA vs FLY's -26.6%, ROIC -47.1% vs -26.2% |
FLY vs ASTS — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
FLY vs ASTS — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
FLY leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
FLY is the larger business by revenue, generating $185M annually — 2.6x ASTS's $71M. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from -181.1% (FLY) to -4.8% (ASTS). On growth, ASTS holds the edge at +27.3% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $185M | $71M |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$263M | -$237M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$335M | -$342M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$257M | -$1.1B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +21.7% | +53.4% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -153.5% | -4.1% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -181.1% | -4.8% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -139.3% | -16.0% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +44.8% | +27.3% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -21.2% | -55.6% |
Valuation Metrics
FLY leads this category, winning 2 of 3 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $5.5B | $20.7B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $5.1B | $18.4B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -7.15x | -52.75x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | — |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | — |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 34.63x | 291.65x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 2.01x | 6.15x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
ASTS leads this category, winning 7 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
ASTS delivers a -21.1% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $-21 in annual profit, vs $-58 for FLY. ASTS carries lower financial leverage with a 0.01x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to FLY's 0.26x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), FLY scores 6/9 vs ASTS's 5/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -57.6% | -21.1% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -26.6% | -12.6% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -26.2% | -47.1% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -26.8% | -10.0% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 6 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.26x | 0.01x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$484M | -$2.3B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $793M | $2.3B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $309M | $32M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -36.78x | -21.20x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
ASTS leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in ASTS five years ago would be worth $90,848 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $5,725 for FLY. Over the past 12 months, ASTS leads with a +181.8% total return vs FLY's -42.8%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors ASTS at 141.0% vs FLY's -17.0% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +45.4% | -15.3% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -42.8% | +181.8% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -42.8% | +1299.6% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -42.8% | +808.5% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -42.8% | +623.4% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -17.0% | +141.0% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — FLY and ASTS each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
FLY is the less volatile stock with a 2.73 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than ASTS's 2.82 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. ASTS currently trades 54.4% from its 52-week high vs FLY's 46.8% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 2.73x | 2.82x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $73.80 | $129.89 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $16.00 | $22.47 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +46.8% | +54.4% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 42.8 | 34.1 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 5.8M | 14.7M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates FLY as "Buy" and ASTS as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 46.6% upside for ASTS (target: $104) vs 14.3% for FLY (target: $40). FLY is the only dividend payer here at 0.21% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $39.50 | $103.65 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 7 | 7 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +0.2% | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 1 | — |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $0.07 | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | 0.0% |
FLY leads in 2 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Valuation Metrics). ASTS leads in 2 (Profitability & Efficiency, Total Returns). 1 tied.
FLY vs ASTS: Frequently Asked Questions
8 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is FLY or ASTS a better buy right now?
For growth investors, AST SpaceMobile, Inc.
(ASTS) is the stronger pick with 1505% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 163. 0% for Firefly Aerospace Inc. (FLY). Analysts rate Firefly Aerospace Inc. (FLY) a "Buy" — based on 7 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — FLY or ASTS?
Over the past 5 years, AST SpaceMobile, Inc.
(ASTS) delivered a total return of +808. 5%, compared to -42. 8% for Firefly Aerospace Inc. (FLY). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: ASTS returned +623. 4% versus FLY's -42. 8%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — FLY or ASTS?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Firefly Aerospace Inc.
(FLY) is the lower-risk stock at 2. 73β versus AST SpaceMobile, Inc. 's 2. 82β — meaning ASTS is approximately 3% more volatile than FLY relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, AST SpaceMobile, Inc. (ASTS) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 1% versus 26% for Firefly Aerospace Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
04Which is growing faster — FLY or ASTS?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), AST SpaceMobile, Inc.
(ASTS) is pulling ahead at 1505% versus 163. 0% for Firefly Aerospace Inc. (FLY). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: AST SpaceMobile, Inc. grew EPS 30. 9% year-over-year, compared to -161. 0% for Firefly Aerospace Inc.. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — FLY or ASTS?
Firefly Aerospace Inc.
(FLY) is the more profitable company, earning -186. 6% net margin versus -482. 2% for AST SpaceMobile, Inc. — meaning it keeps -186. 6% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: FLY leads at -154. 3% versus -405. 7% for ASTS. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — ASTS leads at 53. 4%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Which pays a better dividend — FLY or ASTS?
In this comparison, FLY (0.
2% yield) pays a dividend. ASTS does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
07Is FLY or ASTS better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, AST SpaceMobile, Inc.
(ASTS) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (+623. 4% 10Y return). Firefly Aerospace Inc. (FLY) carries a higher beta of 2. 73 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (ASTS: +623. 4%, FLY: -42. 8%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
08What are the main differences between FLY and ASTS?
These companies operate in different sectors (FLY (Industrials) and ASTS (Technology)), which means they face different economic cycles, regulatory environments, and macro sensitivities — making direct comparison nuanced.
These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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