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HD vs LOW vs TSCO
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Home Improvement
Specialty Retail
HD vs LOW vs TSCO — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Home Improvement | Home Improvement | Specialty Retail |
| Market Cap | $321.11B | $130.68B | $17.12B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $164.68B | $86.29B | $15.65B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $14.16B | $6.65B | $1.08B |
| Gross Margin | 33.3% | 33.5% | 32.5% |
| Operating Margin | 12.7% | 11.8% | 9.3% |
| Forward P/E | 21.5x | 18.5x | 15.2x |
| Total Debt | $19.01B | $7.19B | $5.94B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $1.39B | $982M | $194M |
HD vs LOW vs TSCO — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Home Depot, Inc. (HD) | 100 | 130.0 | +30.0% |
| Lowe's Companies, I… (LOW) | 100 | 179.0 | +79.0% |
| Tractor Supply Comp… (TSCO) | 100 | 133.3 | +33.3% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: HD vs LOW vs TSCO
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
HD has the current edge in this matchup, primarily because of its strength in income & stability.
- Dividend streak 16 yrs, beta 0.84, yield 2.8%
- 8.6% margin vs TSCO's 6.9%
- 2.8% yield, 16-year raise streak, vs TSCO's 2.8%
LOW is the clearest fit if your priority is long-term compounding.
- 249.6% 10Y total return vs HD's 185.4%
- +6.8% vs TSCO's -34.4%
TSCO is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure and sleep-well-at-night.
- Rev growth 4.3%, EPS growth 1.0%, 3Y rev CAGR 3.0%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.57, current ratio 1.34x
- PEG 1.52 vs HD's 6.02
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 4.3% revenue growth vs LOW's 3.1% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (15.2x vs 21.5x), PEG 1.52 vs 6.02 | |
| Quality / Margins | 8.6% margin vs TSCO's 6.9% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.57 vs LOW's 0.86 | |
| Dividends | 2.8% yield, 16-year raise streak, vs TSCO's 2.8% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +6.8% vs TSCO's -34.4% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 13.5% ROA vs TSCO's 9.8%, ROIC 32.1% vs 14.0% |
HD vs LOW vs TSCO — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
HD vs LOW vs TSCO — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 3 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
LOW leads this category, winning 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
HD is the larger business by revenue, generating $164.7B annually — 10.5x TSCO's $15.6B. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from 8.6% (HD) to 6.9% (TSCO). On growth, LOW holds the edge at +10.9% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $164.7B | $86.3B | $15.6B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $24.2B | $12.3B | $2.0B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $14.2B | $6.7B | $1.1B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $12.6B | $7.7B | $585M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +33.3% | +33.5% | +32.5% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +12.7% | +11.8% | +9.3% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +8.6% | +7.7% | +6.9% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +7.7% | +8.9% | +3.7% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -3.8% | +10.9% | +3.6% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -14.6% | -11.0% | -8.8% |
Valuation Metrics
TSCO leads this category, winning 5 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 15.8x trailing earnings, TSCO trades at a 30% valuation discount to HD's 22.7x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), TSCO offers better value at 1.57x vs HD's 6.36x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $321.1B | $130.7B | $17.1B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $338.7B | $136.9B | $22.9B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 22.70x | 19.69x | 15.79x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 21.50x | 18.54x | 15.23x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 6.36x | 2.22x | 1.57x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 14.02x | 11.32x | 11.66x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 1.95x | 1.51x | 1.10x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 25.14x | — | 6.70x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 25.39x | 17.08x | 23.12x |
Profitability & Efficiency
Evenly matched — HD and LOW and TSCO each lead in 3 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
HD delivers a 110.5% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $110 in annual profit, vs $43 for TSCO. HD carries lower financial leverage with a 1.48x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to TSCO's 2.30x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), LOW scores 6/9 vs HD's 4/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +110.5% | — | +42.6% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +13.5% | +12.3% | +9.8% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +32.1% | +76.2% | +14.0% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +29.8% | +33.6% | +18.6% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 4 | 6 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 1.48x | — | 2.30x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $17.6B | $6.2B | $5.7B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $1.4B | $982M | $194M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $19.0B | $7.2B | $5.9B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 8.71x | 8.90x | 21.16x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
LOW leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in LOW five years ago would be worth $12,361 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $9,346 for TSCO. Over the past 12 months, LOW leads with a +6.8% total return vs TSCO's -34.4%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors HD at 6.7% vs TSCO's -9.9% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -5.9% | -4.5% | -35.5% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -7.5% | +6.8% | -34.4% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +21.5% | +21.1% | -26.9% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +8.0% | +23.6% | -6.5% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +185.4% | +249.6% | +101.5% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +6.7% | +6.6% | -9.9% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — LOW and TSCO each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
TSCO is the less volatile stock with a 0.57 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than LOW's 0.86 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. LOW currently trades 79.6% from its 52-week high vs TSCO's 50.8% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.84x | 0.86x | 0.57x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $426.75 | $293.06 | $63.99 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $310.42 | $210.33 | $31.98 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +75.7% | +79.6% | +50.8% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 36.4 | 35.9 | 18.0 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 3.6M | 2.3M | 8.0M |
Analyst Outlook
HD leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: HD as "Buy", LOW as "Buy", TSCO as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 73.0% upside for TSCO (target: $56) vs 23.5% for LOW (target: $288). For income investors, HD offers the higher dividend yield at 2.84% vs LOW's 2.02%.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $408.08 | $288.25 | $56.27 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 62 | 51 | 50 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +2.8% | +2.0% | +2.8% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 16 | 16 | 16 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $9.18 | $4.71 | $0.92 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +0.2% | +2.1% |
LOW leads in 2 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Total Returns). TSCO leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics). 2 tied.
HD vs LOW vs TSCO: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is HD or LOW or TSCO a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Tractor Supply Company (TSCO) is the stronger pick with 4.
3% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 3. 1% for Lowe's Companies, Inc. (LOW). Tractor Supply Company (TSCO) offers the better valuation at 15. 8x trailing P/E (15. 2x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate The Home Depot, Inc. (HD) a "Buy" — based on 62 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — HD or LOW or TSCO?
On trailing P/E, Tractor Supply Company (TSCO) is the cheapest at 15.
8x versus The Home Depot, Inc. at 22. 7x. On forward P/E, Tractor Supply Company is actually cheaper at 15. 2x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Tractor Supply Company wins at 1. 52x versus The Home Depot, Inc. 's 6. 02x — a reasonable growth-adjusted valuation.
03Which is the better long-term investment — HD or LOW or TSCO?
Over the past 5 years, Lowe's Companies, Inc.
(LOW) delivered a total return of +23. 6%, compared to -6. 5% for Tractor Supply Company (TSCO). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: LOW returned +249. 6% versus TSCO's +101. 5%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — HD or LOW or TSCO?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Tractor Supply Company (TSCO) is the lower-risk stock at 0.
57β versus Lowe's Companies, Inc. 's 0. 86β — meaning LOW is approximately 52% more volatile than TSCO relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, The Home Depot, Inc. (HD) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 148% versus 2% for Tractor Supply Company — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — HD or LOW or TSCO?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Tractor Supply Company (TSCO) is pulling ahead at 4.
3% versus 3. 1% for Lowe's Companies, Inc. (LOW). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Tractor Supply Company grew EPS 1. 0% year-over-year, compared to -4. 6% for The Home Depot, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, TSCO leads at 3. 0% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — HD or LOW or TSCO?
The Home Depot, Inc.
(HD) is the more profitable company, earning 8. 6% net margin versus 7. 1% for Tractor Supply Company — meaning it keeps 8. 6% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: HD leads at 12. 7% versus 9. 5% for TSCO. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — LOW leads at 33. 5%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is HD or LOW or TSCO more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Tractor Supply Company (TSCO) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 1. 52x versus The Home Depot, Inc. 's 6. 02x. Both stocks trade at elevated growth-adjusted valuations, so expected growth needs to materialise. On forward earnings alone, Tractor Supply Company (TSCO) trades at 15. 2x forward P/E versus 21. 5x for The Home Depot, Inc. — 6. 3x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for TSCO: 73. 0% to $56. 27.
08Which pays a better dividend — HD or LOW or TSCO?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
The Home Depot, Inc. (HD) offers the highest yield at 2. 8%, versus 2. 0% for Lowe's Companies, Inc. (LOW).
09Is HD or LOW or TSCO better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Tractor Supply Company (TSCO) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
57), 2. 8% yield, +101. 5% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (TSCO: +101. 5%, HD: +185. 4%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between HD and LOW and TSCO?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Cyclical sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: HD is a large-cap quality compounder stock; LOW is a mid-cap quality compounder stock; TSCO is a mid-cap deep-value stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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