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HDThe Home Depot, Inc.
$305.35$304.5B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗AnalysisVisualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
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P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
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HD logo

The Home Depot, Inc.

HD
NYSE · Home Improvement Retail
$305.35
At close - Sep 22, 4:00 PM EDT - USD
Market Cap$304.47B
P/E21.5x
52W High$414.88
Volume5.44M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q2

Leverage Eases as Revenue Growth Stabilizes

The Home Depot is demonstrating a stabilizing demand environment, with revenue growth recovering to 5.7% in 2026Q2 from a -3.8% contraction in 2025Q4, suggesting the trough in home improvement demand may be passing. The company's cash generation remains robust...

GrowthStable
ProfitabilityStable
ValuationReview
TechnicalsWeak
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

HD price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

9/12 Beats

EPS beat 9 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

-10% Peers

P/E is 10% below peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 32 · Lag

Laggard (Underperforming 68% of market)

04

Weak Trend

Below 200DMA

Price < 200DMA

Next CatalystConfirmed earnings · Nov 17
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue growth has stabilized to 5.7% in 2026Q2, with gross margin holding at 33.7%, though SG&A has risen to $8.4B, indicating rising fixed costs that may cap operating margin expansion.

Analyst Consensus+24.0% target
Buy(63 analysts)
37 Buy22 Hold4 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Strong Market Position

Home Depot is a leading home improvement retailer with a strong market presence, bolstered by recent acquisitions and expansion into specialty trade distribution.

Institutional Interest

Recent increases in stakes by hedge funds indicate growing confidence from large investors in Home Depot.

Potential Housing Market Recovery

A recovering housing market could provide stability and growth opportunities for Home Depot.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Macroeconomic Headwinds

Weak consumer sentiment, a soft housing market, and rising energy costs are creating significant headwinds for Home Depot.

Deteriorating Fundamentals

Recent financial results show declining revenue, margin compression, and lower comparable transactions.

Valuation Concerns

Some analyses suggest HD may be overvalued, with one dividend discount model estimating fair value over 30% below the current price.

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 9/23/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
HD-9.68%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+13.20%
1-Year Return
HD-23.63%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+15.98%
3-Year Return
HD+8.80%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+83.98%
5-Year Return
HD+3.64%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+79.59%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y Low
21.5x
Forward P/EExpansion
20.3x
EV/EBITDA20th %ile
15.2x
FCF YieldCash Flow
4.2%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
21.5x
23.6x
20th· Low
EV/EBITDA
15.2x
16.7x
20th· Low
Price/FCF
24.1x
27.7x
20th· Low
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$171.80-43.7%
Base (Fair)$364.44+21.5%
Bull$634.67+107.9%
$171.80 Bear$364.44 Base$634.67 Bull
Current Market Price: $305.35
Trades at a 16.2% discount to Base DCF ($364.44)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue
$164.68B+3.2% YoY
Net income
$14.16B-4.4% YoY
Free cash flow
$12.65B-22.5% YoY
Operating margin
12.7%-0.8 pts YoY
ROIC (TTM)21.8%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (TTM)145.5%
Piotroski Score4 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate9/12 (75%)
Revenue Beat Rate10/12 (83%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q3 2026Latest
Aug 18, 2026
$4.92+4.0%
vs $4.73
$47.9B+1.3%
vs $47.2B
Q2 2026
May 19, 2026
$3.43+0.6%
vs $3.41
$41.8B+0.4%
vs $41.6B
Q1 2026
Feb 24, 2026
$2.72+7.5%
vs $2.53
$38.2B+0.3%
vs $38.1B
Q4 2025
Nov 18, 2025
$3.74-2.3%
vs $3.83
$41.4B+0.5%
vs $41.2B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

5 Stories
Zacks Investment Research·1d ago
Is Home Depot Winning Bigger Projects Through Pro Investments?

HD's Pro investments are gaining traction in complex purchases, with better delivery tools, broader catalogs and positive Pro comps.

24/7 Wall Street·1d ago
His Bet On Home Depot Made Ken Langone A Billionaire. Now He Sees Eli Lilly Stock Hitting $2,000

Ken Langone, chairman and president of Invemed Associates and a co-founder of Home Depot (NYSE:HD | HD Price Prediction), used a CNBC Squawk Box appearance on September 22, 2026 to say that his Eli Lilly (NYSE:LLY) position is now pushing

ETF Trends·1d ago
Staples ETF Widens Gap Over Discretionary in 2026

The State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLP) has climbed 6.6% so far in 2026, according to State Street data as of September 21. The State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLY) has fallen more than 7% over the same stretch, a 13.

MarketBeat·2d ago
3 Retail Dips Backed by Rising Consumer Demand

The Federal Reserve raised interest rates in September for the first time since 2023, lifting the federal funds target range to 3.75% to 4%, and updated projections showed a strong majority of officials think another increase is possible before year-end. Retail stocks had already spent weeks trading as though that outcome would break the American shopper.

Filtered for The Home Depot, Inc.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark HD against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for The Home Depot, Inc. (HD)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
HD logoHDThe Home Depot, Inc.Current
$305.35$304.47B21.463.24%8.6%145.54%3.01%
LOW logoLOWLowe's Companies, Inc.
$196.14$109.98B16.553.12%7.34%——
TSCO logoTSCOTractor Supply Company
$32.84$17.22B15.944.31%5.87%35.83%—
FND logoFNDFloor & Decor Holdings, Inc.
$49.09$5.31B25.575.12%4.93%9.55%—
BLDR logoBLDRBuilders FirstSource, Inc.
$60.87$6.55B15.65-7.38%0.71%2.46%—
MNRO logoMNROMonro Inc.
$14.29$446.52M519.64-3.19%0.71%1.36%—

Compare HD vs Peers

The Home Depot, Inc. (HD) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs LOW

Most directly comparable listed peer for HD.

Scale Benchmark

vs AMZN

Larger-name benchmark to compare HD against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs LOW, TSCO, FND, BLDR

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

HD SEC Filings & Documents

The Home Depot, Inc. (HD) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Aug 18, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Aug 12, 2026·SEC

Material company update

May 26, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

2
FY 2026

Mar 18, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Mar 21, 2025·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

5
FY 2026

May 27, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Nov 25, 2025·SEC

FY 2025

Aug 26, 2025·SEC

Get notified when HD posts new earnings or crosses analyst targets

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HD Frequently Asked Questions

The Home Depot, Inc. (HD) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is The Home Depot, Inc.'s revenue?

The Home Depot, Inc. (HD) reported $169.18B in revenue for fiscal year 2025. This represents a 766% increase from $19.54B in 1996.

How fast is The Home Depot, Inc. growing?

The Home Depot, Inc. (HD) grew revenue by 3.2% over the past year. Growth has been modest.

Is HD profitable?

Yes, The Home Depot, Inc. (HD) is profitable, generating $14.23B in net income for fiscal year 2025 (8.6% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does HD pay dividends?

Yes, The Home Depot, Inc. (HD) pays a dividend with a yield of 3.01%. This makes it attractive for income-focused investors.

What is HD's return on equity?

The Home Depot, Inc. (HD) has a return on equity (ROE) of 145.5%. This is excellent, indicating efficient use of shareholder capital.

What is The Home Depot, Inc.'s free cash flow?

The Home Depot, Inc. (HD) generated $15.10B in free cash flow for fiscal year 2025. Positive FCF indicates the company can fund dividends, buybacks, or reinvestment.

What if you invested $1,000 in HD back in 1996?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 30+ years of data

See returns →