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HMY vs GFI vs AU
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Gold
Gold
HMY vs GFI vs AU — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Gold | Gold | Gold |
| Market Cap | $9.72B | $37.38B | $45.93B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $150.28B | $10.92B | $10.38B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $26.34B | $2.54B | $2.86B |
| Gross Margin | 38.3% | 43.1% | 47.8% |
| Operating Margin | 30.9% | 43.2% | 45.5% |
| Forward P/E | 0.4x | 7.9x | 9.1x |
| Total Debt | $2.23B | $2.95B | $2.44B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $13.10B | $860M | $2.93B |
HMY vs GFI vs AU — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Harmony Gold Mining… (HMY) | 100 | 526.4 | +426.4% |
| Gold Fields Limited (GFI) | 100 | 598.4 | +498.4% |
| AngloGold Ashanti P… (AU) | 100 | 401.5 | +301.5% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: HMY vs GFI vs AU
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
HMY is the clearest fit if your priority is value and efficiency.
- Lower P/E (0.4x vs 9.1x)
- 32.8% ROA vs AU's 20.3%, ROIC 40.1% vs 35.9%
GFI is the clearest fit if your priority is long-term compounding and valuation efficiency.
- 9.6% 10Y total return vs AU's 5.2%
- PEG 0.16 vs AU's 0.53
AU carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 2 yrs, beta 0.79, yield 4.0%
- Rev growth 70.8%, EPS growth 122.7%, 3Y rev CAGR 30.0%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.79, Low D/E 24.6%, current ratio 2.87x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 70.8% revenue growth vs GFI's 15.6% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (0.4x vs 9.1x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 27.6% margin vs HMY's 17.5% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.79 vs HMY's 0.90 | |
| Dividends | 4.0% yield, 2-year raise streak, vs HMY's 1.3% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +124.4% vs HMY's -0.2% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 32.8% ROA vs AU's 20.3%, ROIC 40.1% vs 35.9% |
HMY vs GFI vs AU — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
HMY vs GFI vs AU — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 3 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
AU leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
HMY is the larger business by revenue, generating $150.3B annually — 14.5x AU's $10.4B. AU is the more profitable business, keeping 27.6% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to HMY's 17.5%. On growth, AU holds the edge at +75.3% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $150.3B | $10.9B | $10.4B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $56.7B | $6.0B | $4.8B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $26.3B | $2.5B | $2.9B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $20.4B | $2.0B | $3.4B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +38.3% | +43.1% | +47.8% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +30.9% | +43.2% | +45.5% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +17.5% | +23.2% | +27.6% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +13.6% | +18.7% | +32.6% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +25.4% | +64.2% | +75.3% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +17.2% | +165.1% | +63.1% |
Valuation Metrics
HMY leads this category, winning 5 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 11.4x trailing earnings, HMY trades at a 62% valuation discount to GFI's 30.3x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), GFI offers better value at 0.62x vs AU's 1.01x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $9.7B | $37.4B | $45.9B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $9.1B | $39.5B | $45.4B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 11.43x | 30.26x | 17.53x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 0.37x | 7.86x | 9.10x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 0.62x | 1.01x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 6.05x | 14.50x | 8.29x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 2.21x | 7.19x | 4.64x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 3.39x | 6.97x | 4.66x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 15.14x | 52.70x | 14.79x |
Profitability & Efficiency
HMY leads this category, winning 7 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
HMY delivers a 56.1% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $56 in annual profit, vs $31 for AU. HMY carries lower financial leverage with a 0.05x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to GFI's 0.55x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), HMY scores 8/9 vs GFI's 5/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +56.1% | +40.6% | +30.8% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +32.8% | +23.4% | +20.3% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +40.1% | +24.0% | +35.9% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +35.3% | +27.6% | +35.5% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 8 | 5 | 8 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.05x | 0.55x | 0.25x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$10.9B | $2.1B | -$492M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $13.1B | $860M | $2.9B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $2.2B | $2.9B | $2.4B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 44.14x | 44.58x | 21.64x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
AU leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in GFI five years ago would be worth $46,623 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $35,150 for HMY. Over the past 12 months, AU leads with a +124.4% total return vs HMY's -0.2%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors AU at 50.0% vs GFI's 39.4% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -19.2% | -0.8% | +8.3% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -0.2% | +90.6% | +124.4% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +210.6% | +170.9% | +237.6% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +251.5% | +366.2% | +347.5% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +382.8% | +959.4% | +519.3% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +45.9% | +39.4% | +50.0% |
Risk & Volatility
AU leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
AU is the less volatile stock with a 0.79 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than HMY's 0.90 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. AU currently trades 70.5% from its 52-week high vs HMY's 59.7% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.90x | 0.86x | 0.79x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $26.06 | $61.64 | $129.14 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $12.58 | $19.35 | $38.61 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +59.7% | +67.7% | +70.5% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 42.4 | 39.2 | 38.7 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 5.0M | 3.1M | 2.7M |
Analyst Outlook
AU leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: HMY as "Hold", GFI as "Hold", AU as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 46.2% upside for AU (target: $133) vs 30.3% for GFI (target: $54). For income investors, AU offers the higher dividend yield at 4.05% vs GFI's 0.94%.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Hold | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | — | $54.42 | $133.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 10 | 18 | 14 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +1.3% | +0.9% | +4.0% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $3.27 | $0.39 | $3.68 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
AU leads in 4 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Total Returns). HMY leads in 2 (Valuation Metrics, Profitability & Efficiency).
HMY vs GFI vs AU: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is HMY or GFI or AU a better buy right now?
For growth investors, AngloGold Ashanti Plc (AU) is the stronger pick with 70.
8% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 15. 6% for Gold Fields Limited (GFI). Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited (HMY) offers the better valuation at 11. 4x trailing P/E (0. 4x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate AngloGold Ashanti Plc (AU) a "Buy" — based on 14 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — HMY or GFI or AU?
On trailing P/E, Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited (HMY) is the cheapest at 11.
4x versus Gold Fields Limited at 30. 3x. On forward P/E, Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited is actually cheaper at 0. 4x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Gold Fields Limited wins at 0. 16x versus AngloGold Ashanti Plc's 0. 53x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — HMY or GFI or AU?
Over the past 5 years, Gold Fields Limited (GFI) delivered a total return of +366.
2%, compared to +251. 5% for Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited (HMY). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: GFI returned +989. 0% versus HMY's +399. 3%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — HMY or GFI or AU?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), AngloGold Ashanti Plc (AU) is the lower-risk stock at 0.
79β versus Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited's 0. 90β — meaning HMY is approximately 15% more volatile than AU relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited (HMY) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 5% versus 55% for Gold Fields Limited — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — HMY or GFI or AU?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), AngloGold Ashanti Plc (AU) is pulling ahead at 70.
8% versus 15. 6% for Gold Fields Limited (GFI). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: AngloGold Ashanti Plc grew EPS 122. 7% year-over-year, compared to 67. 7% for Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited. Over a 3-year CAGR, AU leads at 30. 0% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — HMY or GFI or AU?
AngloGold Ashanti Plc (AU) is the more profitable company, earning 26.
6% net margin versus 19. 5% for Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited — meaning it keeps 26. 6% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: AU leads at 45. 1% versus 27. 5% for HMY. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — AU leads at 46. 5%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is HMY or GFI or AU more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Gold Fields Limited (GFI) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 16x versus AngloGold Ashanti Plc's 0. 53x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited (HMY) trades at 0. 4x forward P/E versus 9. 1x for AngloGold Ashanti Plc — 8. 7x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for AU: 46. 2% to $133. 00.
08Which pays a better dividend — HMY or GFI or AU?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
AngloGold Ashanti Plc (AU) offers the highest yield at 4. 0%, versus 0. 9% for Gold Fields Limited (GFI).
09Is HMY or GFI or AU better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Gold Fields Limited (GFI) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
86), 0. 9% yield, +989. 0% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (GFI: +989. 0%, HMY: +399. 3%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between HMY and GFI and AU?
Both stocks operate in the Basic Materials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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