Gold Fields Limited (GFI)
Valuation Overview•Is Gold Fields Limited Overvalued or Undervalued?
Trading at a discount to intrinsic cash flow value, implying pessimistic long-term market expectations.
High-quality fundamentals with a strong composite quality score of 82/100, backed by robust profitability and solvency.
Analysts remain bullish, forecasting further upside expansion with consensus targets suggesting solid gains.
Verdict: High-quality compounder, with solvency as the only relative weakness.
Wall Street is highly bullish, projecting significant upside alongside robust expected earnings growth. However, capital return yields remain modest, anchored by a strong, well-covered dividend yield.
GFI exhibits elite business quality, driven by exceptional capital efficiency and highly lucrative margins (highlighted by a massive 24.0% ROIC). This is paired with a moderately leveraged but stable balance sheet.
The company demonstrates solid revenue growth (7.4% 3Y CAGR) paired with robust earnings compounding (14.9% EPS 3Y CAGR). This growth is supported by elite operational efficiency, sustaining an impressive 43.2% operating margin.
| Financial Metric | Trend (12Q) | Latest Qtr | 1Y Growth | 3Y CAGR | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $3.5B | +15.6% | +7.4% | +11.9% | +6.1% | |
| EBITDA | $2.0B | — | +5.9% | — | — | |
| Net Income | $1.0B | +77.0% | +16.4% | — | +58.1% | |
| EPS (Diluted) | $1.14 | +79.2% | +14.9% | +48.7% | +55.6% | |
| Free Cash Flow | $1.0B | +62.1% | +15.2% | +20.6% | — |
| Metric | TTM | 3Y Avg | 5Y Avg | 10Y Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Margin | 43.1% | 38.5% | 39.6% | 30.5% |
| Operating Margin | 43.2% | 34.8% | 35.8% | 25.3% |
| Net Margin | 23.2% | 18.7% | 18.7% | 8.0% |
| FCF Margin | 18.7% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 7.7% |
| Quarter | EPS Est. | EPS Act. | Surprise | EPS | Rev |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1'26Latest | $2.35 | $2.12 | -9.8% | ||
| Q3'25 | $1.19 | $1.15 | -3.4% | ||
| Q1'25 | $0.46 | $0.96 | +107.8% | ||
| Q3'24 | $0.34 | $0.43 | +27.8% | ||
| Q1'24 | $0.06 | $0.30 | +391.8% | ||
| Q3'23 | $0.39 | $0.51 | +31.3% | ||
| Q1'23 | $0.33 | $0.21 | -36.0% | ||
| Q3'22 | $0.39 | $0.57 | +46.2% |
Total return is +66.0% (1Y), outperforming the benchmark by +41.0%
| Period | Total Return | vs S&P 500 (Alpha) | Dividend Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| YTD | -8.3% | -17.6% | — |
| 1Y | +66.0% | +41.0% | +7.3% |
| 3YCAGR | +41.8% | +22.5% | +18.6% |
| 5YCAGR | +35.6% | +22.8% | +37.5% |
| 10YCAGR | +25.9% | +12.2% | — |
The S&P 500 is at 31.3x trailing P/E — Expensive relative to historical averages.
Quick answers to common questions about Gold Fields Limited (GFI) valuation, health, and returns.
Gold Fields Limited is estimated to be undervalued under our discounted cash flow framework. relative multiples indicate the stock is Fair versus peers compared to industry peers. undervalued (implying +49.7% upside to DCF intrinsic value of $57.79)
Gold Fields Limited has multiple valuation anchors: DCF Intrinsic Value: $57.79 | Peer Relative Fair Value: $38.49 | Wall Street Analyst Target: $59.13 (implying +53.2% upside). A convergence of these signals offers higher conviction.
Gold Fields Limited displays excellent financial health with a composite quality score of 82/100, supported by a Altman Z-Score of 6.3 (safe zone), Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) of 24.0%.
Gold Fields Limited pays a 1.0% dividend yield, covered by a 28% payout ratio with 1 years of growth, supplemented by a 0.0% buyback yield.
Gold Fields Limited's current growth trajectory is Accelerating. The company achieved +15.6% 1Y revenue growth and +79.2% 1Y EPS growth, compared to its 3Y revenue CAGR of +7.4%.
Wall Street consensus is Hold based on 18 analysts, beating EPS expectations in 67% of recent quarters with a -2-quarter streak. The consensus price target represents a +53.2% change from current levels.
Investment risks for Gold Fields Limited include: -45.5% 1-year max drawdown, high beta (1.87x market volatility). Volatility risk is characterized by a beta of 1.87x.
No. These computations are purely quantitative model outputs for informational purposes. They do not account for qualitative management shifts or macro events. Always consult a licensed RIA before buying or selling shares.
Disclaimer: This page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All valuation models, scores, and target estimates are automated computations under stated assumptions and should not be relied upon as the sole basis for any investment decision.