HOG
Harley-Davidson, Inc.
Auto - Recreational Vehicles
Market Cap$2.67B
5Y Perf.-44.6%
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Stock Comparison
HOG vs MBLY
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
MBLY
Mobileye Global Inc.
Auto - Parts
Market Cap$7.39B
5Y Perf.-65.6%
HOG vs MBLY — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | HOG | MBLY |
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Auto - Recreational Vehicles | Auto - Parts |
| Market Cap | $2.67B | $7.39B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $4.32B | $2.01B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $230M | $-4.11B |
| Gross Margin | 23.0% | 48.3% |
| Operating Margin | 5.9% | -209.5% |
| Forward P/E | 58.0x | 32.1x |
| Total Debt | $3.05B | $0.00 |
| Cash & Equiv. | $3.09B | $1.84B |
HOG vs MBLY — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
HOG
MBLY
| Stock | Oct 22 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Harley-Davidson, In… (HOG) | 100 | 55.4 | -44.6% |
| Mobileye Global Inc. (MBLY) | 100 | 34.4 | -65.6% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: HOG vs MBLY
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
Bottom line: HOG leads in 5 of 7 categories, making it the strongest pick for profitability and margin quality and capital preservation and lower volatility. Mobileye Global Inc. is the stronger pick specifically for growth and revenue expansion and valuation and capital efficiency. As sector peers, any of these can serve as alternatives in the same allocation.
HOG
Harley-Davidson, Inc.
The Income Pick
HOG carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and long-term compounding.
- Dividend streak 5 yrs, beta 0.96, yield 3.0%
- -27.7% 10Y total return vs MBLY's -68.7%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.96, Low D/E 96.7%, current ratio 2.10x
Best for: income & stability and long-term compounding
MBLY
Mobileye Global Inc.
The Growth Play
MBLY is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure.
- Rev growth 14.5%, EPS growth 87.4%, 3Y rev CAGR 0.4%
- 14.5% revenue growth vs HOG's -13.8%
- Lower P/E (32.1x vs 58.0x)
Best for: growth exposure
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | MBLY | 14.5% revenue growth vs HOG's -13.8% |
| Value | MBLY | Lower P/E (32.1x vs 58.0x) |
| Quality / Margins | HOG | 5.3% margin vs MBLY's -204.0% |
| Stability / Safety | HOG | Beta 0.96 vs MBLY's 1.80 |
| Dividends | HOG | 3.0% yield; 5-year raise streak; the other pay no meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | HOG | +5.4% vs MBLY's -37.7% |
| Efficiency (ROA) | HOG | 2.4% ROA vs MBLY's -35.5%, ROIC 5.0% vs -3.2% |
HOG vs MBLY — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
FY 2025
FY 2025
HOG vs MBLY — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
BEST OVERALLHOGLAGGINGMBLY
MBLYMobileye Global Inc.
0leads
HOGHarley-Davidson, Inc.
4leads
6 Total Categories
CATEGORYLEADERvs MBLYMETRICS WON
Income & Cash FlowRevenue, margins, and cash flow strength
Tied
—
Valuation MetricsMultiples, price ratios, and targets
Tied
—
Profitability & EfficiencyROE, ROIC, leverage, and quality scores
HOG5/7
Total Returns1Y, 3Y, 5Y total returns with dividends
HOG6/6
Risk & VolatilityBeta, volatility, and downside exposure
HOG2/2
Analyst OutlookRatings, price targets, and dividends
HOG1/1
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
Evenly matched — HOG and MBLY each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
HOG is the larger business by revenue, generating $4.3B annually — 2.1x MBLY's $2.0B. HOG is the more profitable business, keeping 5.3% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to MBLY's -2.0%. On growth, MBLY holds the edge at +27.4% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | HOGHarley-Davidson, … | MBLYMobileye Global I… |
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $4.3B | $2.0B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $366M | -$3.8B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $230M | -$4.1B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $44M | $482M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +23.0% | +48.3% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +5.9% | -2.1% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +5.3% | -2.0% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +1.0% | +23.9% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -11.8% | +27.4% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -79.4% | -35.0% |
Evenly matched — HOG and MBLY each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
Evenly matched — HOG and MBLY each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
On an enterprise value basis, HOG's 5.3x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than MBLY's 72.1x.
| Metric | HOGHarley-Davidson, … | MBLYMobileye Global I… |
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $2.7B | $7.4B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $2.6B | $5.6B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 8.58x | -18.90x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 57.98x | 32.08x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 0.04x | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 5.34x | 72.09x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.60x | 3.90x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.92x | 0.62x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 6.42x | 14.12x |
Evenly matched — HOG and MBLY each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
HOG leads this category, winning 5 of 7 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
HOG delivers a 7.0% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $7 in annual profit, vs $-37 for MBLY. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), HOG scores 7/9 vs MBLY's 5/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | HOGHarley-Davidson, … | MBLYMobileye Global I… |
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +7.0% | -37.3% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +2.4% | -35.5% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +5.0% | -3.2% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +5.6% | -3.6% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 7 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.97x | — |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$38M | -$1.8B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $3.1B | $1.8B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $3.1B | $0 |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 13.87x | — |
HOG leads this category, winning 5 of 7 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
HOG leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in HOG five years ago would be worth $5,551 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $3,131 for MBLY. Over the past 12 months, HOG leads with a +5.4% total return vs MBLY's -37.7%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors HOG at -10.1% vs MBLY's -38.5% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | HOGHarley-Davidson, … | MBLYMobileye Global I… |
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +16.4% | -19.2% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +5.4% | -37.7% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -27.3% | -76.8% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -44.5% | -68.7% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -27.7% | -68.7% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -10.1% | -38.5% |
HOG leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
HOG leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
HOG is the less volatile stock with a 0.96 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than MBLY's 1.80 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. HOG currently trades 76.3% from its 52-week high vs MBLY's 44.9% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | HOGHarley-Davidson, … | MBLYMobileye Global I… |
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.96x | 1.80x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $31.25 | $20.18 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $17.09 | $6.47 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +76.3% | +44.9% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 66.6 | 61.1 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 3.5M | 6.2M |
HOG leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
HOG leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates HOG as "Hold" and MBLY as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 59.2% upside for MBLY (target: $14) vs -12.8% for HOG (target: $21). HOG is the only dividend payer here at 2.99% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | HOGHarley-Davidson, … | MBLYMobileye Global I… |
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $20.80 | $14.44 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 35 | 26 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +3.0% | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 5 | 1 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $0.71 | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +13.2% | +1.4% |
HOG leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Key Takeaway
HOG leads in 4 of 6 categories — strongest in Profitability & Efficiency and Total Returns. 2 categories are tied.
Best OverallHarley-Davidson, Inc. (HOG)Leads 4 of 6 categories
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HOG vs MBLY: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is HOG or MBLY a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Mobileye Global Inc.
(MBLY) is the stronger pick with 14. 5% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -13. 8% for Harley-Davidson, Inc. (HOG). Harley-Davidson, Inc. (HOG) offers the better valuation at 8. 6x trailing P/E (58. 0x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Mobileye Global Inc. (MBLY) a "Buy" — based on 26 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — HOG or MBLY?
On forward P/E, Mobileye Global Inc.
is actually cheaper at 32. 1x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — HOG or MBLY?
Over the past 5 years, Harley-Davidson, Inc.
(HOG) delivered a total return of -44. 5%, compared to -68. 7% for Mobileye Global Inc. (MBLY). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: HOG returned -27. 7% versus MBLY's -68. 7%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — HOG or MBLY?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Harley-Davidson, Inc.
(HOG) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 96β versus Mobileye Global Inc. 's 1. 80β — meaning MBLY is approximately 87% more volatile than HOG relative to the S&P 500.
05Which is growing faster — HOG or MBLY?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Mobileye Global Inc.
(MBLY) is pulling ahead at 14. 5% versus -13. 8% for Harley-Davidson, Inc. (HOG). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Mobileye Global Inc. grew EPS 87. 4% year-over-year, compared to -19. 2% for Harley-Davidson, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, MBLY leads at 0. 4% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — HOG or MBLY?
Harley-Davidson, Inc.
(HOG) is the more profitable company, earning 7. 6% net margin versus -20. 7% for Mobileye Global Inc. — meaning it keeps 7. 6% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: HOG leads at 8. 6% versus -23. 2% for MBLY. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — MBLY leads at 47. 7%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is HOG or MBLY more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Mobileye Global Inc.
(MBLY) trades at 32. 1x forward P/E versus 58. 0x for Harley-Davidson, Inc. — 25. 9x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for MBLY: 59. 2% to $14. 44.
08Which pays a better dividend — HOG or MBLY?
In this comparison, HOG (3.
0% yield) pays a dividend. MBLY does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is HOG or MBLY better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Harley-Davidson, Inc.
(HOG) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 96), 3. 0% yield). Mobileye Global Inc. (MBLY) carries a higher beta of 1. 80 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (HOG: -27. 7%, MBLY: -68. 7%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between HOG and MBLY?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Cyclical sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: HOG is a small-cap deep-value stock; MBLY is a small-cap quality compounder stock. HOG pays a dividend while MBLY does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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