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MDU vs NI vs OGE
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Regulated Gas
Regulated Electric
MDU vs NI vs OGE — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Conglomerates | Regulated Gas | Regulated Electric |
| Market Cap | $4.82B | $22.72B | $9.85B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $1.88B | $6.82B | $3.27B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $169M | $962M | $458M |
| Gross Margin | 31.8% | 62.8% | 48.8% |
| Operating Margin | 14.8% | 27.8% | 23.9% |
| Forward P/E | 22.8x | 23.1x | 19.6x |
| Total Debt | $2.29B | $16.24B | $5.66B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $50M | $136M | $200K |
MDU vs NI vs OGE — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| MDU Resources Group… (MDU) | 100 | 269.8 | +169.8% |
| NiSource Inc. (NI) | 100 | 199.2 | +99.2% |
| OGE Energy Corp. (OGE) | 100 | 152.4 | +52.4% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: MDU vs NI vs OGE
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
MDU is the clearest fit if your priority is long-term compounding.
- 224.6% 10Y total return vs NI's 141.5%
- +30.3% vs OGE's +9.2%
NI carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure.
- Rev growth 21.8%, EPS growth 20.4%, 3Y rev CAGR 4.3%
- 21.8% revenue growth vs MDU's -2.5%
- 14.1% margin vs MDU's 9.0%
OGE is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and sleep-well-at-night.
- Dividend streak 1 yrs, beta 0.07, yield 3.5%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.07, current ratio 0.78x
- Beta 0.07, yield 3.5%, current ratio 0.78x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 21.8% revenue growth vs MDU's -2.5% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (19.6x vs 23.1x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 14.1% margin vs MDU's 9.0% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.07 vs MDU's 0.38 | |
| Dividends | 2.4% yield, 4-year raise streak, vs OGE's 3.5% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +30.3% vs OGE's +9.2% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 3.7% ROA vs MDU's 2.4%, ROIC 5.3% vs 3.9% |
MDU vs NI vs OGE — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
MDU vs NI vs OGE — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 3 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
NI leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
NI is the larger business by revenue, generating $6.8B annually — 3.6x MDU's $1.9B. NI is the more profitable business, keeping 14.1% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to MDU's 9.0%. On growth, MDU holds the edge at +8.8% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $1.9B | $6.8B | $3.3B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $484M | $3.1B | $1.3B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $169M | $962M | $458M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$22M | -$1.0B | $1.2B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +31.8% | +62.8% | +48.8% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +14.8% | +27.8% | +23.9% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +9.0% | +14.1% | +14.0% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -1.2% | -15.0% | +38.1% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +8.8% | +8.2% | +0.7% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -71.9% | +6.0% | -22.6% |
Valuation Metrics
MDU leads this category, winning 3 of 5 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 16.3x trailing earnings, MDU trades at a 33% valuation discount to NI's 24.3x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, OGE's 11.4x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than MDU's 15.2x.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $4.8B | $22.7B | $9.9B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $7.1B | $38.8B | $15.5B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 16.28x | 24.35x | 20.57x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 22.76x | 23.08x | 19.65x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 15.16x | 12.93x | 11.41x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 2.74x | 3.42x | 3.02x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.70x | 1.93x | 1.94x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | — | 119.11x |
Profitability & Efficiency
Evenly matched — MDU and OGE each lead in 4 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
OGE delivers a 9.5% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $9 in annual profit, vs $6 for MDU. MDU carries lower financial leverage with a 0.85x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to NI's 1.39x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), NI scores 7/9 vs MDU's 5/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +6.2% | +8.4% | +9.5% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +2.4% | +3.7% | +3.2% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +3.9% | +5.3% | +5.8% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +4.1% | +6.0% | +6.2% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 5 | 7 | 7 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.85x | 1.39x | 1.14x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $2.2B | $16.1B | $5.7B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $50M | $136M | $200,000 |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $2.3B | $16.2B | $5.7B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 3.03x | 2.87x | 2.96x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
MDU leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in NI five years ago would be worth $20,435 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $16,479 for OGE. Over the past 12 months, MDU leads with a +30.3% total return vs OGE's +9.2%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors MDU at 29.0% vs OGE's 12.0% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +13.0% | +14.0% | +13.3% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +30.3% | +23.6% | +9.2% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +114.9% | +78.4% | +40.6% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +87.7% | +104.3% | +64.8% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +224.6% | +141.5% | +110.7% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +29.0% | +21.3% | +12.0% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — MDU and OGE each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
OGE is the less volatile stock with a 0.07 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than MDU's 0.38 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.38x | 0.22x | 0.07x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $22.83 | $48.98 | $50.13 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $15.76 | $37.22 | $41.70 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +97.7% | +96.9% | +95.2% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 62.8 | 56.3 | 50.0 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 1.5M | 3.9M | 1.5M |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — NI and OGE each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: MDU as "Buy", NI as "Buy", OGE as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 4.9% upside for NI (target: $50) vs -5.9% for MDU (target: $21). For income investors, OGE offers the higher dividend yield at 3.54% vs MDU's 2.25%.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $21.00 | $49.80 | $46.80 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 17 | 22 | 21 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +2.3% | +2.4% | +3.5% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | 4 | 1 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $0.50 | $1.12 | $1.69 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
MDU leads in 2 of 6 categories (Valuation Metrics, Total Returns). NI leads in 1 (Income & Cash Flow). 3 tied.
MDU vs NI vs OGE: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is MDU or NI or OGE a better buy right now?
For growth investors, NiSource Inc.
(NI) is the stronger pick with 21. 8% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -2. 5% for MDU Resources Group, Inc. (MDU). MDU Resources Group, Inc. (MDU) offers the better valuation at 16. 3x trailing P/E (22. 8x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate MDU Resources Group, Inc. (MDU) a "Buy" — based on 17 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — MDU or NI or OGE?
On trailing P/E, MDU Resources Group, Inc.
(MDU) is the cheapest at 16. 3x versus NiSource Inc. at 24. 3x. On forward P/E, OGE Energy Corp. is actually cheaper at 19. 6x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — MDU or NI or OGE?
Over the past 5 years, NiSource Inc.
(NI) delivered a total return of +104. 3%, compared to +64. 8% for OGE Energy Corp. (OGE). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: MDU returned +224. 6% versus OGE's +110. 7%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — MDU or NI or OGE?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), OGE Energy Corp.
(OGE) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 07β versus MDU Resources Group, Inc. 's 0. 38β — meaning MDU is approximately 422% more volatile than OGE relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, MDU Resources Group, Inc. (MDU) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 85% versus 139% for NiSource Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — MDU or NI or OGE?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), NiSource Inc.
(NI) is pulling ahead at 21. 8% versus -2. 5% for MDU Resources Group, Inc. (MDU). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: NiSource Inc. grew EPS 20. 4% year-over-year, compared to -32. 5% for MDU Resources Group, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, NI leads at 4. 3% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — MDU or NI or OGE?
MDU Resources Group, Inc.
(MDU) is the more profitable company, earning 16. 0% net margin versus 14. 0% for NiSource Inc. — meaning it keeps 16. 0% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: NI leads at 27. 6% versus 15. 1% for MDU. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — NI leads at 58. 6%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is MDU or NI or OGE more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, OGE Energy Corp.
(OGE) trades at 19. 6x forward P/E versus 23. 1x for NiSource Inc. — 3. 4x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for NI: 4. 9% to $49. 80.
08Which pays a better dividend — MDU or NI or OGE?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
OGE Energy Corp. (OGE) offers the highest yield at 3. 5%, versus 2. 3% for MDU Resources Group, Inc. (MDU).
09Is MDU or NI or OGE better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, OGE Energy Corp.
(OGE) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 07), 3. 5% yield, +110. 7% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (OGE: +110. 7%, MDU: +224. 6%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between MDU and NI and OGE?
These companies operate in different sectors (MDU (Industrials) and NI (Utilities) and OGE (Utilities)), which means they face different economic cycles, regulatory environments, and macro sensitivities — making direct comparison nuanced.
In terms of investment character: MDU is a small-cap deep-value stock; NI is a mid-cap high-growth stock; OGE is a small-cap income-oriented stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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