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NRG vs EXC
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Regulated Electric
NRG vs EXC — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Independent Power Producers | Regulated Electric |
| Market Cap | $32.32B | $46.05B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $32.38B | $24.79B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $239M | $2.78B |
| Gross Margin | 14.5% | 29.5% |
| Operating Margin | 3.2% | 21.0% |
| Forward P/E | 16.4x | 15.8x |
| Total Debt | $16.77B | $50.55B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $4.74B | $1.15B |
NRG vs EXC — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| NRG Energy, Inc. (NRG) | 100 | 417.9 | +317.9% |
| Exelon Corporation (EXC) | 100 | 164.8 | +64.8% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: NRG vs EXC
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
NRG carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 9.2%, EPS growth -19.6%, 3Y rev CAGR -0.9%
- 9.4% 10Y total return vs EXC's 124.7%
- Lower volatility, beta 1.84, current ratio 1.64x
EXC is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability.
- Dividend streak 1 yrs, beta -0.14, yield 3.5%
- 11.2% margin vs NRG's 0.7%
- Lower D/E ratio (175.5% vs 10.0%)
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 9.2% revenue growth vs EXC's 5.3% | |
| Value | PEG 1.13 vs 2.50 | |
| Quality / Margins | 11.2% margin vs NRG's 0.7% | |
| Stability / Safety | Lower D/E ratio (175.5% vs 10.0%) | |
| Dividends | 1.4% yield, 8-year raise streak, vs EXC's 3.5% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +30.3% vs EXC's +0.8% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 3.3% ROA vs NRG's 1.2%, ROIC 5.1% vs 10.6% |
NRG vs EXC — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
NRG vs EXC — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
EXC leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
NRG and EXC operate at a comparable scale, with $32.4B and $24.8B in trailing revenue. EXC is the more profitable business, keeping 11.2% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to NRG's 0.7%. On growth, NRG holds the edge at +19.5% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $32.4B | $24.8B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $3.1B | $8.9B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $239M | $2.8B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$7.7B | -$2.2B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +14.5% | +29.5% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +3.2% | +21.0% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +0.7% | +11.2% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -23.7% | -8.7% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +19.5% | +7.9% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -85.6% | 0.0% |
Valuation Metrics
EXC leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 16.4x trailing earnings, EXC trades at a 56% valuation discount to NRG's 37.6x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), EXC offers better value at 2.57x vs NRG's 2.66x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $32.3B | $46.1B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $44.3B | $95.5B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 37.57x | 16.43x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 16.43x | 15.78x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 2.66x | 2.57x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 11.66x | 10.86x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 1.05x | 1.90x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 17.83x | 1.58x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 42.19x | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
NRG leads this category, winning 5 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
EXC delivers a 9.8% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $10 in annual profit, vs $9 for NRG. EXC carries lower financial leverage with a 1.76x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to NRG's 9.97x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), NRG scores 6/9 vs EXC's 5/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +8.8% | +9.8% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +1.2% | +3.3% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +10.6% | +5.1% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +10.2% | +5.0% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 6 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 9.97x | 1.76x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $12.0B | $49.4B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $4.7B | $1.2B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $16.8B | $50.6B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 2.40x | 2.42x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
NRG leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in NRG five years ago would be worth $45,611 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $16,447 for EXC. Over the past 12 months, NRG leads with a +30.3% total return vs EXC's +0.8%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors NRG at 70.7% vs EXC's 5.1% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -8.8% | +3.5% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +30.3% | +0.8% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +397.4% | +16.1% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +356.1% | +64.5% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +936.2% | +124.7% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +70.7% | +5.1% |
Risk & Volatility
EXC leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
EXC is the less volatile stock with a -0.14 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than NRG's 1.84 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. EXC currently trades 88.9% from its 52-week high vs NRG's 79.3% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.84x | -0.14x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $189.96 | $50.65 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $114.20 | $41.71 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +79.3% | +88.9% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 50.7 | 40.6 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 2.8M | 8.2M |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — NRG and EXC each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates NRG as "Buy" and EXC as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 28.8% upside for NRG (target: $194) vs 9.2% for EXC (target: $49). For income investors, EXC offers the higher dividend yield at 3.55% vs NRG's 1.37%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $194.00 | $49.18 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 26 | 35 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +1.4% | +3.5% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 8 | 1 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $2.07 | $1.60 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +4.3% | 0.0% |
EXC leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Valuation Metrics). NRG leads in 2 (Profitability & Efficiency, Total Returns). 1 tied.
NRG vs EXC: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is NRG or EXC a better buy right now?
For growth investors, NRG Energy, Inc.
(NRG) is the stronger pick with 9. 2% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 5. 3% for Exelon Corporation (EXC). Exelon Corporation (EXC) offers the better valuation at 16. 4x trailing P/E (15. 8x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate NRG Energy, Inc. (NRG) a "Buy" — based on 26 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — NRG or EXC?
On trailing P/E, Exelon Corporation (EXC) is the cheapest at 16.
4x versus NRG Energy, Inc. at 37. 6x. On forward P/E, Exelon Corporation is actually cheaper at 15. 8x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: NRG Energy, Inc. wins at 1. 13x versus Exelon Corporation's 2. 50x — a reasonable growth-adjusted valuation.
03Which is the better long-term investment — NRG or EXC?
Over the past 5 years, NRG Energy, Inc.
(NRG) delivered a total return of +356. 1%, compared to +64. 5% for Exelon Corporation (EXC). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: NRG returned +936. 2% versus EXC's +124. 7%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — NRG or EXC?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Exelon Corporation (EXC) is the lower-risk stock at -0.
14β versus NRG Energy, Inc. 's 1. 84β — meaning NRG is approximately -1414% more volatile than EXC relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Exelon Corporation (EXC) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 176% versus 10% for NRG Energy, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — NRG or EXC?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), NRG Energy, Inc.
(NRG) is pulling ahead at 9. 2% versus 5. 3% for Exelon Corporation (EXC). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Exelon Corporation grew EPS 11. 8% year-over-year, compared to -19. 6% for NRG Energy, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, EXC leads at 8. 3% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — NRG or EXC?
Exelon Corporation (EXC) is the more profitable company, earning 11.
4% net margin versus 2. 8% for NRG Energy, Inc. — meaning it keeps 11. 4% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: EXC leads at 21. 2% versus 6. 0% for NRG. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — EXC leads at 27. 9%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is NRG or EXC more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, NRG Energy, Inc. (NRG) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 1. 13x versus Exelon Corporation's 2. 50x. A PEG below 1. 5 suggests fair-to-attractive pricing relative to expected growth. On forward earnings alone, Exelon Corporation (EXC) trades at 15. 8x forward P/E versus 16. 4x for NRG Energy, Inc. — 0. 7x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for NRG: 28. 8% to $194. 00.
08Which pays a better dividend — NRG or EXC?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Exelon Corporation (EXC) offers the highest yield at 3. 5%, versus 1. 4% for NRG Energy, Inc. (NRG).
09Is NRG or EXC better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Exelon Corporation (EXC) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β -0.
14), 3. 5% yield, +124. 7% 10Y return). NRG Energy, Inc. (NRG) carries a higher beta of 1. 84 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (EXC: +124. 7%, NRG: +936. 2%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between NRG and EXC?
Both stocks operate in the Utilities sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: NRG is a mid-cap quality compounder stock; EXC is a mid-cap deep-value stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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