Software - Infrastructure
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2 / 10Stock Comparison
OSPN vs NCNO
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Software - Application
OSPN vs NCNO — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Software - Infrastructure | Software - Application |
| Market Cap | $455M | $2.11B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $246M | $586M |
| Net Income (TTM) | $70M | $-22M |
| Gross Margin | 70.5% | 60.1% |
| Operating Margin | 19.4% | -0.8% |
| Forward P/E | 9.9x | 19.6x |
| Total Debt | $6M | $237M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $70M | $121M |
OSPN vs NCNO — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Jul 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| OneSpan Inc. (OSPN) | 100 | 39.0 | -61.0% |
| nCino, Inc. (NCNO) | 100 | 22.5 | -77.5% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: OSPN vs NCNO
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
OSPN carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for long-term compounding and sleep-well-at-night.
- -21.7% 10Y total return vs NCNO's -80.6%
- Lower volatility, beta 1.23, Low D/E 2.3%, current ratio 1.50x
- Lower P/E (9.9x vs 19.6x)
NCNO is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and growth exposure.
- beta 1.18
- Rev growth 13.5%, EPS growth 13.2%, 3Y rev CAGR 25.4%
- Beta 1.18, current ratio 1.20x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 13.5% revenue growth vs OSPN's 0.0% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (9.9x vs 19.6x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 28.5% margin vs NCNO's -3.7% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.18 vs OSPN's 1.23 | |
| Dividends | 3.9% yield; 2-year raise streak; the other pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | -19.1% vs NCNO's -22.1% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 18.9% ROA vs NCNO's -1.4%, ROIC 21.7% vs -1.2% |
OSPN vs NCNO — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
OSPN vs NCNO — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
OSPN leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
NCNO is the larger business by revenue, generating $586M annually — 2.4x OSPN's $246M. OSPN is the more profitable business, keeping 28.5% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to NCNO's -3.7%. On growth, NCNO holds the edge at +9.6% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $246M | $586M |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $57M | $27M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $70M | -$22M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $47M | $60M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +70.5% | +60.1% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +19.4% | -0.8% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +28.5% | -3.7% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +19.0% | +10.2% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +4.1% | +9.6% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -18.9% | +2.3% |
Valuation Metrics
OSPN leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
On an enterprise value basis, OSPN's 6.0x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than NCNO's 122.0x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $455M | $2.1B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $391M | $2.2B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 6.39x | -53.88x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 9.89x | 19.64x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 6.00x | 121.97x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 1.87x | 3.89x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.72x | 1.87x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 9.02x | 39.45x |
Profitability & Efficiency
OSPN leads this category, winning 8 of 8 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
OSPN delivers a 27.3% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $27 in annual profit, vs $-2 for NCNO. OSPN carries lower financial leverage with a 0.02x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to NCNO's 0.22x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +27.3% | -2.1% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +18.9% | -1.4% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +21.7% | -1.2% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +19.6% | -1.5% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 5 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.02x | 0.22x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$64M | $116M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $70M | $121M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $6M | $237M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 1656.95x | -0.51x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
OSPN leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in OSPN five years ago would be worth $4,969 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $3,144 for NCNO. Over the past 12 months, OSPN leads with a -19.1% total return vs NCNO's -22.1%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors OSPN at -2.4% vs NCNO's -7.6% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -0.1% | -27.9% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -19.1% | -22.1% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -7.0% | -21.0% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -50.3% | -68.6% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -21.7% | -80.6% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -2.4% | -7.6% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — OSPN and NCNO each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
NCNO is the less volatile stock with a 1.18 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than OSPN's 1.23 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. OSPN currently trades 67.0% from its 52-week high vs NCNO's 52.4% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.23x | 1.18x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $18.13 | $33.92 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $10.07 | $13.80 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +67.0% | +52.4% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 61.5 | 50.1 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 599K | 2.7M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates OSPN as "Buy" and NCNO as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 81.8% upside for NCNO (target: $32) vs 27.6% for OSPN (target: $16). OSPN is the only dividend payer here at 3.95% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $15.50 | $32.33 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 15 | 23 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +3.9% | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 2 | — |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $0.48 | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +2.9% | 0.0% |
OSPN leads in 4 of 6 categories — strongest in Income & Cash Flow and Valuation Metrics. 1 category is tied.
OSPN vs NCNO: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is OSPN or NCNO a better buy right now?
For growth investors, nCino, Inc.
(NCNO) is the stronger pick with 13. 5% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 0. 0% for OneSpan Inc. (OSPN). OneSpan Inc. (OSPN) offers the better valuation at 6. 4x trailing P/E (9. 9x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate OneSpan Inc. (OSPN) a "Buy" — based on 15 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — OSPN or NCNO?
On forward P/E, OneSpan Inc.
is actually cheaper at 9. 9x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — OSPN or NCNO?
Over the past 5 years, OneSpan Inc.
(OSPN) delivered a total return of -50. 3%, compared to -68. 6% for nCino, Inc. (NCNO). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: OSPN returned -21. 7% versus NCNO's -80. 6%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — OSPN or NCNO?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), nCino, Inc.
(NCNO) is the lower-risk stock at 1. 18β versus OneSpan Inc. 's 1. 23β — meaning OSPN is approximately 4% more volatile than NCNO relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, OneSpan Inc. (OSPN) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 2% versus 22% for nCino, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — OSPN or NCNO?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), nCino, Inc.
(NCNO) is pulling ahead at 13. 5% versus 0. 0% for OneSpan Inc. (OSPN). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: OneSpan Inc. grew EPS 30. 1% year-over-year, compared to 13. 2% for nCino, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, NCNO leads at 25. 4% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — OSPN or NCNO?
OneSpan Inc.
(OSPN) is the more profitable company, earning 30. 0% net margin versus -7. 0% for nCino, Inc. — meaning it keeps 30. 0% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: OSPN leads at 20. 6% versus -3. 4% for NCNO. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — OSPN leads at 70. 7%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is OSPN or NCNO more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, OneSpan Inc.
(OSPN) trades at 9. 9x forward P/E versus 19. 6x for nCino, Inc. — 9. 7x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for NCNO: 81. 8% to $32. 33.
08Which pays a better dividend — OSPN or NCNO?
In this comparison, OSPN (3.
9% yield) pays a dividend. NCNO does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is OSPN or NCNO better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, OneSpan Inc.
(OSPN) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 1. 23), 3. 9% yield). Both have compounded well over 10 years (OSPN: -21. 7%, NCNO: -80. 6%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between OSPN and NCNO?
Both stocks operate in the Technology sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: OSPN is a small-cap deep-value stock; NCNO is a small-cap quality compounder stock. OSPN pays a dividend while NCNO does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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