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NCNO vs QTWO
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Software - Application
NCNO vs QTWO — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Software - Application | Software - Application |
| Market Cap | $2.07B | $3.09B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $586M | $822M |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-22M | $74M |
| Gross Margin | 60.1% | 55.6% |
| Operating Margin | -0.8% | 8.2% |
| Forward P/E | 19.3x | 17.6x |
| Total Debt | $237M | $346M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $121M | $368M |
NCNO vs QTWO — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Jul 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| nCino, Inc. (NCNO) | 100 | 22.0 | -78.0% |
| Q2 Holdings, Inc. (QTWO) | 100 | 52.5 | -47.5% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: NCNO vs QTWO
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
NCNO is the clearest fit if your priority is sleep-well-at-night.
- Lower volatility, beta 1.18, Low D/E 21.6%, current ratio 1.20x
- -21.3% vs QTWO's -37.8%
QTWO carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- beta 1.06
- Rev growth 14.1%, EPS growth 225.0%, 3Y rev CAGR 12.0%
- 112.8% 10Y total return vs NCNO's -81.0%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 14.1% revenue growth vs NCNO's 13.5% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (17.6x vs 19.3x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 9.0% margin vs NCNO's -3.7% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.06 vs NCNO's 1.18 | |
| Dividends | Tie | Neither stock pays a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | -21.3% vs QTWO's -37.8% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 5.5% ROA vs NCNO's -1.4%, ROIC 5.1% vs -1.2% |
NCNO vs QTWO — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
NCNO vs QTWO — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
QTWO leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
QTWO and NCNO operate at a comparable scale, with $822M and $586M in trailing revenue. QTWO is the more profitable business, keeping 9.0% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to NCNO's -3.7%. On growth, QTWO holds the edge at +14.1% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $586M | $822M |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $27M | $115M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$22M | $74M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $60M | $196M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +60.1% | +55.6% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -0.8% | +8.2% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -3.7% | +9.0% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +10.2% | +23.8% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +9.6% | +14.1% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +2.3% | +4.7% |
Valuation Metrics
Evenly matched — NCNO and QTWO each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
On an enterprise value basis, QTWO's 26.7x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than NCNO's 119.8x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $2.1B | $3.1B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $2.2B | $3.1B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -52.85x | 61.67x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 19.26x | 17.57x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 119.76x | 26.66x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 3.82x | 3.89x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.83x | 4.85x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 38.69x | 15.87x |
Profitability & Efficiency
QTWO leads this category, winning 7 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
QTWO delivers a 11.9% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $12 in annual profit, vs $-2 for NCNO. NCNO carries lower financial leverage with a 0.22x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to QTWO's 0.52x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), QTWO scores 7/9 vs NCNO's 5/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -2.1% | +11.9% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -1.4% | +5.5% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -1.2% | +5.1% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -1.5% | +5.6% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 5 | 7 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.22x | 0.52x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $116M | -$22M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $121M | $368M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $237M | $346M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -0.51x | 15.31x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
QTWO leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in QTWO five years ago would be worth $5,198 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $3,088 for NCNO. Over the past 12 months, NCNO leads with a -21.3% total return vs QTWO's -37.8%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors QTWO at 29.7% vs NCNO's -8.2% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -29.2% | -28.9% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -21.3% | -37.8% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -22.5% | +118.4% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -69.1% | -48.0% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -81.0% | +112.8% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -8.2% | +29.7% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — NCNO and QTWO each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
QTWO is the less volatile stock with a 1.06 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than NCNO's 1.18 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.18x | 1.06x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $33.92 | $96.68 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $13.80 | $44.65 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +51.4% | +51.0% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 55.9 | 55.5 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 2.7M | 954K |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates NCNO as "Buy" and QTWO as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 85.4% upside for NCNO (target: $32) vs 54.0% for QTWO (target: $76).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $32.33 | $76.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 23 | 32 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | — |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +0.2% |
QTWO leads in 3 of 6 categories — strongest in Income & Cash Flow and Profitability & Efficiency. 2 categories are tied.
NCNO vs QTWO: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is NCNO or QTWO a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Q2 Holdings, Inc.
(QTWO) is the stronger pick with 14. 1% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 13. 5% for nCino, Inc. (NCNO). Q2 Holdings, Inc. (QTWO) offers the better valuation at 61. 7x trailing P/E (17. 6x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate nCino, Inc. (NCNO) a "Buy" — based on 23 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — NCNO or QTWO?
On forward P/E, Q2 Holdings, Inc.
is actually cheaper at 17. 6x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — NCNO or QTWO?
Over the past 5 years, Q2 Holdings, Inc.
(QTWO) delivered a total return of -48. 0%, compared to -69. 1% for nCino, Inc. (NCNO). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: QTWO returned +112. 8% versus NCNO's -81. 0%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — NCNO or QTWO?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Q2 Holdings, Inc.
(QTWO) is the lower-risk stock at 1. 06β versus nCino, Inc. 's 1. 18β — meaning NCNO is approximately 11% more volatile than QTWO relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, nCino, Inc. (NCNO) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 22% versus 52% for Q2 Holdings, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — NCNO or QTWO?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Q2 Holdings, Inc.
(QTWO) is pulling ahead at 14. 1% versus 13. 5% for nCino, Inc. (NCNO). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Q2 Holdings, Inc. grew EPS 225. 0% year-over-year, compared to 13. 2% for nCino, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, NCNO leads at 25. 4% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — NCNO or QTWO?
Q2 Holdings, Inc.
(QTWO) is the more profitable company, earning 6. 5% net margin versus -7. 0% for nCino, Inc. — meaning it keeps 6. 5% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: QTWO leads at 5. 7% versus -3. 4% for NCNO. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — NCNO leads at 60. 1%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is NCNO or QTWO more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Q2 Holdings, Inc.
(QTWO) trades at 17. 6x forward P/E versus 19. 3x for nCino, Inc. — 1. 7x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for NCNO: 85. 4% to $32. 33.
08Which pays a better dividend — NCNO or QTWO?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
09Is NCNO or QTWO better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Q2 Holdings, Inc.
(QTWO) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 1. 06), +112. 8% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (QTWO: +112. 8%, NCNO: -81. 0%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between NCNO and QTWO?
Both stocks operate in the Technology sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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