Packaged Foods
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POST vs CPB
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Packaged Foods
POST vs CPB — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Packaged Foods | Packaged Foods |
| Market Cap | $4.98B | $6.25B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $8.36B | $10.04B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $319M | $550M |
| Gross Margin | 26.3% | 29.3% |
| Operating Margin | 10.4% | 12.1% |
| Forward P/E | 14.0x | 9.6x |
| Total Debt | $7.70B | $7.21B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $177M | $132M |
POST vs CPB — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Post Holdings, Inc. (POST) | 100 | 178.7 | +78.7% |
| Campbell Soup Compa… (CPB) | 100 | 41.1 | -58.9% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: POST vs CPB
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
POST is the clearest fit if your priority is long-term compounding and sleep-well-at-night.
- 108.9% 10Y total return vs CPB's -44.5%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.23, current ratio 1.67x
- Beta 0.23, current ratio 1.67x
CPB carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 1 yrs, beta -0.02, yield 7.3%
- Rev growth 6.4%, EPS growth 6.3%, 3Y rev CAGR 6.2%
- 6.4% revenue growth vs POST's 3.0%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 6.4% revenue growth vs POST's 3.0% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (9.6x vs 14.0x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 5.5% margin vs POST's 3.8% | |
| Stability / Safety | Lower D/E ratio (184.7% vs 204.6%) | |
| Dividends | 7.3% yield; 1-year raise streak; the other pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | -7.9% vs CPB's -36.6% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 3.7% ROA vs POST's 2.4%, ROIC 9.1% vs 5.9% |
POST vs CPB — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
POST vs CPB — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
CPB leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
CPB and POST operate at a comparable scale, with $10.0B and $8.4B in trailing revenue. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from 5.5% (CPB) to 3.8% (POST). On growth, POST holds the edge at +10.1% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $8.4B | $10.0B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $1.4B | $1.6B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $319M | $550M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $436M | $919M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +26.3% | +29.3% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +10.4% | +12.1% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +3.8% | +5.5% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +5.2% | +9.2% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +10.1% | -4.5% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -3.9% | -17.2% |
Valuation Metrics
CPB leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 10.4x trailing earnings, CPB trades at a 45% valuation discount to POST's 18.8x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, CPB's 7.5x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than POST's 9.1x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $5.0B | $6.2B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $12.5B | $13.3B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 18.83x | 10.43x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 14.01x | 9.60x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 0.08x | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 9.08x | 7.46x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.61x | 0.61x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.73x | 1.61x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 10.19x | 8.86x |
Profitability & Efficiency
CPB leads this category, winning 9 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
CPB delivers a 14.0% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $14 in annual profit, vs $8 for POST. CPB carries lower financial leverage with a 1.85x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to POST's 2.05x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), CPB scores 7/9 vs POST's 4/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +8.5% | +14.0% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +2.4% | +3.7% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +5.9% | +9.1% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +7.0% | +11.4% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 4 | 7 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 2.05x | 1.85x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $7.5B | $7.1B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $177M | $132M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $7.7B | $7.2B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 2.13x | 3.14x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
POST leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in POST five years ago would be worth $13,393 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $5,717 for CPB. Over the past 12 months, POST leads with a -7.9% total return vs CPB's -36.6%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors POST at 4.9% vs CPB's -22.3% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +4.1% | -21.5% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -7.9% | -36.6% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +15.5% | -53.1% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +33.9% | -42.8% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +108.9% | -44.5% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +4.9% | -22.3% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — POST and CPB each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
CPB is the less volatile stock with a -0.02 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than POST's 0.23 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. POST currently trades 88.5% from its 52-week high vs CPB's 58.0% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.23x | -0.02x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $117.28 | $36.16 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $94.14 | $19.76 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +88.5% | +58.0% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 54.3 | 45.9 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 683K | 9.2M |
Analyst Outlook
CPB leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates POST as "Buy" and CPB as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 23.2% upside for CPB (target: $26) vs 15.2% for POST (target: $120). CPB is the only dividend payer here at 7.30% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $119.50 | $25.83 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 19 | 29 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +7.3% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | 1 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $1.53 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +14.3% | +1.0% |
CPB leads in 4 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Valuation Metrics). POST leads in 1 (Total Returns). 1 tied.
POST vs CPB: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is POST or CPB a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Campbell Soup Company (CPB) is the stronger pick with 6.
4% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 3. 0% for Post Holdings, Inc. (POST). Campbell Soup Company (CPB) offers the better valuation at 10. 4x trailing P/E (9. 6x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Post Holdings, Inc. (POST) a "Buy" — based on 19 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — POST or CPB?
On trailing P/E, Campbell Soup Company (CPB) is the cheapest at 10.
4x versus Post Holdings, Inc. at 18. 8x. On forward P/E, Campbell Soup Company is actually cheaper at 9. 6x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — POST or CPB?
Over the past 5 years, Post Holdings, Inc.
(POST) delivered a total return of +33. 9%, compared to -42. 8% for Campbell Soup Company (CPB). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: POST returned +108. 9% versus CPB's -44. 5%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — POST or CPB?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Campbell Soup Company (CPB) is the lower-risk stock at -0.
02β versus Post Holdings, Inc. 's 0. 23β — meaning POST is approximately -1378% more volatile than CPB relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Campbell Soup Company (CPB) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 185% versus 2% for Post Holdings, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — POST or CPB?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Campbell Soup Company (CPB) is pulling ahead at 6.
4% versus 3. 0% for Post Holdings, Inc. (POST). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Campbell Soup Company grew EPS 6. 3% year-over-year, compared to -2. 3% for Post Holdings, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, POST leads at 11. 7% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — POST or CPB?
Campbell Soup Company (CPB) is the more profitable company, earning 5.
9% net margin versus 4. 1% for Post Holdings, Inc. — meaning it keeps 5. 9% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: CPB leads at 13. 2% versus 10. 4% for POST. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — CPB leads at 30. 4%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is POST or CPB more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Campbell Soup Company (CPB) trades at 9.
6x forward P/E versus 14. 0x for Post Holdings, Inc. — 4. 4x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for CPB: 23. 2% to $25. 83.
08Which pays a better dividend — POST or CPB?
In this comparison, CPB (7.
3% yield) pays a dividend. POST does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is POST or CPB better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Campbell Soup Company (CPB) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β -0.
02), 7. 3% yield). Both have compounded well over 10 years (CPB: -44. 5%, POST: +108. 9%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between POST and CPB?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Defensive sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: POST is a small-cap quality compounder stock; CPB is a small-cap deep-value stock. CPB pays a dividend while POST does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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