Oil & Gas Integrated
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XOM vs COP
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
XOM vs COP — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Oil & Gas Integrated | Oil & Gas Exploration & Production |
| Market Cap | $629.60B | $144.92B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $323.90B | $58.31B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $28.84B | $7.32B |
| Gross Margin | 21.7% | 29.2% |
| Operating Margin | 10.5% | 18.3% |
| Forward P/E | 15.0x | 13.8x |
| Total Debt | $43.54B | $23.44B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $10.68B | $6.50B |
XOM vs COP — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Exxon Mobil Corpora… (XOM) | 100 | 326.7 | +226.7% |
| ConocoPhillips (COP) | 100 | 281.9 | +181.9% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: XOM vs COP
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
XOM carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 26 yrs, beta -0.15, yield 2.7%
- Rev growth -4.5%, EPS growth -14.5%, 3Y rev CAGR -6.7%
- Lower volatility, beta -0.15, Low D/E 16.3%, current ratio 1.15x
COP is the clearest fit if your priority is long-term compounding.
- 234.2% 10Y total return vs XOM's 107.4%
- 7.5% revenue growth vs XOM's -4.5%
- Lower P/E (13.8x vs 15.0x)
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 7.5% revenue growth vs XOM's -4.5% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (13.8x vs 15.0x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 12.6% margin vs XOM's 8.9% | |
| Stability / Safety | Lower D/E ratio (16.3% vs 36.4%) | |
| Dividends | 2.7% yield, 26-year raise streak, vs COP's 2.7% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +45.7% vs COP's +39.4% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 6.4% ROA vs COP's 6.0%, ROIC 8.6% vs 10.4% |
XOM vs COP — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
XOM vs COP — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
COP leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
XOM is the larger business by revenue, generating $323.9B annually — 5.6x COP's $58.3B. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from 12.6% (COP) to 8.9% (XOM).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $323.9B | $58.3B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $59.9B | $22.4B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $28.8B | $7.3B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $23.6B | $18.3B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +21.7% | +29.2% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +10.5% | +18.3% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +8.9% | +12.6% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +7.3% | +31.4% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -1.3% | -2.5% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -11.0% | -20.2% |
Valuation Metrics
COP leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 18.7x trailing earnings, COP trades at a 16% valuation discount to XOM's 22.2x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, COP's 7.0x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than XOM's 11.1x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $629.6B | $144.9B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $662.5B | $161.9B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 22.17x | 18.72x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 15.00x | 13.76x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 11.05x | 6.98x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 1.94x | 2.47x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 2.40x | 2.31x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 26.66x | 8.64x |
Profitability & Efficiency
COP leads this category, winning 6 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
COP delivers a 11.3% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $11 in annual profit, vs $11 for XOM. XOM carries lower financial leverage with a 0.16x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to COP's 0.36x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), COP scores 6/9 vs XOM's 3/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +10.7% | +11.3% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +6.4% | +6.0% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +8.6% | +10.4% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +8.9% | +10.4% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 3 | 6 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.16x | 0.36x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $32.9B | $16.9B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $10.7B | $6.5B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $43.5B | $23.4B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 69.44x | 9.42x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
XOM leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in XOM five years ago would be worth $27,178 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $24,499 for COP. Over the past 12 months, XOM leads with a +45.7% total return vs COP's +39.4%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors XOM at 13.7% vs COP's 8.5% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +22.0% | +23.8% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +45.7% | +39.4% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +46.8% | +27.7% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +171.8% | +145.0% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +107.4% | +234.2% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +13.7% | +8.5% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — XOM and COP each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
XOM is the less volatile stock with a -0.15 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than COP's 0.08 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. COP currently trades 87.5% from its 52-week high vs XOM's 84.2% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | -0.15x | 0.08x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $176.41 | $135.87 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $101.19 | $84.28 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +84.2% | +87.5% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 53.2 | 50.2 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 18.8M | 9.6M |
Analyst Outlook
XOM leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates XOM as "Hold" and COP as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 8.0% upside for XOM (target: $160) vs 6.9% for COP (target: $127). For income investors, XOM offers the higher dividend yield at 2.69% vs COP's 2.68%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $160.43 | $127.07 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 55 | 52 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +2.7% | +2.7% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 26 | 1 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $4.00 | $3.19 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +3.2% | +3.5% |
COP leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Valuation Metrics). XOM leads in 2 (Total Returns, Analyst Outlook). 1 tied.
XOM vs COP: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is XOM or COP a better buy right now?
For growth investors, ConocoPhillips (COP) is the stronger pick with 7.
5% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -4. 5% for Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM). ConocoPhillips (COP) offers the better valuation at 18. 7x trailing P/E (13. 8x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate ConocoPhillips (COP) a "Buy" — based on 52 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — XOM or COP?
On trailing P/E, ConocoPhillips (COP) is the cheapest at 18.
7x versus Exxon Mobil Corporation at 22. 2x. On forward P/E, ConocoPhillips is actually cheaper at 13. 8x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — XOM or COP?
Over the past 5 years, Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) delivered a total return of +171.
8%, compared to +145. 0% for ConocoPhillips (COP). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: COP returned +234. 2% versus XOM's +107. 4%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — XOM or COP?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) is the lower-risk stock at -0.
15β versus ConocoPhillips's 0. 08β — meaning COP is approximately -154% more volatile than XOM relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 16% versus 36% for ConocoPhillips — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — XOM or COP?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), ConocoPhillips (COP) is pulling ahead at 7.
5% versus -4. 5% for Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Exxon Mobil Corporation grew EPS -14. 5% year-over-year, compared to -18. 7% for ConocoPhillips. Over a 3-year CAGR, XOM leads at -6. 7% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — XOM or COP?
ConocoPhillips (COP) is the more profitable company, earning 13.
6% net margin versus 8. 9% for Exxon Mobil Corporation — meaning it keeps 13. 6% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: COP leads at 19. 6% versus 10. 5% for XOM. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — COP leads at 24. 6%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is XOM or COP more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, ConocoPhillips (COP) trades at 13.
8x forward P/E versus 15. 0x for Exxon Mobil Corporation — 1. 2x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for XOM: 8. 0% to $160. 43.
08Which pays a better dividend — XOM or COP?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) offers the highest yield at 2. 7%, versus 2. 7% for ConocoPhillips (COP).
09Is XOM or COP better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β -0.
15), 2. 7% yield, +107. 4% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (XOM: +107. 4%, COP: +234. 2%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between XOM and COP?
Both stocks operate in the Energy sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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