Regulated Electric
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AEP vs EXC vs DUK vs SO
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Regulated Electric
Regulated Electric
Regulated Electric
AEP vs EXC vs DUK vs SO — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Regulated Electric | Regulated Electric | Regulated Electric | Regulated Electric |
| Market Cap | $72.04B | $46.05B | $97.70B | $105.41B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $22.16B | $24.79B | $33.29B | $30.17B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $3.65B | $2.78B | $5.14B | $4.36B |
| Gross Margin | 40.4% | 29.5% | 58.4% | 43.1% |
| Operating Margin | 23.5% | 21.0% | 27.0% | 24.1% |
| Forward P/E | 20.9x | 15.8x | 18.7x | 20.4x |
| Total Debt | $50.24B | $50.55B | $90.87B | $65.82B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $268M | $1.15B | $245M | $1.64B |
AEP vs EXC vs DUK vs SO — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| American Electric P… (AEP) | 100 | 155.5 | +55.5% |
| Exelon Corporation (EXC) | 100 | 164.8 | +64.8% |
| Duke Energy Corpora… (DUK) | 100 | 146.6 | +46.6% |
| The Southern Company (SO) | 100 | 163.9 | +63.9% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: AEP vs EXC vs DUK vs SO
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
AEP carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 9.4%, EPS growth 19.4%, 3Y rev CAGR 4.1%
- 151.7% 10Y total return vs SO's 141.5%
- 16.5% margin vs EXC's 11.2%
- Lower D/E ratio (155.9% vs 175.5%)
EXC is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if income & stability and defensive is your priority.
- Dividend streak 1 yrs, beta -0.14, yield 3.5%
- Beta -0.14, yield 3.5%, current ratio 0.92x
- Lower P/E (15.8x vs 20.4x), PEG 2.50 vs 3.49
- 3.3% ROA vs DUK's 2.6%, ROIC 5.1% vs 4.6%
DUK is the clearest fit if your priority is valuation efficiency.
- PEG 0.63 vs SO's 3.49
SO is the clearest fit if your priority is sleep-well-at-night.
- Lower volatility, beta -0.15, current ratio 0.65x
- 10.6% revenue growth vs EXC's 5.3%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 10.6% revenue growth vs EXC's 5.3% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (15.8x vs 20.4x), PEG 2.50 vs 3.49 | |
| Quality / Margins | 16.5% margin vs EXC's 11.2% | |
| Stability / Safety | Lower D/E ratio (155.9% vs 175.5%) | |
| Dividends | 2.9% yield, 21-year raise streak, vs EXC's 3.5% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +26.9% vs EXC's +0.8% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 3.3% ROA vs DUK's 2.6%, ROIC 5.1% vs 4.6% |
AEP vs EXC vs DUK vs SO — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
AEP vs EXC vs DUK vs SO — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 4 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
AEP leads in 2 of 6 categories
DUK leads 1 • EXC leads 1 • SO leads 0 • 2 tied
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
DUK leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
DUK is the larger business by revenue, generating $33.3B annually — 1.5x AEP's $22.2B. AEP is the more profitable business, keeping 16.5% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to EXC's 11.2%. On growth, DUK holds the edge at +11.3% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $22.2B | $24.8B | $33.3B | $30.2B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $8.8B | $8.9B | $15.3B | $13.3B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $3.7B | $2.8B | $5.1B | $4.4B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $840M | -$2.2B | $6.6B | -$3.8B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +40.4% | +29.5% | +58.4% | +43.1% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +23.5% | +21.0% | +27.0% | +24.1% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +16.5% | +11.2% | +15.4% | +14.5% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +3.8% | -8.7% | +19.8% | -12.7% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +6.8% | +7.9% | +11.3% | +8.0% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +6.7% | 0.0% | +11.9% | -0.8% |
Valuation Metrics
EXC leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 16.4x trailing earnings, EXC trades at a 31% valuation discount to SO's 23.9x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), DUK offers better value at 0.67x vs SO's 4.08x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $72.0B | $46.1B | $97.7B | $105.4B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $122.0B | $95.5B | $188.3B | $169.6B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 19.90x | 16.43x | 19.90x | 23.85x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 20.89x | 15.78x | 18.74x | 20.44x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 2.33x | 2.57x | 0.67x | 4.08x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 13.88x | 10.86x | 12.64x | 12.75x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 3.31x | 1.90x | 3.03x | 3.57x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 2.14x | 1.58x | 1.84x | 2.67x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | — | — | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
AEP leads this category, winning 6 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
AEP delivers a 11.5% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $11 in annual profit, vs $10 for DUK. AEP carries lower financial leverage with a 1.56x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to EXC's 1.76x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), AEP scores 7/9 vs SO's 5/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +11.5% | +9.8% | +9.6% | +11.3% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +3.2% | +3.3% | +2.6% | +2.8% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +5.1% | +5.1% | +4.6% | +5.3% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +5.5% | +5.0% | +5.0% | +5.4% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 1.56x | 1.76x | 1.71x | 1.69x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $50.0B | $49.4B | $90.6B | $64.2B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $268M | $1.2B | $245M | $1.6B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $50.2B | $50.6B | $90.9B | $65.8B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 2.61x | 2.42x | 2.57x | 2.51x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
AEP leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in AEP five years ago would be worth $16,976 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $14,516 for DUK. Over the past 12 months, AEP leads with a +26.9% total return vs EXC's +0.8%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors AEP at 15.9% vs EXC's 5.1% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +15.3% | +3.5% | +7.8% | +8.1% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +26.9% | +0.8% | +5.6% | +5.8% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +55.6% | +16.1% | +39.6% | +37.0% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +69.8% | +64.5% | +45.2% | +62.8% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +151.7% | +124.7% | +106.8% | +141.5% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +15.9% | +5.1% | +11.8% | +11.1% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — AEP and DUK each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
DUK is the less volatile stock with a -0.24 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than AEP's 0.01 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. AEP currently trades 95.0% from its 52-week high vs EXC's 88.9% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.01x | -0.14x | -0.24x | -0.15x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $139.44 | $50.65 | $134.49 | $100.84 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $97.46 | $41.71 | $111.22 | $83.09 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +95.0% | +88.9% | +93.3% | +92.7% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 59.4 | 40.6 | 46.7 | 53.8 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 3.0M | 8.2M | 3.6M | 4.5M |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — AEP and EXC each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: AEP as "Buy", EXC as "Hold", DUK as "Hold", SO as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 9.2% upside for EXC (target: $49) vs 2.8% for AEP (target: $136). For income investors, EXC offers the higher dividend yield at 3.55% vs SO's 2.91%.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Hold | Hold | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $136.20 | $49.18 | $135.44 | $99.62 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 35 | 35 | 31 | 33 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +2.9% | +3.5% | +3.4% | +2.9% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 21 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $3.86 | $1.60 | $4.25 | $2.72 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
AEP leads in 2 of 6 categories (Profitability & Efficiency, Total Returns). DUK leads in 1 (Income & Cash Flow). 2 tied.
AEP vs EXC vs DUK vs SO: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is AEP or EXC or DUK or SO a better buy right now?
For growth investors, The Southern Company (SO) is the stronger pick with 10.
6% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 5. 3% for Exelon Corporation (EXC). Exelon Corporation (EXC) offers the better valuation at 16. 4x trailing P/E (15. 8x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate American Electric Power Company, Inc. (AEP) a "Buy" — based on 35 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — AEP or EXC or DUK or SO?
On trailing P/E, Exelon Corporation (EXC) is the cheapest at 16.
4x versus The Southern Company at 23. 9x. On forward P/E, Exelon Corporation is actually cheaper at 15. 8x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Duke Energy Corporation wins at 0. 63x versus The Southern Company's 3. 49x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — AEP or EXC or DUK or SO?
Over the past 5 years, American Electric Power Company, Inc.
(AEP) delivered a total return of +69. 8%, compared to +45. 2% for Duke Energy Corporation (DUK). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: AEP returned +151. 7% versus DUK's +106. 8%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — AEP or EXC or DUK or SO?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Duke Energy Corporation (DUK) is the lower-risk stock at -0.
24β versus American Electric Power Company, Inc. 's 0. 01β — meaning AEP is approximately -103% more volatile than DUK relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, American Electric Power Company, Inc. (AEP) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 156% versus 176% for Exelon Corporation — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — AEP or EXC or DUK or SO?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), The Southern Company (SO) is pulling ahead at 10.
6% versus 5. 3% for Exelon Corporation (EXC). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: American Electric Power Company, Inc. grew EPS 19. 4% year-over-year, compared to -1. 8% for The Southern Company. Over a 3-year CAGR, EXC leads at 8. 3% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — AEP or EXC or DUK or SO?
American Electric Power Company, Inc.
(AEP) is the more profitable company, earning 16. 4% net margin versus 11. 4% for Exelon Corporation — meaning it keeps 16. 4% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: DUK leads at 26. 6% versus 21. 2% for EXC. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — AEP leads at 31. 8%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is AEP or EXC or DUK or SO more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Duke Energy Corporation (DUK) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 63x versus The Southern Company's 3. 49x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, Exelon Corporation (EXC) trades at 15. 8x forward P/E versus 20. 9x for American Electric Power Company, Inc. — 5. 1x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for EXC: 9. 2% to $49. 18.
08Which pays a better dividend — AEP or EXC or DUK or SO?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Exelon Corporation (EXC) offers the highest yield at 3. 5%, versus 2. 9% for The Southern Company (SO).
09Is AEP or EXC or DUK or SO better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Duke Energy Corporation (DUK) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β -0.
24), 3. 4% yield, +106. 8% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (DUK: +106. 8%, AEP: +151. 7%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between AEP and EXC and DUK and SO?
Both stocks operate in the Utilities sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: AEP is a mid-cap quality compounder stock; EXC is a mid-cap deep-value stock; DUK is a mid-cap income-oriented stock; SO is a mid-cap quality compounder stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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