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AGX vs CAT
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Agricultural - Machinery
AGX vs CAT — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Engineering & Construction | Agricultural - Machinery |
| Market Cap | $9.57B | $416.75B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $915M | $70.75B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $120M | $9.42B |
| Gross Margin | 19.2% | 32.5% |
| Operating Margin | 13.1% | 16.6% |
| Forward P/E | 62.5x | 38.8x |
| Total Debt | $3M | $43.33B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $145M | $9.98B |
AGX vs CAT — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Argan, Inc. (AGX) | 100 | 1865.4 | +1765.4% |
| Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) | 100 | 745.6 | +645.6% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: AGX vs CAT
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
AGX carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 52.5%, EPS growth 157.3%, 3Y rev CAGR 19.7%
- 19.9% 10Y total return vs CAT's 12.3%
- Lower volatility, beta 1.40, Low D/E 0.8%, current ratio 1.63x
CAT is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability.
- Dividend streak 8 yrs, beta 1.54, yield 0.7%
- Lower P/E (38.8x vs 62.5x)
- 13.3% margin vs AGX's 13.1%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 52.5% revenue growth vs CAT's 4.3% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (38.8x vs 62.5x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 13.3% margin vs AGX's 13.1% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.40 vs CAT's 1.54, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 0.7% yield, 8-year raise streak, vs AGX's 0.2% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +312.1% vs CAT's +181.5% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 11.4% ROA vs CAT's 10.0%, ROIC 43.2% vs 15.9% |
AGX vs CAT — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
AGX vs CAT — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
CAT leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
CAT is the larger business by revenue, generating $70.8B annually — 77.3x AGX's $915M. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from 13.3% (CAT) to 13.1% (AGX). On growth, CAT holds the edge at +22.2% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $915M | $70.8B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $123M | $14.0B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $120M | $9.4B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $283M | $11.4B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +19.2% | +32.5% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +13.1% | +16.6% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +13.1% | +13.3% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +30.9% | +16.2% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -2.3% | +22.2% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +8.5% | +30.2% |
Valuation Metrics
CAT leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 47.6x trailing earnings, CAT trades at a 58% valuation discount to AGX's 112.2x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, CAT's 33.4x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than AGX's 100.5x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $9.6B | $416.8B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $9.4B | $450.1B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 112.20x | 47.57x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 62.52x | 38.79x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 1.69x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 100.48x | 33.41x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 10.95x | 6.17x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 27.27x | 19.71x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 59.46x | 40.56x |
Profitability & Efficiency
AGX leads this category, winning 7 of 8 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
CAT delivers a 47.5% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $48 in annual profit, vs $29 for AGX. AGX carries lower financial leverage with a 0.01x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to CAT's 2.03x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), AGX scores 7/9 vs CAT's 5/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +28.6% | +47.5% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +11.4% | +10.0% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +43.2% | +15.9% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +27.0% | +19.1% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 7 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.01x | 2.03x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$143M | $33.4B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $145M | $10.0B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $3M | $43.3B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | — | 9.22x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
AGX leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in AGX five years ago would be worth $138,514 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $38,251 for CAT. Over the past 12 months, AGX leads with a +312.1% total return vs CAT's +181.5%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors AGX at 158.5% vs CAT's 62.0% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +112.0% | +50.2% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +312.1% | +181.5% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +1627.9% | +324.9% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +1285.1% | +282.5% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +1987.2% | +1227.6% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +158.5% | +62.0% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — AGX and CAT each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
AGX is the less volatile stock with a 1.40 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than CAT's 1.54 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. CAT currently trades 96.2% from its 52-week high vs AGX's 93.0% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.40x | 1.54x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $742.30 | $931.35 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $164.00 | $318.11 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +93.0% | +96.2% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 75.8 | 76.2 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 398K | 2.4M |
Analyst Outlook
CAT leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates AGX as "Buy" and CAT as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply -7.9% upside for CAT (target: $825) vs -39.0% for AGX (target: $421). For income investors, CAT offers the higher dividend yield at 0.65% vs AGX's 0.19%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $420.67 | $824.80 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 7 | 53 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +0.2% | +0.7% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 3 | 8 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $1.31 | $5.86 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +0.0% | +1.2% |
CAT leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Valuation Metrics). AGX leads in 2 (Profitability & Efficiency, Total Returns). 1 tied.
AGX vs CAT: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is AGX or CAT a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Argan, Inc.
(AGX) is the stronger pick with 52. 5% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 4. 3% for Caterpillar Inc. (CAT). Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) offers the better valuation at 47. 6x trailing P/E (38. 8x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Argan, Inc. (AGX) a "Buy" — based on 7 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — AGX or CAT?
On trailing P/E, Caterpillar Inc.
(CAT) is the cheapest at 47. 6x versus Argan, Inc. at 112. 2x. On forward P/E, Caterpillar Inc. is actually cheaper at 38. 8x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — AGX or CAT?
Over the past 5 years, Argan, Inc.
(AGX) delivered a total return of +1285%, compared to +282. 5% for Caterpillar Inc. (CAT). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: AGX returned +1987% versus CAT's +1228%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — AGX or CAT?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Argan, Inc.
(AGX) is the lower-risk stock at 1. 40β versus Caterpillar Inc. 's 1. 54β — meaning CAT is approximately 10% more volatile than AGX relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Argan, Inc. (AGX) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 1% versus 2% for Caterpillar Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — AGX or CAT?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Argan, Inc.
(AGX) is pulling ahead at 52. 5% versus 4. 3% for Caterpillar Inc. (CAT). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Argan, Inc. grew EPS 157. 3% year-over-year, compared to -14. 6% for Caterpillar Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, AGX leads at 19. 7% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — AGX or CAT?
Caterpillar Inc.
(CAT) is the more profitable company, earning 13. 1% net margin versus 9. 8% for Argan, Inc. — meaning it keeps 13. 1% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: CAT leads at 16. 6% versus 10. 1% for AGX. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — CAT leads at 32. 3%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is AGX or CAT more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Caterpillar Inc.
(CAT) trades at 38. 8x forward P/E versus 62. 5x for Argan, Inc. — 23. 7x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for CAT: -7. 9% to $824. 80.
08Which pays a better dividend — AGX or CAT?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) offers the highest yield at 0. 7%, versus 0. 2% for Argan, Inc. (AGX).
09Is AGX or CAT better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Caterpillar Inc.
(CAT) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (0. 7% yield, +1228% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (CAT: +1228%, AGX: +1987%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between AGX and CAT?
Both stocks operate in the Industrials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: AGX is a small-cap high-growth stock; CAT is a large-cap quality compounder stock. CAT pays a dividend while AGX does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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