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ARCO vs YUM vs MCD vs QSR
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Restaurants
Restaurants
Restaurants
ARCO vs YUM vs MCD vs QSR — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Restaurants | Restaurants | Restaurants | Restaurants |
| Market Cap | $1.17B | $43.48B | $201.63B | $27.42B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $4.68B | $8.48B | $27.45B | $9.59B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $212M | $1.74B | $8.68B | $955M |
| Gross Margin | 12.3% | 45.7% | 44.1% | 33.1% |
| Operating Margin | 7.5% | 31.5% | 46.3% | 25.1% |
| Forward P/E | 12.9x | 23.3x | 21.5x | 19.5x |
| Total Debt | $2.25B | $11.91B | $54.81B | $17.58B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $373M | $709M | $774M | $1.16B |
ARCO vs YUM vs MCD vs QSR — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arcos Dorados Holdi… (ARCO) | 100 | 233.9 | +133.9% |
| Yum! Brands, Inc. (YUM) | 100 | 175.3 | +75.3% |
| McDonald's Corporat… (MCD) | 100 | 152.2 | +52.2% |
| Restaurant Brands I… (QSR) | 100 | 145.1 | +45.1% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: ARCO vs YUM vs MCD vs QSR
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
ARCO is the clearest fit if your priority is value.
- Lower P/E (12.9x vs 21.5x)
YUM is the clearest fit if your priority is long-term compounding and sleep-well-at-night.
- 200.9% 10Y total return vs MCD's 157.7%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.19, current ratio 1.35x
- PEG 1.71 vs MCD's 2.81
- Beta 0.19, yield 1.8%, current ratio 1.35x
MCD is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if income & stability is your priority.
- Dividend streak 27 yrs, beta 0.11, yield 2.5%
- 31.6% margin vs ARCO's 4.5%
- Beta 0.11 vs ARCO's 0.98
QSR carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure.
- Rev growth 12.2%, EPS growth -26.1%, 3Y rev CAGR 13.2%
- 12.2% revenue growth vs MCD's 3.7%
- 3.1% yield, 14-year raise streak, vs MCD's 2.5%
- +20.3% vs MCD's -8.6%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 12.2% revenue growth vs MCD's 3.7% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (12.9x vs 21.5x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 31.6% margin vs ARCO's 4.5% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.11 vs ARCO's 0.98 | |
| Dividends | 3.1% yield, 14-year raise streak, vs MCD's 2.5% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +20.3% vs MCD's -8.6% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 22.8% ROA vs QSR's 3.8%, ROIC 48.1% vs 8.2% |
ARCO vs YUM vs MCD vs QSR — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
ARCO vs YUM vs MCD vs QSR — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 4 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
ARCO leads in 2 of 6 categories
MCD leads 1 • YUM leads 1 • QSR leads 0 • 2 tied
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
MCD leads this category, winning 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
MCD is the larger business by revenue, generating $27.4B annually — 5.9x ARCO's $4.7B. MCD is the more profitable business, keeping 31.6% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to ARCO's 4.5%. On growth, YUM holds the edge at +15.2% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $4.7B | $8.5B | $27.4B | $9.6B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $547M | $2.8B | $14.4B | $2.6B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $212M | $1.7B | $8.7B | $955M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $11M | $1.6B | $7.2B | $1.5B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +12.3% | +45.7% | +44.1% | +33.1% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +7.5% | +31.5% | +46.3% | +25.1% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +4.5% | +20.5% | +31.6% | +10.0% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +0.2% | +19.4% | +26.2% | +15.8% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +10.7% | +15.2% | +9.4% | +7.3% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -57.1% | +72.2% | +6.9% | +102.1% |
Valuation Metrics
ARCO leads this category, winning 5 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 8.9x trailing earnings, ARCO trades at a 74% valuation discount to QSR's 33.7x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), MCD offers better value at 1.74x vs QSR's 4.21x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $1.2B | $43.5B | $201.6B | $27.4B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $3.0B | $54.7B | $255.7B | $43.8B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 8.87x | 28.29x | 23.74x | 33.68x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 12.94x | 23.30x | 21.51x | 19.50x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 2.08x | 1.74x | 4.21x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 5.56x | 19.98x | 17.57x | 17.81x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.25x | 5.29x | 7.50x | 2.91x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 2.44x | — | — | 7.01x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | 26.53x | 28.06x | 18.93x |
Profitability & Efficiency
ARCO leads this category, winning 5 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
ARCO delivers a 32.4% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $32 in annual profit, vs $18 for QSR. ARCO carries lower financial leverage with a 2.91x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to QSR's 3.41x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), MCD scores 7/9 vs YUM's 5/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +32.4% | — | — | +18.4% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +5.9% | +22.8% | +14.5% | +3.8% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +11.1% | +48.1% | +18.7% | +8.2% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +13.5% | +41.7% | +23.3% | +9.9% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 6 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 2.91x | — | — | 3.41x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $1.9B | $11.2B | $54.0B | $16.4B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $373M | $709M | $774M | $1.2B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $2.2B | $11.9B | $54.8B | $17.6B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 8.64x | 5.26x | 6.09x | 3.65x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
YUM leads this category, winning 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in ARCO five years ago would be worth $15,811 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $13,031 for QSR. Over the past 12 months, QSR leads with a +20.3% total return vs MCD's -8.6%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors YUM at 6.6% vs MCD's 0.8% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +23.9% | +5.0% | -5.8% | +17.7% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +15.4% | +7.1% | -8.6% | +20.3% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +15.6% | +21.1% | +2.5% | +19.0% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +58.1% | +40.0% | +34.3% | +30.3% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +130.5% | +200.9% | +157.7% | +132.2% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +4.9% | +6.6% | +0.8% | +6.0% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — MCD and QSR each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
MCD is the less volatile stock with a 0.11 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than ARCO's 0.98 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. QSR currently trades 96.6% from its 52-week high vs MCD's 83.0% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.98x | 0.19x | 0.11x | 0.39x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $9.75 | $169.39 | $341.75 | $81.96 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $6.51 | $137.33 | $282.15 | $61.33 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +91.9% | +92.9% | +83.0% | +96.6% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 56.1 | 44.9 | 30.9 | 47.4 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 1.1M | 1.6M | 3.0M | 3.3M |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — MCD and QSR each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: ARCO as "Buy", YUM as "Hold", MCD as "Buy", QSR as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 28.7% upside for ARCO (target: $12) vs 5.8% for QSR (target: $84). For income investors, QSR offers the higher dividend yield at 3.06% vs YUM's 1.80%.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Hold | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $11.53 | $174.38 | $352.25 | $83.71 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 12 | 51 | 62 | 44 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +2.7% | +1.8% | +2.5% | +3.1% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 4 | 8 | 27 | 14 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $0.24 | $2.84 | $7.14 | $2.42 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +1.3% | +1.0% | 0.0% |
ARCO leads in 2 of 6 categories (Valuation Metrics, Profitability & Efficiency). MCD leads in 1 (Income & Cash Flow). 2 tied.
ARCO vs YUM vs MCD vs QSR: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is ARCO or YUM or MCD or QSR a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Restaurant Brands International Inc.
(QSR) is the stronger pick with 12. 2% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 3. 7% for McDonald's Corporation (MCD). Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. (ARCO) offers the better valuation at 8. 9x trailing P/E (12. 9x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. (ARCO) a "Buy" — based on 12 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — ARCO or YUM or MCD or QSR?
On trailing P/E, Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc.
(ARCO) is the cheapest at 8. 9x versus Restaurant Brands International Inc. at 33. 7x. On forward P/E, Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. is actually cheaper at 12. 9x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Yum! Brands, Inc. wins at 1. 71x versus McDonald's Corporation's 2. 81x — a reasonable growth-adjusted valuation.
03Which is the better long-term investment — ARCO or YUM or MCD or QSR?
Over the past 5 years, Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc.
(ARCO) delivered a total return of +58. 1%, compared to +30. 3% for Restaurant Brands International Inc. (QSR). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: YUM returned +200. 9% versus ARCO's +130. 5%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — ARCO or YUM or MCD or QSR?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), McDonald's Corporation (MCD) is the lower-risk stock at 0.
11β versus Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. 's 0. 98β — meaning ARCO is approximately 777% more volatile than MCD relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. (ARCO) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 3% versus 3% for Restaurant Brands International Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — ARCO or YUM or MCD or QSR?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Restaurant Brands International Inc.
(QSR) is pulling ahead at 12. 2% versus 3. 7% for McDonald's Corporation (MCD). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. grew EPS 42. 3% year-over-year, compared to -26. 1% for Restaurant Brands International Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, QSR leads at 13. 2% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — ARCO or YUM or MCD or QSR?
McDonald's Corporation (MCD) is the more profitable company, earning 31.
9% net margin versus 4. 5% for Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. — meaning it keeps 31. 9% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: MCD leads at 46. 1% versus 7. 5% for ARCO. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — MCD leads at 57. 4%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is ARCO or YUM or MCD or QSR more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Yum! Brands, Inc. (YUM) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 1. 71x versus McDonald's Corporation's 2. 81x. Both stocks trade at elevated growth-adjusted valuations, so expected growth needs to materialise. On forward earnings alone, Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. (ARCO) trades at 12. 9x forward P/E versus 23. 3x for Yum! Brands, Inc. — 10. 4x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for ARCO: 28. 7% to $11. 53.
08Which pays a better dividend — ARCO or YUM or MCD or QSR?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Restaurant Brands International Inc. (QSR) offers the highest yield at 3. 1%, versus 1. 8% for Yum! Brands, Inc. (YUM).
09Is ARCO or YUM or MCD or QSR better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, McDonald's Corporation (MCD) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
11), 2. 5% yield, +157. 7% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (MCD: +157. 7%, ARCO: +130. 5%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between ARCO and YUM and MCD and QSR?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Cyclical sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: ARCO is a small-cap deep-value stock; YUM is a mid-cap quality compounder stock; MCD is a large-cap quality compounder stock; QSR is a mid-cap income-oriented stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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