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ASTL vs CAT
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Agricultural - Machinery
ASTL vs CAT — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Steel | Agricultural - Machinery |
| Market Cap | $534M | $431.16B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $2.09B | $70.75B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-985M | $9.42B |
| Gross Margin | -31.4% | 32.5% |
| Operating Margin | -61.4% | 16.6% |
| Forward P/E | — | 40.1x |
| Total Debt | $673M | $43.33B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $267M | $9.98B |
ASTL vs CAT — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Mar 21 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Algoma Steel Group … (ASTL) | 100 | 52.6 | -47.4% |
| Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) | 100 | 399.6 | +299.6% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: ASTL vs CAT
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
ASTL is the clearest fit if your priority is sleep-well-at-night and defensive.
- Lower volatility, beta 2.23, Low D/E 44.6%, current ratio 3.07x
- Beta 2.23, yield 3.8%, current ratio 3.07x
- 3.8% yield, 4-year raise streak, vs CAT's 0.6%
CAT carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 8 yrs, beta 1.54, yield 0.6%
- Rev growth 4.3%, EPS growth -14.6%, 3Y rev CAGR 4.4%
- 12.2% 10Y total return vs ASTL's -40.4%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 4.3% revenue growth vs ASTL's -12.2% | |
| Quality / Margins | 13.3% margin vs ASTL's -47.2% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.54 vs ASTL's 2.23 | |
| Dividends | 3.8% yield, 4-year raise streak, vs CAT's 0.6% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +190.7% vs ASTL's -5.9% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 10.0% ROA vs ASTL's -37.2%, ROIC 15.9% vs -12.7% |
ASTL vs CAT — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
ASTL vs CAT — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
CAT leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
CAT is the larger business by revenue, generating $70.8B annually — 33.9x ASTL's $2.1B. CAT is the more profitable business, keeping 13.3% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to ASTL's -47.2%. On growth, CAT holds the edge at +22.2% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $2.1B | $70.8B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$924M | $14.0B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$985M | $9.4B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$422M | $11.4B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | -31.4% | +32.5% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -61.4% | +16.6% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -47.2% | +13.3% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -20.3% | +16.2% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -23.0% | +22.2% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -4.7% | +30.2% |
Valuation Metrics
ASTL leads this category, winning 3 of 3 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $534M | $431.2B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $833M | $464.5B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -3.37x | 49.21x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | 40.13x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 1.75x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | 34.48x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.30x | 6.38x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.50x | 20.39x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | 41.97x |
Profitability & Efficiency
CAT leads this category, winning 6 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
CAT delivers a 47.5% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $48 in annual profit, vs $-95 for ASTL. ASTL carries lower financial leverage with a 0.45x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to CAT's 2.03x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), CAT scores 5/9 vs ASTL's 3/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -95.1% | +47.5% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -37.2% | +10.0% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -12.7% | +15.9% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -11.9% | +19.1% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 3 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.45x | 2.03x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $406M | $33.4B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $267M | $10.0B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $673M | $43.3B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -12.82x | 9.22x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
CAT leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in CAT five years ago would be worth $40,189 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $5,926 for ASTL. Over the past 12 months, CAT leads with a +190.7% total return vs ASTL's -5.9%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors CAT at 63.8% vs ASTL's -8.7% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +29.8% | +55.4% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -5.9% | +190.7% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -24.0% | +339.3% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -40.7% | +301.9% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -40.4% | +1223.1% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -8.7% | +63.8% |
Risk & Volatility
CAT leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
CAT is the less volatile stock with a 1.54 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than ASTL's 2.23 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. CAT currently trades 99.6% from its 52-week high vs ASTL's 70.2% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 2.23x | 1.54x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $7.25 | $930.41 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $3.02 | $318.11 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +70.2% | +99.6% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 58.1 | 73.7 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 1.3M | 2.4M |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — ASTL and CAT each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates ASTL as "Buy" and CAT as "Buy". For income investors, ASTL offers the higher dividend yield at 3.82% vs CAT's 0.63%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | — | $824.80 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 1 | 53 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +3.8% | +0.6% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 4 | 8 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $0.26 | $5.86 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +1.2% |
CAT leads in 4 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). ASTL leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics). 1 tied.
ASTL vs CAT: Frequently Asked Questions
8 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is ASTL or CAT a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Caterpillar Inc.
(CAT) is the stronger pick with 4. 3% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -12. 2% for Algoma Steel Group Inc. (ASTL). Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) offers the better valuation at 49. 2x trailing P/E (40. 1x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Algoma Steel Group Inc. (ASTL) a "Buy" — based on 1 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — ASTL or CAT?
Over the past 5 years, Caterpillar Inc.
(CAT) delivered a total return of +301. 9%, compared to -40. 7% for Algoma Steel Group Inc. (ASTL). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: CAT returned +1223% versus ASTL's -40. 4%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — ASTL or CAT?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Caterpillar Inc.
(CAT) is the lower-risk stock at 1. 54β versus Algoma Steel Group Inc. 's 2. 23β — meaning ASTL is approximately 45% more volatile than CAT relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Algoma Steel Group Inc. (ASTL) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 45% versus 2% for Caterpillar Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
04Which is growing faster — ASTL or CAT?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Caterpillar Inc.
(CAT) is pulling ahead at 4. 3% versus -12. 2% for Algoma Steel Group Inc. (ASTL). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Caterpillar Inc. grew EPS -14. 6% year-over-year, compared to -392. 9% for Algoma Steel Group Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, CAT leads at 4. 4% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — ASTL or CAT?
Caterpillar Inc.
(CAT) is the more profitable company, earning 13. 1% net margin versus -9. 1% for Algoma Steel Group Inc. — meaning it keeps 13. 1% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: CAT leads at 16. 6% versus -12. 0% for ASTL. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — CAT leads at 32. 3%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Which pays a better dividend — ASTL or CAT?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Algoma Steel Group Inc. (ASTL) offers the highest yield at 3. 8%, versus 0. 6% for Caterpillar Inc. (CAT).
07Is ASTL or CAT better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Caterpillar Inc.
(CAT) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (0. 6% yield, +1223% 10Y return). Algoma Steel Group Inc. (ASTL) carries a higher beta of 2. 23 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (CAT: +1223%, ASTL: -40. 4%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
08What are the main differences between ASTL and CAT?
These companies operate in different sectors (ASTL (Basic Materials) and CAT (Industrials)), which means they face different economic cycles, regulatory environments, and macro sensitivities — making direct comparison nuanced.
In terms of investment character: ASTL is a small-cap income-oriented stock; CAT is a large-cap quality compounder stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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