Software - Infrastructure
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CFLT vs NVDA
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Semiconductors
CFLT vs NVDA — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Software - Infrastructure | Semiconductors |
| Market Cap | $10.65B | $4.78T |
| Revenue (TTM) | $1.17B | $215.94B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-295M | $120.07B |
| Gross Margin | 74.3% | 71.1% |
| Operating Margin | -32.6% | 60.4% |
| Forward P/E | 60.6x | 23.7x |
| Total Debt | $1.11B | $11.41B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $347M | $10.61B |
CFLT vs NVDA — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Jun 21 | Mar 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Confluent, Inc. (CFLT) | 100 | 65.2 | -34.8% |
| NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) | 100 | 886.0 | +786.0% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: CFLT vs NVDA
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
CFLT is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and sleep-well-at-night.
- beta 1.17
- Lower volatility, beta 1.17, Low D/E 94.5%, current ratio 3.83x
- Beta 1.17, current ratio 3.83x
NVDA carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 65.5%, EPS growth 66.7%, 3Y rev CAGR 100.0%
- 224.0% 10Y total return vs CFLT's -31.2%
- 65.5% revenue growth vs CFLT's 21.1%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 65.5% revenue growth vs CFLT's 21.1% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (23.7x vs 60.6x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 55.6% margin vs CFLT's -25.3% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.17 vs NVDA's 1.73 | |
| Dividends | 0.0% yield; 2-year raise streak; the other pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +72.7% vs CFLT's +56.9% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 58.1% ROA vs CFLT's -9.9%, ROIC 81.8% vs -15.8% |
CFLT vs NVDA — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
CFLT vs NVDA — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
NVDA leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
NVDA is the larger business by revenue, generating $215.9B annually — 185.1x CFLT's $1.2B. NVDA is the more profitable business, keeping 55.6% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to CFLT's -25.3%. On growth, NVDA holds the edge at +73.2% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $1.2B | $215.9B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$358M | $133.2B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$295M | $120.1B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $50M | $96.7B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +74.3% | +71.1% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -32.6% | +60.4% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -25.3% | +55.6% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +4.3% | +44.8% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +20.5% | +73.2% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +14.8% | +97.8% |
Valuation Metrics
CFLT leads this category, winning 3 of 5 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $10.7B | $4.78T |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $11.4B | $4.78T |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -36.03x | 40.10x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 60.63x | 23.74x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 0.42x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | 35.85x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 9.13x | 22.12x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 9.11x | 30.52x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 175.59x | 49.40x |
Profitability & Efficiency
NVDA leads this category, winning 6 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
NVDA delivers a 76.3% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $76 in annual profit, vs $-25 for CFLT. NVDA carries lower financial leverage with a 0.07x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to CFLT's 0.95x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), CFLT scores 6/9 vs NVDA's 4/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -25.3% | +76.3% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -9.9% | +58.1% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -15.8% | +81.8% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -17.2% | +97.2% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 6 | 4 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.95x | 0.07x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $758M | $807M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $347M | $10.6B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $1.1B | $11.4B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -262.57x | 545.03x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
NVDA leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in NVDA five years ago would be worth $135,979 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $6,884 for CFLT. Over the past 12 months, NVDA leads with a +72.7% total return vs CFLT's +56.9%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors NVDA at 90.0% vs CFLT's 11.0% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +2.9% | +4.1% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +56.9% | +72.7% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +36.8% | +585.5% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -31.2% | +1259.8% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -31.2% | +22397.9% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +11.0% | +90.0% |
Risk & Volatility
CFLT leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
CFLT is the less volatile stock with a 1.17 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than NVDA's 1.73 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. CFLT currently trades 100.0% from its 52-week high vs NVDA's 90.6% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.17x | 1.73x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $31.00 | $216.80 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $15.64 | $110.82 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +100.0% | +90.6% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 73.4 | 53.1 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 8.0M | 166.0M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates CFLT as "Hold" and NVDA as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 41.9% upside for NVDA (target: $279) vs -0.5% for CFLT (target: $31).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $30.85 | $278.83 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 38 | 79 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +0.0% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | 2 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $0.04 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +0.8% |
NVDA leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). CFLT leads in 2 (Valuation Metrics, Risk & Volatility).
CFLT vs NVDA: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is CFLT or NVDA a better buy right now?
For growth investors, NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) is the stronger pick with 65.
5% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 21. 1% for Confluent, Inc. (CFLT). NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) offers the better valuation at 40. 1x trailing P/E (23. 7x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) a "Buy" — based on 79 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — CFLT or NVDA?
On forward P/E, NVIDIA Corporation is actually cheaper at 23.
7x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — CFLT or NVDA?
Over the past 5 years, NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) delivered a total return of +1260%, compared to -31.
2% for Confluent, Inc. (CFLT). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: NVDA returned +224. 0% versus CFLT's -31. 2%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — CFLT or NVDA?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Confluent, Inc.
(CFLT) is the lower-risk stock at 1. 17β versus NVIDIA Corporation's 1. 73β — meaning NVDA is approximately 48% more volatile than CFLT relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 7% versus 95% for Confluent, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — CFLT or NVDA?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) is pulling ahead at 65.
5% versus 21. 1% for Confluent, Inc. (CFLT). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: NVIDIA Corporation grew EPS 66. 7% year-over-year, compared to 19. 6% for Confluent, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, NVDA leads at 100. 0% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — CFLT or NVDA?
NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) is the more profitable company, earning 55.
6% net margin versus -25. 3% for Confluent, Inc. — meaning it keeps 55. 6% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: NVDA leads at 60. 4% versus -32. 6% for CFLT. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — CFLT leads at 74. 3%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is CFLT or NVDA more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) trades at 23.
7x forward P/E versus 60. 6x for Confluent, Inc. — 36. 9x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for NVDA: 41. 9% to $278. 83.
08Which pays a better dividend — CFLT or NVDA?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
09Is CFLT or NVDA better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Confluent, Inc.
(CFLT) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 1. 17)). NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) carries a higher beta of 1. 73 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (CFLT: -31. 2%, NVDA: +224. 0%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between CFLT and NVDA?
Both stocks operate in the Technology sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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