Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
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COP vs XOM
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Oil & Gas Integrated
COP vs XOM — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Oil & Gas Exploration & Production | Oil & Gas Integrated |
| Market Cap | $140.02B | $620.85B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $58.31B | $323.90B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $7.32B | $28.84B |
| Gross Margin | 29.2% | 21.7% |
| Operating Margin | 18.3% | 10.5% |
| Forward P/E | 13.3x | 14.8x |
| Total Debt | $23.44B | $43.54B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $6.50B | $10.68B |
COP vs XOM — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| ConocoPhillips (COP) | 100 | 272.4 | +172.4% |
| Exxon Mobil Corpora… (XOM) | 100 | 322.2 | +222.2% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: COP vs XOM
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
COP carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 1 yrs, beta 0.08, yield 2.8%
- Rev growth 7.5%, EPS growth -18.7%, 3Y rev CAGR -9.3%
- 233.4% 10Y total return vs XOM's 105.0%
XOM is the clearest fit if your priority is stability and momentum.
- Lower D/E ratio (16.3% vs 36.4%)
- +43.9% vs COP's +34.7%
- 6.4% ROA vs COP's 6.0%, ROIC 8.6% vs 10.4%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 7.5% revenue growth vs XOM's -4.5% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (13.3x vs 14.8x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 12.6% margin vs XOM's 8.9% | |
| Stability / Safety | Lower D/E ratio (16.3% vs 36.4%) | |
| Dividends | 2.8% yield, 1-year raise streak, vs XOM's 2.7% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +43.9% vs COP's +34.7% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 6.4% ROA vs COP's 6.0%, ROIC 8.6% vs 10.4% |
COP vs XOM — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
COP vs XOM — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
COP leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
XOM is the larger business by revenue, generating $323.9B annually — 5.6x COP's $58.3B. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from 12.6% (COP) to 8.9% (XOM).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $58.3B | $323.9B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $22.4B | $59.9B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $7.3B | $28.8B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $18.3B | $23.6B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +29.2% | +21.7% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +18.3% | +10.5% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +12.6% | +8.9% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +31.4% | +7.3% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -2.5% | -1.3% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -20.2% | -11.0% |
Valuation Metrics
COP leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 18.1x trailing earnings, COP trades at a 17% valuation discount to XOM's 21.9x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, COP's 6.8x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than XOM's 10.9x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $140.0B | $620.8B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $157.0B | $653.7B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 18.09x | 21.86x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 13.29x | 14.79x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 6.77x | 10.91x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 2.38x | 1.92x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 2.23x | 2.37x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 8.35x | 26.29x |
Profitability & Efficiency
COP leads this category, winning 6 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
COP delivers a 11.3% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $11 in annual profit, vs $11 for XOM. XOM carries lower financial leverage with a 0.16x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to COP's 0.36x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), COP scores 6/9 vs XOM's 3/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +11.3% | +10.7% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +6.0% | +6.4% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +10.4% | +8.6% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +10.4% | +8.9% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 6 | 3 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.36x | 0.16x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $16.9B | $32.9B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $6.5B | $10.7B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $23.4B | $43.5B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 9.42x | 69.44x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
XOM leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in XOM five years ago would be worth $26,464 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $23,194 for COP. Over the past 12 months, XOM leads with a +43.9% total return vs COP's +34.7%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors XOM at 13.2% vs COP's 7.3% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +19.7% | +20.3% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +34.7% | +43.9% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +23.7% | +44.9% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +131.9% | +164.6% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +233.4% | +105.0% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +7.3% | +13.2% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — COP and XOM each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
XOM is the less volatile stock with a -0.15 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than COP's 0.08 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.08x | -0.15x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $135.87 | $176.41 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $84.28 | $101.19 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +84.6% | +83.0% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 43.4 | 42.4 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 9.6M | 18.9M |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — COP and XOM each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates COP as "Buy" and XOM as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 10.6% upside for COP (target: $127) vs 9.5% for XOM (target: $160). For income investors, COP offers the higher dividend yield at 2.77% vs XOM's 2.73%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $127.07 | $160.43 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 52 | 55 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +2.8% | +2.7% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 1 | 26 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $3.19 | $4.00 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +3.6% | +3.3% |
COP leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Valuation Metrics). XOM leads in 1 (Total Returns). 2 tied.
COP vs XOM: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is COP or XOM a better buy right now?
For growth investors, ConocoPhillips (COP) is the stronger pick with 7.
5% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -4. 5% for Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM). ConocoPhillips (COP) offers the better valuation at 18. 1x trailing P/E (13. 3x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate ConocoPhillips (COP) a "Buy" — based on 52 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — COP or XOM?
On trailing P/E, ConocoPhillips (COP) is the cheapest at 18.
1x versus Exxon Mobil Corporation at 21. 9x. On forward P/E, ConocoPhillips is actually cheaper at 13. 3x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — COP or XOM?
Over the past 5 years, Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) delivered a total return of +164.
6%, compared to +131. 9% for ConocoPhillips (COP). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: COP returned +233. 4% versus XOM's +105. 0%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — COP or XOM?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) is the lower-risk stock at -0.
15β versus ConocoPhillips's 0. 08β — meaning COP is approximately -154% more volatile than XOM relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 16% versus 36% for ConocoPhillips — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — COP or XOM?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), ConocoPhillips (COP) is pulling ahead at 7.
5% versus -4. 5% for Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Exxon Mobil Corporation grew EPS -14. 5% year-over-year, compared to -18. 7% for ConocoPhillips. Over a 3-year CAGR, XOM leads at -6. 7% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — COP or XOM?
ConocoPhillips (COP) is the more profitable company, earning 13.
6% net margin versus 8. 9% for Exxon Mobil Corporation — meaning it keeps 13. 6% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: COP leads at 19. 6% versus 10. 5% for XOM. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — COP leads at 24. 6%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is COP or XOM more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, ConocoPhillips (COP) trades at 13.
3x forward P/E versus 14. 8x for Exxon Mobil Corporation — 1. 5x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for COP: 10. 6% to $127. 07.
08Which pays a better dividend — COP or XOM?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
ConocoPhillips (COP) offers the highest yield at 2. 8%, versus 2. 7% for Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM).
09Is COP or XOM better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β -0.
15), 2. 7% yield, +105. 0% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (XOM: +105. 0%, COP: +233. 4%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between COP and XOM?
Both stocks operate in the Energy sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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