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4 / 10Stock Comparison
DAR vs MPC vs VLO vs GPRE
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
Chemicals - Specialty
DAR vs MPC vs VLO vs GPRE — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Packaged Foods | Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing | Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing | Chemicals - Specialty |
| Market Cap | $9.88B | $70.73B | $70.66B | $1.15B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $6.14B | $135.75B | $126.17B | $1.94B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $63M | $4.63B | $4.21B | $-15M |
| Gross Margin | 15.7% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 1.8% |
| Operating Margin | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 1.2% |
| Forward P/E | 15.1x | 10.9x | 10.0x | 46.6x |
| Total Debt | $4.16B | $34.36B | $11.70B | $508M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $89M | $3.67B | $4.69B | $182M |
DAR vs MPC vs VLO vs GPRE — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Darling Ingredients… (DAR) | 100 | 267.1 | +167.1% |
| Marathon Petroleum … (MPC) | 100 | 689.4 | +589.4% |
| Valero Energy Corpo… (VLO) | 100 | 354.6 | +254.6% |
| Green Plains Inc. (GPRE) | 100 | 192.5 | +92.5% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: DAR vs MPC vs VLO vs GPRE
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
DAR is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if growth is your priority.
- 7.4% revenue growth vs GPRE's -14.9%
MPC is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth -4.4%, EPS growth 31.5%, 3Y rev CAGR -9.2%
- 6.6% 10Y total return vs VLO's 397.5%
- 3.4% margin vs GPRE's -0.8%
VLO carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and sleep-well-at-night.
- Dividend streak 15 yrs, beta 0.27, yield 1.9%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.27, Low D/E 44.0%, current ratio 1.65x
- Beta 0.27, yield 1.9%, current ratio 1.65x
- Lower P/E (10.0x vs 46.6x)
GPRE is the clearest fit if your priority is momentum.
- +336.6% vs MPC's +70.1%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 7.4% revenue growth vs GPRE's -14.9% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (10.0x vs 46.6x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 3.4% margin vs GPRE's -0.8% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.27 vs GPRE's 1.22, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 1.9% yield, 15-year raise streak, vs MPC's 1.5%, (2 stocks pay no dividend) | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +336.6% vs MPC's +70.1% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 7.1% ROA vs GPRE's -1.0%, ROIC 9.5% vs -5.2% |
DAR vs MPC vs VLO vs GPRE — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
DAR vs MPC vs VLO vs GPRE — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 4 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
VLO leads in 3 of 6 categories
DAR leads 1 • MPC leads 1 • GPRE leads 0 • 1 tied
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
DAR leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
MPC is the larger business by revenue, generating $135.8B annually — 70.1x GPRE's $1.9B. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from 3.4% (MPC) to -0.8% (GPRE). On growth, DAR holds the edge at +21.2% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $6.1B | $135.8B | $126.2B | $1.9B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $901M | $10.1B | $9.0B | $122M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $63M | $4.6B | $4.2B | -$15M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $679M | $5.7B | $5.9B | $90M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +15.7% | +8.8% | +7.2% | +1.8% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +6.4% | +5.0% | +4.6% | +1.2% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +1.0% | +3.4% | +3.3% | -0.8% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +11.1% | +4.2% | +4.7% | +4.7% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +21.2% | +9.7% | +7.0% | -25.9% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -42.9% | +8.2% | +3.2% | +134.2% |
Valuation Metrics
VLO leads this category, winning 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 18.3x trailing earnings, MPC trades at a 89% valuation discount to DAR's 159.6x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, VLO's 10.4x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than GPRE's 103.8x.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $9.9B | $70.7B | $70.7B | $1.1B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $14.0B | $101.4B | $77.7B | $1.5B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 159.64x | 18.26x | 31.22x | -9.14x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 15.09x | 10.91x | 10.02x | 46.62x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 15.43x | 11.24x | 10.40x | 103.82x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 1.61x | 0.53x | 0.58x | 0.55x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 2.07x | 3.07x | 2.74x | 1.44x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 14.55x | 14.84x | 14.05x | 17.84x |
Profitability & Efficiency
VLO leads this category, winning 5 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
MPC delivers a 19.6% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $20 in annual profit, vs $-2 for GPRE. VLO carries lower financial leverage with a 0.44x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to MPC's 1.43x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), DAR scores 7/9 vs GPRE's 4/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +1.3% | +19.6% | +15.7% | -2.0% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +0.6% | +5.5% | +7.1% | -1.0% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +3.4% | +8.3% | +9.5% | -5.2% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +4.3% | +9.3% | +9.7% | -6.2% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 4 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.87x | 1.43x | 0.44x | 0.66x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $4.1B | $30.7B | $7.0B | $326M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $89M | $3.7B | $4.7B | $182M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $4.2B | $34.4B | $11.7B | $508M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 1.76x | 6.36x | 10.63x | -0.08x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
MPC leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in MPC five years ago would be worth $42,948 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $5,149 for GPRE. Over the past 12 months, GPRE leads with a +336.6% total return vs MPC's +70.1%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors MPC at 32.5% vs GPRE's -19.0% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +65.4% | +47.3% | +43.7% | +60.1% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +88.8% | +70.1% | +106.0% | +336.6% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +8.1% | +132.5% | +132.2% | -46.8% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -14.4% | +329.5% | +219.6% | -48.5% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +339.4% | +664.3% | +397.5% | +21.3% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +2.6% | +32.5% | +32.4% | -19.0% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — DAR and VLO each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
VLO is the less volatile stock with a 0.27 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than GPRE's 1.22 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. DAR currently trades 94.3% from its 52-week high vs GPRE's 86.9% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.72x | 0.30x | 0.27x | 1.22x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $66.02 | $261.61 | $258.43 | $18.94 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $29.15 | $142.73 | $115.65 | $3.39 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +94.3% | +92.6% | +91.4% | +86.9% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 58.5 | 58.0 | 47.8 | 54.3 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 2.8M | 2.5M | 3.8M | 1.5M |
Analyst Outlook
VLO leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: DAR as "Buy", MPC as "Buy", VLO as "Buy", GPRE as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 1.0% upside for DAR (target: $63) vs -16.2% for GPRE (target: $14). For income investors, VLO offers the higher dividend yield at 1.92% vs MPC's 1.54%.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $62.86 | $214.78 | $214.67 | $13.80 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 25 | 33 | 37 | 20 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +1.5% | +1.9% | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 1 | 4 | 15 | 0 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $3.74 | $4.55 | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +0.4% | +4.9% | +3.7% | +2.6% |
VLO leads in 3 of 6 categories (Valuation Metrics, Profitability & Efficiency). DAR leads in 1 (Income & Cash Flow). 1 tied.
DAR vs MPC vs VLO vs GPRE: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is DAR or MPC or VLO or GPRE a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Darling Ingredients Inc.
(DAR) is the stronger pick with 7. 4% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -14. 9% for Green Plains Inc. (GPRE). Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) offers the better valuation at 18. 3x trailing P/E (10. 9x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Darling Ingredients Inc. (DAR) a "Buy" — based on 25 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — DAR or MPC or VLO or GPRE?
On trailing P/E, Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) is the cheapest at 18.
3x versus Darling Ingredients Inc. at 159. 6x. On forward P/E, Valero Energy Corporation is actually cheaper at 10. 0x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — DAR or MPC or VLO or GPRE?
Over the past 5 years, Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) delivered a total return of +329.
5%, compared to -48. 5% for Green Plains Inc. (GPRE). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: MPC returned +664. 3% versus GPRE's +21. 3%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — DAR or MPC or VLO or GPRE?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Valero Energy Corporation (VLO) is the lower-risk stock at 0.
27β versus Green Plains Inc. 's 1. 22β — meaning GPRE is approximately 353% more volatile than VLO relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Valero Energy Corporation (VLO) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 44% versus 143% for Marathon Petroleum Corporation — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — DAR or MPC or VLO or GPRE?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Darling Ingredients Inc.
(DAR) is pulling ahead at 7. 4% versus -14. 9% for Green Plains Inc. (GPRE). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Marathon Petroleum Corporation grew EPS 31. 5% year-over-year, compared to -77. 5% for Darling Ingredients Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, DAR leads at -2. 0% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — DAR or MPC or VLO or GPRE?
Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) is the more profitable company, earning 3.
0% net margin versus -5. 8% for Green Plains Inc. — meaning it keeps 3. 0% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: DAR leads at 6. 4% versus -4. 0% for GPRE. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — DAR leads at 15. 8%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is DAR or MPC or VLO or GPRE more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Valero Energy Corporation (VLO) trades at 10.
0x forward P/E versus 46. 6x for Green Plains Inc. — 36. 6x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for DAR: 1. 0% to $62. 86.
08Which pays a better dividend — DAR or MPC or VLO or GPRE?
In this comparison, VLO (1.
9% yield), MPC (1. 5% yield) pay a dividend. DAR, GPRE do not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is DAR or MPC or VLO or GPRE better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
30), 1. 5% yield, +664. 3% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (MPC: +664. 3%, GPRE: +21. 3%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between DAR and MPC and VLO and GPRE?
These companies operate in different sectors (DAR (Consumer Defensive) and MPC (Energy) and VLO (Energy) and GPRE (Basic Materials)), which means they face different economic cycles, regulatory environments, and macro sensitivities — making direct comparison nuanced.
MPC, VLO pay a dividend while DAR, GPRE do not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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