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5 / 10Stock Comparison
FAT vs FWRG vs DENN vs RRGB vs CAKE
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Restaurants
Restaurants
Restaurants
Restaurants
FAT vs FWRG vs DENN vs RRGB vs CAKE — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Restaurants | Restaurants | Restaurants | Restaurants | Restaurants |
| Market Cap | $3M | $737M | $322M | $81M | $3.03B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $574M | $1.27B | $457M | $1.21B | $3.75B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-226M | $18M | $10M | $-23M | $148M |
| Gross Margin | 27.4% | 35.1% | 43.8% | 26.8% | 78.3% |
| Operating Margin | -14.1% | 2.3% | 8.4% | 0.2% | 5.0% |
| Forward P/E | — | 60.7x | 15.0x | — | 15.0x |
| Total Debt | $1.47B | $740M | $408M | $514M | $3.46B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $23M | $21M | $2M | $20M | $216M |
FAT vs FWRG vs DENN vs RRGB vs CAKE — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Oct 21 | Apr 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| FAT Brands Inc. (FAT) | 100 | 2.9 | -97.1% |
| First Watch Restaur… (FWRG) | 100 | 57.7 | -42.3% |
| Denny's Corporation (DENN) | 100 | 39.1 | -60.9% |
| Red Robin Gourmet B… (RRGB) | 100 | 25.3 | -74.7% |
| The Cheesecake Fact… (CAKE) | 100 | 159.4 | +59.4% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: FAT vs FWRG vs DENN vs RRGB vs CAKE
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
FAT is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if income & stability and growth exposure is your priority.
- Dividend streak 0 yrs, beta 1.56, yield 100.0%
- Rev growth 23.4%, EPS growth -98.3%, 3Y rev CAGR 70.8%
- 23.4% revenue growth vs RRGB's -3.1%
- 100.0% yield, vs CAKE's 1.8%, (3 stocks pay no dividend)
FWRG lags the leaders in this set but could rank higher in a more targeted comparison.
DENN carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for value and stability.
- Lower P/E (15.0x vs 15.0x)
- Beta 0.65 vs RRGB's 2.10
- +39.8% vs FAT's -94.2%
Among these 5 stocks, RRGB doesn't own a clear edge in any measured category.
CAKE ranks third and is worth considering specifically for long-term compounding and sleep-well-at-night.
- 35.6% 10Y total return vs FAT's -14.2%
- Lower volatility, beta 1.11, current ratio 0.59x
- Beta 1.11, yield 1.8%, current ratio 0.59x
- 4.0% margin vs FAT's -39.3%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 23.4% revenue growth vs RRGB's -3.1% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (15.0x vs 15.0x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 4.0% margin vs FAT's -39.3% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.65 vs RRGB's 2.10 | |
| Dividends | 100.0% yield, vs CAKE's 1.8%, (3 stocks pay no dividend) | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +39.8% vs FAT's -94.2% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 4.7% ROA vs FAT's -18.0%, ROIC 4.7% vs -3.8% |
FAT vs FWRG vs DENN vs RRGB vs CAKE — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
FAT vs FWRG vs DENN vs RRGB vs CAKE — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 5 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
CAKE leads in 2 of 6 categories
DENN leads 2 • RRGB leads 1 • FAT leads 1 • FWRG leads 0
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
CAKE leads this category, winning 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
CAKE is the larger business by revenue, generating $3.8B annually — 8.2x DENN's $457M. CAKE is the more profitable business, keeping 4.0% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to FAT's -39.3%. On growth, FWRG holds the edge at +17.3% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $574M | $1.3B | $457M | $1.2B | $3.8B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$44M | $109M | $55M | $54M | $296M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$226M | $18M | $10M | -$23M | $148M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$75M | -$9M | $2M | $6M | $155M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +27.4% | +35.1% | +43.8% | +26.8% | +78.3% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -14.1% | +2.3% | +8.4% | +0.2% | +5.0% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -39.3% | +1.4% | +2.2% | -1.9% | +4.0% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -13.1% | -0.7% | +0.5% | +0.5% | +4.1% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -2.3% | +17.3% | +1.3% | -5.7% | +4.4% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -23.7% | -2.2% | -89.9% | +77.4% | -28.6% |
Valuation Metrics
RRGB leads this category, winning 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 15.2x trailing earnings, DENN trades at a 60% valuation discount to FWRG's 38.5x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, RRGB's 10.7x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than CAKE's 21.2x.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $3M | $737M | $322M | $81M | $3.0B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $1.5B | $1.5B | $728M | $575M | $6.3B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -0.01x | 38.55x | 15.24x | -2.80x | 19.80x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | 60.72x | 15.02x | — | 15.04x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — | — | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | 13.38x | 12.10x | 10.66x | 21.19x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.00x | 0.60x | 0.71x | 0.07x | 0.81x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | — | 1.20x | — | — | 6.74x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | — | 350.62x | 13.00x | 19.55x |
Profitability & Efficiency
DENN leads this category, winning 5 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
CAKE delivers a 37.1% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $37 in annual profit, vs $3 for FWRG. FWRG carries lower financial leverage with a 1.18x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to CAKE's 7.93x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), DENN scores 7/9 vs FAT's 2/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | — | +2.9% | — | — | +37.1% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -18.0% | +1.0% | +2.0% | -4.1% | +4.7% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -3.8% | +1.9% | +9.7% | +0.5% | +4.7% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -5.0% | +2.3% | +11.9% | +0.7% | +7.8% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | — | 1.18x | — | — | 7.93x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $1.5B | $718M | $406M | $494M | $3.2B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $23M | $21M | $2M | $20M | $216M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $1.5B | $740M | $408M | $514M | $3.5B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -0.54x | 1.64x | 1.73x | 0.26x | 16.15x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
CAKE leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in CAKE five years ago would be worth $10,215 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $1,032 for RRGB. Over the past 12 months, DENN leads with a +39.8% total return vs FAT's -94.2%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors CAKE at 24.3% vs RRGB's -33.4% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -52.3% | -22.3% | +0.6% | -11.4% | +15.7% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -94.2% | -25.3% | +39.8% | +34.9% | +23.5% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +21.9% | -28.9% | -41.3% | -70.5% | +92.1% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -8.5% | -46.0% | -64.9% | -89.7% | +2.1% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -14.2% | -46.0% | -42.9% | -94.4% | +35.6% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +6.8% | -10.7% | -16.3% | -33.4% | +24.3% |
Risk & Volatility
DENN leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
DENN is the less volatile stock with a 0.65 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than RRGB's 2.10 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. DENN currently trades 99.8% from its 52-week high vs FAT's 4.7% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.56x | 1.59x | 0.65x | 2.10x | 1.11x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $3.45 | $19.53 | $6.26 | $7.89 | $69.70 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $0.06 | $10.10 | $3.36 | $2.46 | $43.07 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +4.7% | +61.2% | +99.8% | +46.5% | +87.2% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 32.2 | 46.5 | 66.9 | 51.6 | 50.5 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 85K | 1.6M | 0 | 384K | 1.2M |
Analyst Outlook
FAT leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: FWRG as "Buy", DENN as "Buy", RRGB as "Hold", CAKE as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 90.7% upside for RRGB (target: $7) vs -4.0% for DENN (target: $6). For income investors, FAT offers the higher dividend yield at 100.00% vs CAKE's 1.78%.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | — | Buy | Buy | Hold | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | — | $19.00 | $6.00 | $7.00 | $65.50 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | — | 15 | 21 | 38 | 48 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +100.0% | — | — | — | +1.8% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | — | 0 | — | 0 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $0.56 | — | — | — | $1.08 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | 0.0% | +3.6% | 0.0% | +5.1% |
CAKE leads in 2 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Total Returns). DENN leads in 2 (Profitability & Efficiency, Risk & Volatility).
FAT vs FWRG vs DENN vs RRGB vs CAKE: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is FAT or FWRG or DENN or RRGB or CAKE a better buy right now?
For growth investors, FAT Brands Inc.
(FAT) is the stronger pick with 23. 4% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -3. 1% for Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. (RRGB). Denny's Corporation (DENN) offers the better valuation at 15. 2x trailing P/E (15. 0x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. (FWRG) a "Buy" — based on 15 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — FAT or FWRG or DENN or RRGB or CAKE?
On trailing P/E, Denny's Corporation (DENN) is the cheapest at 15.
2x versus First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. at 38. 5x. On forward P/E, Denny's Corporation is actually cheaper at 15. 0x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — FAT or FWRG or DENN or RRGB or CAKE?
Over the past 5 years, The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) delivered a total return of +2.
1%, compared to -89. 7% for Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. (RRGB). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: CAKE returned +35. 6% versus RRGB's -94. 4%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — FAT or FWRG or DENN or RRGB or CAKE?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Denny's Corporation (DENN) is the lower-risk stock at 0.
65β versus Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. 's 2. 10β — meaning RRGB is approximately 221% more volatile than DENN relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. (FWRG) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 118% versus 8% for The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — FAT or FWRG or DENN or RRGB or CAKE?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), FAT Brands Inc.
(FAT) is pulling ahead at 23. 4% versus -3. 1% for Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. (RRGB). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. grew EPS 73. 4% year-over-year, compared to -98. 3% for FAT Brands Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, FAT leads at 70. 8% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — FAT or FWRG or DENN or RRGB or CAKE?
Denny's Corporation (DENN) is the more profitable company, earning 4.
8% net margin versus -32. 0% for FAT Brands Inc. — meaning it keeps 4. 8% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: DENN leads at 10. 0% versus -8. 8% for FAT. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — CAKE leads at 78. 3%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is FAT or FWRG or DENN or RRGB or CAKE more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Denny's Corporation (DENN) trades at 15.
0x forward P/E versus 60. 7x for First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. — 45. 7x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for RRGB: 90. 7% to $7. 00.
08Which pays a better dividend — FAT or FWRG or DENN or RRGB or CAKE?
In this comparison, FAT (100.
0% yield), CAKE (1. 8% yield) pay a dividend. FWRG, DENN, RRGB do not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is FAT or FWRG or DENN or RRGB or CAKE better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 1.
11), 1. 8% yield). Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. (RRGB) carries a higher beta of 2. 10 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (CAKE: +35. 6%, RRGB: -94. 4%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between FAT and FWRG and DENN and RRGB and CAKE?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Cyclical sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: FAT is a small-cap high-growth stock; FWRG is a small-cap high-growth stock; DENN is a small-cap deep-value stock; RRGB is a small-cap quality compounder stock; CAKE is a small-cap quality compounder stock. FAT, CAKE pay a dividend while FWRG, DENN, RRGB do not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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