Industrial - Distribution
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FERG vs HD
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Home Improvement
FERG vs HD — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Industrial - Distribution | Home Improvement |
| Market Cap | $49.03B | $321.11B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $31.63B | $164.68B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $2.07B | $14.16B |
| Gross Margin | 30.7% | 33.3% |
| Operating Margin | 9.2% | 12.7% |
| Forward P/E | 22.6x | 21.5x |
| Total Debt | $5.97B | $19.01B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $674M | $1.39B |
FERG vs HD — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ferguson plc (FERG) | 100 | 318.4 | +218.4% |
| The Home Depot, Inc. (HD) | 100 | 130.0 | +30.0% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: FERG vs HD
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
FERG is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 3.8%, EPS growth 9.3%, 3Y rev CAGR 2.5%
- 382.9% 10Y total return vs HD's 185.4%
- Lower volatility, beta 1.24, current ratio 1.68x
HD carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and defensive.
- Dividend streak 16 yrs, beta 0.84, yield 2.8%
- Beta 0.84, yield 2.8%, current ratio 1.06x
- Lower P/E (21.5x vs 22.6x)
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 3.8% revenue growth vs HD's 3.2% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (21.5x vs 22.6x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 8.6% margin vs FERG's 6.6% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.84 vs FERG's 1.24 | |
| Dividends | 2.8% yield, 16-year raise streak, vs FERG's 1.0% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +51.6% vs HD's -7.5% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 13.5% ROA vs FERG's 11.8%, ROIC 32.1% vs 18.0% |
FERG vs HD — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
FERG vs HD — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
HD leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
HD is the larger business by revenue, generating $164.7B annually — 5.2x FERG's $31.6B. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from 8.6% (HD) to 6.6% (FERG).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $31.6B | $164.7B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $3.3B | $24.2B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $2.1B | $14.2B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $1.0B | $12.6B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +30.7% | +33.3% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +9.2% | +12.7% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +6.6% | +8.6% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +3.2% | +7.7% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -2.0% | -3.8% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +2.9% | -14.6% |
Valuation Metrics
HD leads this category, winning 4 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 22.7x trailing earnings, HD trades at a 16% valuation discount to FERG's 27.1x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), FERG offers better value at 1.59x vs HD's 6.36x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $49.0B | $321.1B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $54.3B | $338.7B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 27.06x | 22.70x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 22.63x | 21.50x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 1.59x | 6.36x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 18.23x | 14.02x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 1.59x | 1.95x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 8.61x | 25.14x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 30.59x | 25.39x |
Profitability & Efficiency
FERG leads this category, winning 5 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
HD delivers a 110.5% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $110 in annual profit, vs $35 for FERG. FERG carries lower financial leverage with a 1.02x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to HD's 1.48x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), FERG scores 6/9 vs HD's 4/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +35.1% | +110.5% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +11.8% | +13.5% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +18.0% | +32.1% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +22.6% | +29.8% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 6 | 4 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 1.02x | 1.48x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $5.3B | $17.6B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $674M | $1.4B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $6.0B | $19.0B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 15.59x | 8.71x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
FERG leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in FERG five years ago would be worth $20,448 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $10,797 for HD. Over the past 12 months, FERG leads with a +51.6% total return vs HD's -7.5%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors FERG at 23.0% vs HD's 6.7% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +12.9% | -5.9% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +51.6% | -7.5% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +86.0% | +21.5% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +104.5% | +8.0% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +382.9% | +185.4% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +23.0% | +6.7% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — FERG and HD each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
HD is the less volatile stock with a 0.84 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than FERG's 1.24 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. FERG currently trades 92.8% from its 52-week high vs HD's 75.7% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.24x | 0.84x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $271.64 | $426.75 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $166.04 | $310.42 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +92.8% | +75.7% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 48.6 | 36.4 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 1.4M | 3.6M |
Analyst Outlook
HD leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates FERG as "Buy" and HD as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 26.3% upside for HD (target: $408) vs 7.5% for FERG (target: $271). For income investors, HD offers the higher dividend yield at 2.84% vs FERG's 0.97%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $271.00 | $408.08 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 14 | 62 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +1.0% | +2.8% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | 16 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $2.45 | $9.18 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +1.9% | 0.0% |
HD leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Valuation Metrics). FERG leads in 2 (Profitability & Efficiency, Total Returns). 1 tied.
FERG vs HD: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is FERG or HD a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Ferguson plc (FERG) is the stronger pick with 3.
8% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 3. 2% for The Home Depot, Inc. (HD). The Home Depot, Inc. (HD) offers the better valuation at 22. 7x trailing P/E (21. 5x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Ferguson plc (FERG) a "Buy" — based on 14 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — FERG or HD?
On trailing P/E, The Home Depot, Inc.
(HD) is the cheapest at 22. 7x versus Ferguson plc at 27. 1x. On forward P/E, The Home Depot, Inc. is actually cheaper at 21. 5x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Ferguson plc wins at 1. 33x versus The Home Depot, Inc. 's 6. 02x — a reasonable growth-adjusted valuation.
03Which is the better long-term investment — FERG or HD?
Over the past 5 years, Ferguson plc (FERG) delivered a total return of +104.
5%, compared to +8. 0% for The Home Depot, Inc. (HD). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: FERG returned +382. 9% versus HD's +185. 4%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — FERG or HD?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), The Home Depot, Inc.
(HD) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 84β versus Ferguson plc's 1. 24β — meaning FERG is approximately 48% more volatile than HD relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Ferguson plc (FERG) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 102% versus 148% for The Home Depot, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — FERG or HD?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Ferguson plc (FERG) is pulling ahead at 3.
8% versus 3. 2% for The Home Depot, Inc. (HD). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Ferguson plc grew EPS 9. 3% year-over-year, compared to -4. 6% for The Home Depot, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, FERG leads at 2. 5% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — FERG or HD?
The Home Depot, Inc.
(HD) is the more profitable company, earning 8. 6% net margin versus 6. 0% for Ferguson plc — meaning it keeps 8. 6% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: HD leads at 12. 7% versus 8. 5% for FERG. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — HD leads at 33. 3%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is FERG or HD more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Ferguson plc (FERG) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 1. 33x versus The Home Depot, Inc. 's 6. 02x. A PEG below 1. 5 suggests fair-to-attractive pricing relative to expected growth. On forward earnings alone, The Home Depot, Inc. (HD) trades at 21. 5x forward P/E versus 22. 6x for Ferguson plc — 1. 1x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for HD: 26. 3% to $408. 08.
08Which pays a better dividend — FERG or HD?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
The Home Depot, Inc. (HD) offers the highest yield at 2. 8%, versus 1. 0% for Ferguson plc (FERG).
09Is FERG or HD better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, The Home Depot, Inc.
(HD) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 84), 2. 8% yield, +185. 4% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (HD: +185. 4%, FERG: +382. 9%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between FERG and HD?
These companies operate in different sectors (FERG (Industrials) and HD (Consumer Cyclical)), which means they face different economic cycles, regulatory environments, and macro sensitivities — making direct comparison nuanced.
These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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