Integrated Freight & Logistics
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FLX vs YMM vs GDS vs ZTO vs UPS
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Software - Application
Information Technology Services
Integrated Freight & Logistics
Integrated Freight & Logistics
FLX vs YMM vs GDS vs ZTO vs UPS — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Integrated Freight & Logistics | Software - Application | Information Technology Services | Integrated Freight & Logistics | Integrated Freight & Logistics |
| Market Cap | $124M | $19.02B | $8.01B | $20.24B | $85.05B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $4.02B | $12.14B | $11.39B | $46.32B | $88.33B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-207M | $4.18B | $956M | $8.71B | $5.25B |
| Gross Margin | 11.5% | 71.3% | 22.1% | 27.5% | 18.1% |
| Operating Margin | -2.7% | 32.4% | 13.2% | 24.1% | 8.6% |
| Forward P/E | 1.0x | 1.9x | 15.2x | 1.9x | 14.1x |
| Total Debt | $42M | $65M | $47.55B | $17.35B | $32.29B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $592M | $5.81B | $14.32B | $13.47B | $5.89B |
FLX vs YMM vs GDS vs ZTO vs UPS — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Oct 24 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| BingEx Limited (FLX) | 100 | 21.1 | -78.9% |
| Full Truck Alliance… (YMM) | 100 | 99.7 | -0.3% |
| GDS Holdings Limited (GDS) | 100 | 199.1 | +99.1% |
| ZTO Express (Cayman… (ZTO) | 100 | 109.7 | +9.7% |
| United Parcel Servi… (UPS) | 100 | 74.7 | -25.3% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: FLX vs YMM vs GDS vs ZTO vs UPS
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
FLX is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if value is your priority.
- Lower P/E (1.0x vs 15.2x)
YMM carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure and sleep-well-at-night.
- Rev growth 33.2%, EPS growth 47.0%, 3Y rev CAGR 34.1%
- Lower volatility, beta 1.50, Low D/E 0.2%, current ratio 9.03x
- 33.2% revenue growth vs UPS's -2.5%
- 34.4% margin vs FLX's -5.2%
GDS ranks third and is worth considering specifically for momentum.
- +66.6% vs YMM's -21.9%
ZTO is the clearest fit if your priority is long-term compounding and valuation efficiency.
- 74.6% 10Y total return vs GDS's 319.0%
- PEG 0.23 vs UPS's 0.42
- Beta 0.36 vs GDS's 2.14, lower leverage
UPS is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and defensive.
- Dividend streak 16 yrs, beta 0.90, yield 6.3%
- Beta 0.90, yield 6.3%, current ratio 1.22x
- 6.3% yield, 16-year raise streak, vs ZTO's 3.9%, (2 stocks pay no dividend)
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 33.2% revenue growth vs UPS's -2.5% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (1.0x vs 15.2x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 34.4% margin vs FLX's -5.2% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.36 vs GDS's 2.14, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 6.3% yield, 16-year raise streak, vs ZTO's 3.9%, (2 stocks pay no dividend) | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +66.6% vs YMM's -21.9% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 10.0% ROA vs FLX's -16.9%, ROIC 6.0% vs -9.8% |
FLX vs YMM vs GDS vs ZTO vs UPS — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Segment breakdown not available.
FLX vs YMM vs GDS vs ZTO vs UPS — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 5 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
YMM leads in 2 of 6 categories
FLX leads 1 • GDS leads 1 • ZTO leads 1 • UPS leads 1
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
YMM leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
UPS is the larger business by revenue, generating $88.3B annually — 22.0x FLX's $4.0B. YMM is the more profitable business, keeping 34.4% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to FLX's -5.2%. On growth, YMM holds the edge at +17.2% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $4.0B | $12.1B | $11.4B | $46.3B | $88.3B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$109M | $4.0B | $4.9B | $11.8B | $10.5B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$207M | $4.2B | $956M | $8.7B | $5.2B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $0 | $0 | -$1.3B | $2.3B | $4.5B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +11.5% | +71.3% | +22.1% | +27.5% | +18.1% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -2.7% | +32.4% | +13.2% | +24.1% | +8.6% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -5.2% | +34.4% | +8.4% | +18.8% | +5.9% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +0.0% | +25.8% | -11.0% | +5.0% | +5.1% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -12.9% | +17.2% | +7.1% | +10.3% | -1.6% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +4.3% | +29.4% | -158.3% | -25.0% | -27.1% |
Valuation Metrics
FLX leads this category, winning 4 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 15.3x trailing earnings, UPS trades at a 78% valuation discount to GDS's 70.0x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), UPS offers better value at 0.45x vs ZTO's 1.98x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $124M | $19.0B | $8.0B | $20.2B | $85.1B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $44M | $18.2B | $12.9B | $20.8B | $111.5B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -2.47x | 20.65x | 70.01x | 16.12x | 15.26x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 0.95x | 1.94x | 15.22x | 1.90x | 14.13x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — | — | 1.98x | 0.45x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | 48.44x | 18.16x | 9.57x | 9.12x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.19x | 11.52x | 4.90x | 3.11x | 0.96x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.59x | 1.66x | 2.20x | 2.31x | 5.23x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 808.01x | 44.70x | — | 24.92x | 17.85x |
Profitability & Efficiency
YMM leads this category, winning 4 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
UPS delivers a 33.0% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $33 in annual profit, vs $-26 for FLX. YMM carries lower financial leverage with a 0.00x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to UPS's 1.99x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), YMM scores 8/9 vs UPS's 5/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -26.3% | +10.9% | +3.7% | +13.9% | +33.0% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -16.9% | +10.0% | +1.2% | +9.3% | +7.3% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -9.8% | +6.0% | +1.8% | +13.6% | +16.1% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -4.6% | +6.7% | +2.1% | +17.8% | +15.3% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.06x | 0.00x | 1.71x | 0.28x | 1.99x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$550M | -$5.7B | $33.2B | $3.9B | $26.4B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $592M | $5.8B | $14.3B | $13.5B | $5.9B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $42M | $65M | $47.6B | $17.3B | $32.3B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | — | — | 1.97x | 38.64x | 7.37x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
GDS leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in ZTO five years ago would be worth $8,750 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $1,516 for FLX. Over the past 12 months, GDS leads with a +66.6% total return vs YMM's -21.9%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors GDS at 43.6% vs FLX's -46.7% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -15.2% | -20.1% | +13.8% | +19.9% | +0.7% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +13.8% | -21.9% | +66.6% | +37.8% | +13.5% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -84.8% | +58.4% | +195.9% | -3.4% | -31.4% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -84.8% | -56.6% | -41.4% | -12.5% | -40.0% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -84.8% | -56.6% | +319.0% | +74.6% | +44.7% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -46.7% | +16.6% | +43.6% | -1.1% | -11.8% |
Risk & Volatility
ZTO leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
ZTO is the less volatile stock with a 0.36 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than GDS's 2.14 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. ZTO currently trades 96.7% from its 52-week high vs FLX's 61.3% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.48x | 1.50x | 2.14x | 0.36x | 0.90x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $4.45 | $14.07 | $48.61 | $26.20 | $122.41 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $2.08 | $8.04 | $22.53 | $16.68 | $82.00 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +61.3% | +63.4% | +89.7% | +96.7% | +81.8% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 48.9 | 61.8 | 61.6 | 60.2 | 44.0 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 192K | 6.0M | 1.7M | 1.5M | 5.8M |
Analyst Outlook
UPS leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: YMM as "Buy", GDS as "Buy", ZTO as "Buy", UPS as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 42.5% upside for GDS (target: $62) vs 5.0% for ZTO (target: $27). For income investors, UPS offers the higher dividend yield at 6.34% vs YMM's 1.68%.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | — | Buy | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | — | $11.67 | $62.17 | $26.60 | $115.23 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | — | 3 | 20 | 10 | 45 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +1.7% | — | +3.9% | +6.3% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | 1 | 3 | 2 | 16 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $1.02 | — | $6.69 | $6.35 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +0.4% | 0.0% | +0.8% | +1.2% |
YMM leads in 2 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). FLX leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics).
FLX vs YMM vs GDS vs ZTO vs UPS: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is FLX or YMM or GDS or ZTO or UPS a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Full Truck Alliance Co.
Ltd. (YMM) is the stronger pick with 33. 2% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -2. 5% for United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS). United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) offers the better valuation at 15. 3x trailing P/E (14. 1x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. (YMM) a "Buy" — based on 3 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — FLX or YMM or GDS or ZTO or UPS?
On trailing P/E, United Parcel Service, Inc.
(UPS) is the cheapest at 15. 3x versus GDS Holdings Limited at 70. 0x. On forward P/E, BingEx Limited is actually cheaper at 1. 0x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. wins at 0. 23x versus United Parcel Service, Inc. 's 0. 42x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — FLX or YMM or GDS or ZTO or UPS?
Over the past 5 years, ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.
(ZTO) delivered a total return of -12. 5%, compared to -84. 8% for BingEx Limited (FLX). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: GDS returned +319. 0% versus FLX's -84. 8%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — FLX or YMM or GDS or ZTO or UPS?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.
(ZTO) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 36β versus GDS Holdings Limited's 2. 14β — meaning GDS is approximately 487% more volatile than ZTO relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. (YMM) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 0% versus 199% for United Parcel Service, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — FLX or YMM or GDS or ZTO or UPS?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Full Truck Alliance Co.
Ltd. (YMM) is pulling ahead at 33. 2% versus -2. 5% for United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: GDS Holdings Limited grew EPS 193. 0% year-over-year, compared to -402. 0% for BingEx Limited. Over a 3-year CAGR, YMM leads at 34. 1% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — FLX or YMM or GDS or ZTO or UPS?
Full Truck Alliance Co.
Ltd. (YMM) is the more profitable company, earning 27. 3% net margin versus -3. 3% for BingEx Limited — meaning it keeps 27. 3% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: ZTO leads at 26. 6% versus -0. 6% for FLX. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — YMM leads at 86. 6%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is FLX or YMM or GDS or ZTO or UPS more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (ZTO) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 23x versus United Parcel Service, Inc. 's 0. 42x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, BingEx Limited (FLX) trades at 1. 0x forward P/E versus 15. 2x for GDS Holdings Limited — 14. 3x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for GDS: 42. 5% to $62. 17.
08Which pays a better dividend — FLX or YMM or GDS or ZTO or UPS?
In this comparison, UPS (6.
3% yield), ZTO (3. 9% yield), YMM (1. 7% yield) pay a dividend. FLX, GDS do not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is FLX or YMM or GDS or ZTO or UPS better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.
(ZTO) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 36), 3. 9% yield). GDS Holdings Limited (GDS) carries a higher beta of 2. 14 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (ZTO: +74. 6%, GDS: +319. 0%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between FLX and YMM and GDS and ZTO and UPS?
These companies operate in different sectors (FLX (Industrials) and YMM (Technology) and GDS (Technology) and ZTO (Industrials) and UPS (Industrials)), which means they face different economic cycles, regulatory environments, and macro sensitivities — making direct comparison nuanced.
In terms of investment character: FLX is a small-cap quality compounder stock; YMM is a mid-cap high-growth stock; GDS is a small-cap quality compounder stock; ZTO is a mid-cap high-growth stock; UPS is a mid-cap deep-value stock. YMM, ZTO, UPS pay a dividend while FLX, GDS do not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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