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FWRD vs ARCB vs SAIA
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Trucking
Trucking
FWRD vs ARCB vs SAIA — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Integrated Freight & Logistics | Trucking | Trucking |
| Market Cap | $573M | $2.72B | $11.99B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $2.50B | $4.04B | $3.25B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-108M | $56M | $255M |
| Gross Margin | 20.5% | 4.1% | 18.4% |
| Operating Margin | 1.5% | 2.2% | 10.8% |
| Forward P/E | — | 23.6x | 42.3x |
| Total Debt | $2.16B | $669M | $418M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $106M | $102M | $20M |
FWRD vs ARCB vs SAIA — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward Air Corpora… (FWRD) | 100 | 37.0 | -63.0% |
| ArcBest Corporation (ARCB) | 100 | 544.1 | +444.1% |
| Saia, Inc. (SAIA) | 100 | 414.4 | +314.4% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: FWRD vs ARCB vs SAIA
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
FWRD is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 8 yrs, beta 2.28
- Rev growth 0.8%, EPS growth 88.3%, 3Y rev CAGR 14.1%
- 0.8% revenue growth vs ARCB's -4.0%
ARCB has the current edge in this matchup, primarily because of its strength in value and dividends.
- Lower P/E (23.6x vs 42.3x)
- 0.4% yield; 4-year raise streak; the other 2 pay no meaningful dividend
- +108.9% vs FWRD's +9.6%
SAIA is the clearest fit if your priority is long-term compounding and sleep-well-at-night.
- 15.6% 10Y total return vs ARCB's 6.4%
- Lower volatility, beta 1.90, Low D/E 16.2%, current ratio 1.64x
- Beta 1.90, current ratio 1.64x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 0.8% revenue growth vs ARCB's -4.0% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (23.6x vs 42.3x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 7.8% margin vs FWRD's -4.3% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.90 vs FWRD's 2.28, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 0.4% yield; 4-year raise streak; the other 2 pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +108.9% vs FWRD's +9.6% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 7.3% ROA vs FWRD's -4.0%, ROIC 9.4% vs 1.2% |
FWRD vs ARCB vs SAIA — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Segment breakdown not available.
FWRD vs ARCB vs SAIA — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 3 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
SAIA leads this category, winning 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
ARCB is the larger business by revenue, generating $4.0B annually — 1.6x FWRD's $2.5B. SAIA is the more profitable business, keeping 7.8% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to FWRD's -4.3%. On growth, ARCB holds the edge at +3.3% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $2.5B | $4.0B | $3.3B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $189M | $217M | $602M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$108M | $56M | $255M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $15M | $169M | $261M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +20.5% | +4.1% | +18.4% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +1.5% | +2.2% | +10.8% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -4.3% | +1.4% | +7.8% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +0.6% | +4.2% | +8.0% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -0.3% | +3.3% | +2.4% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +26.6% | -138.5% | 0.0% |
Valuation Metrics
ARCB leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 46.5x trailing earnings, ARCB trades at a 2% valuation discount to SAIA's 47.2x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, ARCB's 12.6x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than SAIA's 20.6x.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $573M | $2.7B | $12.0B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $2.6B | $3.3B | $12.4B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -5.28x | 46.50x | 47.21x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | 23.62x | 42.32x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — | 3.67x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 13.89x | 12.60x | 20.61x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.23x | 0.68x | 3.71x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 3.52x | 2.16x | 4.67x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 37.52x | 23.79x | 438.47x |
Profitability & Efficiency
SAIA leads this category, winning 9 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
SAIA delivers a 10.0% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $10 in annual profit, vs $-67 for FWRD. SAIA carries lower financial leverage with a 0.16x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to FWRD's 13.36x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), SAIA scores 6/9 vs ARCB's 4/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -66.7% | +4.3% | +10.0% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -4.0% | +2.3% | +7.3% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +1.2% | +3.9% | +9.4% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +1.5% | +5.1% | +11.5% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 13.36x | 0.52x | 0.16x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $2.1B | $567M | $398M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $106M | $102M | $20M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $2.2B | $669M | $418M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 0.19x | 6.58x | 23.88x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
SAIA leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in SAIA five years ago would be worth $18,991 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $2,169 for FWRD. Over the past 12 months, ARCB leads with a +108.9% total return vs FWRD's +9.6%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors SAIA at 16.0% vs FWRD's -41.8% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -26.9% | +58.0% | +33.3% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +9.6% | +108.9% | +76.6% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -80.3% | +40.6% | +56.2% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -78.3% | +43.3% | +89.9% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -44.3% | +635.7% | +1557.1% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -41.8% | +12.0% | +16.0% |
Risk & Volatility
SAIA leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
SAIA is the less volatile stock with a 1.90 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than FWRD's 2.28 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. SAIA currently trades 98.1% from its 52-week high vs FWRD's 56.5% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 2.28x | 1.90x | 1.90x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $32.47 | $135.10 | $457.99 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $14.81 | $58.16 | $248.37 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +56.5% | +90.2% | +98.1% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 35.5 | 56.0 | 53.6 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 725K | 307K | 533K |
Analyst Outlook
FWRD leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: FWRD as "Hold", ARCB as "Buy", SAIA as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 101.5% upside for FWRD (target: $37) vs -5.9% for SAIA (target: $423). ARCB is the only dividend payer here at 0.39% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $37.00 | $117.14 | $422.67 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 21 | 24 | 32 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +0.4% | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 8 | 4 | — |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $0.48 | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +0.1% | +2.8% | +0.1% |
SAIA leads in 4 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). ARCB leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics).
FWRD vs ARCB vs SAIA: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is FWRD or ARCB or SAIA a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Forward Air Corporation (FWRD) is the stronger pick with 0.
8% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -4. 0% for ArcBest Corporation (ARCB). ArcBest Corporation (ARCB) offers the better valuation at 46. 5x trailing P/E (23. 6x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate ArcBest Corporation (ARCB) a "Buy" — based on 24 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — FWRD or ARCB or SAIA?
On trailing P/E, ArcBest Corporation (ARCB) is the cheapest at 46.
5x versus Saia, Inc. at 47. 2x. On forward P/E, ArcBest Corporation is actually cheaper at 23. 6x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — FWRD or ARCB or SAIA?
Over the past 5 years, Saia, Inc.
(SAIA) delivered a total return of +89. 9%, compared to -78. 3% for Forward Air Corporation (FWRD). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: SAIA returned +1557% versus FWRD's -44. 3%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — FWRD or ARCB or SAIA?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Saia, Inc.
(SAIA) is the lower-risk stock at 1. 90β versus Forward Air Corporation's 2. 28β — meaning FWRD is approximately 20% more volatile than SAIA relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Saia, Inc. (SAIA) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 16% versus 13% for Forward Air Corporation — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — FWRD or ARCB or SAIA?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Forward Air Corporation (FWRD) is pulling ahead at 0.
8% versus -4. 0% for ArcBest Corporation (ARCB). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Forward Air Corporation grew EPS 88. 3% year-over-year, compared to -64. 1% for ArcBest Corporation. Over a 3-year CAGR, FWRD leads at 14. 1% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — FWRD or ARCB or SAIA?
Saia, Inc.
(SAIA) is the more profitable company, earning 7. 9% net margin versus -4. 3% for Forward Air Corporation — meaning it keeps 7. 9% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: SAIA leads at 10. 9% versus 1. 5% for FWRD. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — SAIA leads at 23. 7%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is FWRD or ARCB or SAIA more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, ArcBest Corporation (ARCB) trades at 23.
6x forward P/E versus 42. 3x for Saia, Inc. — 18. 7x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for FWRD: 101. 5% to $37. 00.
08Which pays a better dividend — FWRD or ARCB or SAIA?
In this comparison, ARCB (0.
4% yield) pays a dividend. FWRD, SAIA do not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is FWRD or ARCB or SAIA better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Saia, Inc.
(SAIA) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (+1557% 10Y return). Forward Air Corporation (FWRD) carries a higher beta of 2. 28 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (SAIA: +1557%, FWRD: -44. 3%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between FWRD and ARCB and SAIA?
Both stocks operate in the Industrials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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