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GEO vs G
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Information Technology Services
GEO vs G — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Security & Protection Services | Information Technology Services |
| Market Cap | $2.82B | $5.85B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $2.73B | $5.16B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $273M | $570M |
| Gross Margin | 40.4% | 36.3% |
| Operating Margin | 10.5% | 14.9% |
| Forward P/E | 18.5x | 8.1x |
| Total Debt | $1.73B | $1.76B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $69M | $854M |
GEO vs G — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| The GEO Group, Inc. (GEO) | 100 | 181.6 | +81.6% |
| Genpact Limited (G) | 100 | 90.6 | -9.4% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: GEO vs G
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
GEO is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure.
- Rev growth 8.6%, EPS growth 7.3%, 3Y rev CAGR 3.5%
- 8.6% revenue growth vs G's 6.6%
- -22.3% vs G's -29.0%
G carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and long-term compounding.
- Dividend streak 8 yrs, beta 0.67, yield 1.9%
- 42.5% 10Y total return vs GEO's 36.1%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.67, Low D/E 69.2%, current ratio 1.66x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 8.6% revenue growth vs G's 6.6% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (8.1x vs 18.5x), PEG 0.55 vs 1.31 | |
| Quality / Margins | 11.0% margin vs GEO's 10.0% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.67 vs GEO's 1.01, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 1.9% yield; 8-year raise streak; the other pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | -22.3% vs G's -29.0% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 10.3% ROA vs GEO's 7.2%, ROIC 17.2% vs 6.2% |
GEO vs G — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
GEO vs G — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
Evenly matched — GEO and G each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
G is the larger business by revenue, generating $5.2B annually — 1.9x GEO's $2.7B. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from 11.0% (G) to 10.0% (GEO). On growth, GEO holds the edge at +16.6% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $2.7B | $5.2B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $418M | $819M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $273M | $570M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$31M | $666M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +40.4% | +36.3% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +10.5% | +14.9% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +10.0% | +11.0% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -1.1% | +12.9% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +16.6% | +6.7% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +107.1% | +17.8% |
Valuation Metrics
G leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 11.0x trailing earnings, G trades at a 5% valuation discount to GEO's 11.7x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), G offers better value at 0.74x vs GEO's 0.83x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $2.8B | $5.9B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $4.5B | $6.8B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 11.66x | 11.02x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 18.55x | 8.09x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 0.83x | 0.74x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 11.52x | 7.91x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 1.07x | 1.15x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.97x | 2.39x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | 7.97x |
Profitability & Efficiency
G leads this category, winning 7 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
G delivers a 22.4% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $22 in annual profit, vs $19 for GEO. G carries lower financial leverage with a 0.69x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to GEO's 1.15x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), GEO scores 6/9 vs G's 5/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +18.5% | +22.4% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +7.2% | +10.3% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +6.2% | +17.2% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +7.6% | +18.4% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 6 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 1.15x | 0.69x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $1.7B | $911M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $69M | $854M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $1.7B | $1.8B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 3.12x | 16.55x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
GEO leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in GEO five years ago would be worth $36,962 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $7,921 for G. Over the past 12 months, GEO leads with a -22.3% total return vs G's -29.0%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors GEO at 37.0% vs G's -2.5% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +33.2% | -24.5% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -22.3% | -29.0% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +157.2% | -7.4% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +269.6% | -20.8% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +36.1% | +42.5% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +37.0% | -2.5% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — GEO and G each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
G is the less volatile stock with a 0.67 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than GEO's 1.01 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.22x | 0.69x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $30.25 | $50.24 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $12.51 | $33.12 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +70.1% | +68.6% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 76.9 | 35.4 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 2.1M | 2.3M |
Analyst Outlook
G leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates GEO as "Buy" and G as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 26.2% upside for G (target: $44) vs 15.5% for GEO (target: $25). G is the only dividend payer here at 1.93% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $24.50 | $43.50 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 12 | 40 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +1.9% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | 8 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $0.67 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +3.2% | +4.8% |
G leads in 3 of 6 categories (Valuation Metrics, Profitability & Efficiency). GEO leads in 1 (Total Returns). 2 tied.
GEO vs G: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is GEO or G a better buy right now?
For growth investors, The GEO Group, Inc.
(GEO) is the stronger pick with 8. 6% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 6. 6% for Genpact Limited (G). Genpact Limited (G) offers the better valuation at 11. 0x trailing P/E (8. 1x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate The GEO Group, Inc. (GEO) a "Buy" — based on 12 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — GEO or G?
On trailing P/E, Genpact Limited (G) is the cheapest at 11.
0x versus The GEO Group, Inc. at 11. 7x. On forward P/E, Genpact Limited is actually cheaper at 8. 1x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Genpact Limited wins at 0. 55x versus The GEO Group, Inc. 's 1. 31x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — GEO or G?
Over the past 5 years, The GEO Group, Inc.
(GEO) delivered a total return of +269. 6%, compared to -20. 8% for Genpact Limited (G). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: GEO returned +38. 6% versus G's +35. 4%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — GEO or G?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Genpact Limited (G) is the lower-risk stock at 0.
69β versus The GEO Group, Inc. 's 1. 22β — meaning GEO is approximately 78% more volatile than G relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Genpact Limited (G) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 69% versus 115% for The GEO Group, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — GEO or G?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), The GEO Group, Inc.
(GEO) is pulling ahead at 8. 6% versus 6. 6% for Genpact Limited (G). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: The GEO Group, Inc. grew EPS 727. 3% year-over-year, compared to 9. 8% for Genpact Limited. Over a 3-year CAGR, G leads at 5. 1% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — GEO or G?
Genpact Limited (G) is the more profitable company, earning 10.
9% net margin versus 9. 7% for The GEO Group, Inc. — meaning it keeps 10. 9% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: G leads at 15. 0% versus 9. 8% for GEO. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — G leads at 35. 6%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is GEO or G more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Genpact Limited (G) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 55x versus The GEO Group, Inc. 's 1. 31x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, Genpact Limited (G) trades at 8. 1x forward P/E versus 18. 5x for The GEO Group, Inc. — 10. 5x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for G: 26. 2% to $43. 50.
08Which pays a better dividend — GEO or G?
In this comparison, G (1.
9% yield) pays a dividend. GEO does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is GEO or G better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Genpact Limited (G) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
69), 1. 9% yield). Both have compounded well over 10 years (G: +35. 4%, GEO: +38. 6%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between GEO and G?
These companies operate in different sectors (GEO (Industrials) and G (Technology)), which means they face different economic cycles, regulatory environments, and macro sensitivities — making direct comparison nuanced.
G pays a dividend while GEO does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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