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GEO vs G vs EXLS vs CXW
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Information Technology Services
Information Technology Services
REIT - Specialty
GEO vs G vs EXLS vs CXW — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Security & Protection Services | Information Technology Services | Information Technology Services | REIT - Specialty |
| Market Cap | $2.82B | $5.85B | $4.90B | $2.16B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $2.73B | $5.16B | $2.16B | $2.34B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $273M | $570M | $252M | $129M |
| Gross Margin | 40.4% | 36.3% | 38.5% | 23.6% |
| Operating Margin | 10.5% | 14.9% | 15.2% | 14.7% |
| Forward P/E | 17.8x | 8.1x | 13.9x | 13.0x |
| Total Debt | $1.73B | $1.76B | $404M | $1.22B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $69M | $854M | $146M | $112M |
GEO vs G vs EXLS vs CXW — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| The GEO Group, Inc. (GEO) | 100 | 181.6 | +81.6% |
| Genpact Limited (G) | 100 | 90.6 | -9.4% |
| ExlService Holdings… (EXLS) | 100 | 254.1 | +154.1% |
| CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW) | 100 | 169.0 | +69.0% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: GEO vs G vs EXLS vs CXW
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
GEO lags the leaders in this set but could rank higher in a more targeted comparison.
G is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if income & stability and valuation efficiency is your priority.
- Dividend streak 8 yrs, beta 0.67, yield 1.9%
- PEG 0.55 vs GEO's 1.26
- Beta 0.67, yield 1.9%, current ratio 1.66x
- Lower P/E (8.1x vs 13.0x), PEG 0.55 vs 0.68
EXLS carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 13.6%, EPS growth 27.3%, 3Y rev CAGR 13.9%
- 221.4% 10Y total return vs GEO's 36.1%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.67, Low D/E 44.2%, current ratio 2.56x
- 13.6% revenue growth vs G's 6.6%
CXW is the clearest fit if your priority is stability and momentum.
- Beta 0.61 vs GEO's 1.01, lower leverage
- -3.5% vs EXLS's -31.9%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 13.6% revenue growth vs G's 6.6% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (8.1x vs 13.0x), PEG 0.55 vs 0.68 | |
| Quality / Margins | 11.7% margin vs CXW's 5.5% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.61 vs GEO's 1.01, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 1.9% yield; 8-year raise streak; the other 3 pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | -3.5% vs EXLS's -31.9% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 14.8% ROA vs CXW's 4.0%, ROIC 20.4% vs 10.7% |
GEO vs G vs EXLS vs CXW — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
GEO vs G vs EXLS vs CXW — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 4 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
EXLS leads in 2 of 6 categories
G leads 2 • GEO leads 1 • CXW leads 0 • 1 tied
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
EXLS leads this category, winning 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
G is the larger business by revenue, generating $5.2B annually — 2.4x EXLS's $2.2B. EXLS is the more profitable business, keeping 11.7% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to CXW's 5.5%. On growth, CXW holds the edge at +25.8% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $2.7B | $5.2B | $2.2B | $2.3B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $418M | $819M | $410M | $475M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $273M | $570M | $252M | $129M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$31M | $666M | $297M | $49M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +40.4% | +36.3% | +38.5% | +23.6% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +10.5% | +14.9% | +15.2% | +14.7% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +10.0% | +11.0% | +11.7% | +5.5% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -1.1% | +12.9% | +13.8% | +2.1% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +16.6% | +6.7% | +13.8% | +25.8% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +107.1% | +17.8% | +7.5% | +56.5% |
Valuation Metrics
G leads this category, winning 4 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 11.0x trailing earnings, G trades at a 46% valuation discount to EXLS's 20.4x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), G offers better value at 0.74x vs CXW's 1.06x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $2.8B | $5.9B | $4.9B | $2.2B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $4.5B | $6.8B | $5.2B | $3.3B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 11.66x | 11.02x | 20.35x | 20.19x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 17.81x | 8.09x | 13.91x | 13.05x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 0.83x | 0.74x | 0.84x | 1.06x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 11.52x | 7.91x | 13.84x | 6.83x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 1.07x | 1.15x | 2.35x | 0.98x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.97x | 2.39x | 5.58x | 1.67x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | 7.97x | 16.44x | 39.96x |
Profitability & Efficiency
EXLS leads this category, winning 8 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
EXLS delivers a 27.2% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $27 in annual profit, vs $9 for CXW. EXLS carries lower financial leverage with a 0.44x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to GEO's 1.15x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), EXLS scores 7/9 vs G's 5/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +18.5% | +22.4% | +27.2% | +9.0% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +7.2% | +10.3% | +14.8% | +4.0% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +6.2% | +17.2% | +20.4% | +10.7% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +7.6% | +18.4% | +23.2% | +12.6% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 7 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 1.15x | 0.69x | 0.44x | 0.87x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $1.7B | $911M | $257M | $1.1B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $69M | $854M | $146M | $112M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $1.7B | $1.8B | $404M | $1.2B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 3.12x | 16.55x | 11.80x | 3.53x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
GEO leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in GEO five years ago would be worth $36,962 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $7,921 for G. Over the past 12 months, CXW leads with a -3.5% total return vs EXLS's -31.9%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors GEO at 37.0% vs G's -2.5% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +33.2% | -24.5% | -24.0% | +14.7% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -22.3% | -29.0% | -31.9% | -3.5% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +157.2% | -7.4% | +4.3% | +135.0% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +269.6% | -20.8% | +60.0% | +167.9% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +36.1% | +42.5% | +221.4% | -13.4% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +37.0% | -2.5% | +1.4% | +33.0% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — EXLS and CXW each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
CXW is the less volatile stock with a 0.61 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than GEO's 1.01 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. CXW currently trades 92.7% from its 52-week high vs EXLS's 64.6% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.22x | 0.69x | 0.64x | 0.65x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $30.25 | $50.24 | $48.54 | $23.54 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $12.51 | $33.12 | $26.94 | $15.74 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +70.1% | +68.6% | +64.6% | +92.7% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 76.9 | 35.4 | 48.5 | 60.3 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 2.1M | 2.3M | 2.2M | 993K |
Analyst Outlook
G leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: GEO as "Buy", G as "Hold", EXLS as "Buy", CXW as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 28.4% upside for EXLS (target: $40) vs -28.9% for CXW (target: $16). G is the only dividend payer here at 1.93% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Hold | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $24.50 | $43.50 | $40.25 | $15.50 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 12 | 40 | 19 | 12 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +1.9% | — | +0.0% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $0.67 | — | $0.00 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +3.2% | +4.8% | +6.7% | +10.6% |
EXLS leads in 2 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). G leads in 2 (Valuation Metrics, Analyst Outlook). 1 tied.
GEO vs G vs EXLS vs CXW: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is GEO or G or EXLS or CXW a better buy right now?
For growth investors, ExlService Holdings, Inc.
(EXLS) is the stronger pick with 13. 6% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 6. 6% for Genpact Limited (G). Genpact Limited (G) offers the better valuation at 11. 0x trailing P/E (8. 1x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate The GEO Group, Inc. (GEO) a "Buy" — based on 12 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — GEO or G or EXLS or CXW?
On trailing P/E, Genpact Limited (G) is the cheapest at 11.
0x versus ExlService Holdings, Inc. at 20. 4x. On forward P/E, Genpact Limited is actually cheaper at 8. 1x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Genpact Limited wins at 0. 55x versus The GEO Group, Inc. 's 1. 26x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — GEO or G or EXLS or CXW?
Over the past 5 years, The GEO Group, Inc.
(GEO) delivered a total return of +269. 6%, compared to -20. 8% for Genpact Limited (G). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: EXLS returned +218. 8% versus CXW's -17. 8%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — GEO or G or EXLS or CXW?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), ExlService Holdings, Inc.
(EXLS) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 64β versus The GEO Group, Inc. 's 1. 22β — meaning GEO is approximately 89% more volatile than EXLS relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, ExlService Holdings, Inc. (EXLS) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 44% versus 115% for The GEO Group, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — GEO or G or EXLS or CXW?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), ExlService Holdings, Inc.
(EXLS) is pulling ahead at 13. 6% versus 6. 6% for Genpact Limited (G). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: The GEO Group, Inc. grew EPS 727. 3% year-over-year, compared to 9. 8% for Genpact Limited. Over a 3-year CAGR, EXLS leads at 13. 9% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — GEO or G or EXLS or CXW?
ExlService Holdings, Inc.
(EXLS) is the more profitable company, earning 12. 0% net margin versus 5. 3% for CoreCivic, Inc. — meaning it keeps 12. 0% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: CXW leads at 15. 8% versus 9. 8% for GEO. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — EXLS leads at 38. 4%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is GEO or G or EXLS or CXW more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Genpact Limited (G) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 55x versus The GEO Group, Inc. 's 1. 26x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, Genpact Limited (G) trades at 8. 1x forward P/E versus 17. 8x for The GEO Group, Inc. — 9. 7x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for EXLS: 28. 4% to $40. 25.
08Which pays a better dividend — GEO or G or EXLS or CXW?
In this comparison, G (1.
9% yield) pays a dividend. GEO, EXLS, CXW do not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is GEO or G or EXLS or CXW better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Genpact Limited (G) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
69), 1. 9% yield). Both have compounded well over 10 years (G: +35. 4%, GEO: +38. 6%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between GEO and G and EXLS and CXW?
These companies operate in different sectors (GEO (Industrials) and G (Technology) and EXLS (Technology) and CXW (Real Estate)), which means they face different economic cycles, regulatory environments, and macro sensitivities — making direct comparison nuanced.
In terms of investment character: GEO is a small-cap deep-value stock; G is a small-cap deep-value stock; EXLS is a small-cap quality compounder stock; CXW is a small-cap quality compounder stock. G pays a dividend while GEO, EXLS, CXW do not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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