GFR
Greenfire Resources Ltd.
Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
Market Cap$423M
5Y Perf.+18.2%
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Stock Comparison
GFR vs XOM
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
XOM
Exxon Mobil Corporation
Oil & Gas Integrated
Market Cap$629.60B
5Y Perf.+26.3%
GFR vs XOM — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | GFR | XOM |
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Oil & Gas Exploration & Production | Oil & Gas Integrated |
| Market Cap | $423M | $629.60B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $562M | $323.90B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $22M | $28.84B |
| Gross Margin | 31.9% | 21.7% |
| Operating Margin | 11.9% | 10.5% |
| Forward P/E | 17.2x | 15.0x |
| Total Debt | $6M | $43.54B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $42M | $10.68B |
GFR vs XOM — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
GFR
XOM
| Stock | Sep 23 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Greenfire Resources… (GFR) | 100 | 118.2 | +18.2% |
| Exxon Mobil Corpora… (XOM) | 100 | 126.3 | +26.3% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: GFR vs XOM
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
Bottom line: XOM leads in 6 of 7 categories, making it the strongest pick for growth and revenue expansion and valuation and capital efficiency. Greenfire Resources Ltd. is the stronger pick specifically for capital preservation and lower volatility. As sector peers, any of these can serve as alternatives in the same allocation.
GFR
Greenfire Resources Ltd.
The Defensive Pick
GFR is the clearest fit if your priority is sleep-well-at-night and defensive.
- Lower volatility, beta 0.05, Low D/E 0.5%, current ratio 1.56x
- Beta 0.05, current ratio 1.56x
- Lower D/E ratio (0.5% vs 16.3%)
Best for: sleep-well-at-night and defensive
XOM
Exxon Mobil Corporation
The Income Pick
XOM carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 26 yrs, beta -0.15, yield 2.7%
- Rev growth -4.5%, EPS growth -14.5%, 3Y rev CAGR -6.7%
- 107.4% 10Y total return vs GFR's -45.8%
Best for: income & stability and growth exposure
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | XOM | -4.5% revenue growth vs GFR's -27.4% |
| Value | XOM | Lower P/E (15.0x vs 17.2x) |
| Quality / Margins | XOM | 8.9% margin vs GFR's 4.0% |
| Stability / Safety | GFR | Lower D/E ratio (0.5% vs 16.3%) |
| Dividends | XOM | 2.7% yield; 26-year raise streak; the other pay no meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | XOM | +45.7% vs GFR's +29.4% |
| Efficiency (ROA) | XOM | 6.4% ROA vs GFR's 1.7%, ROIC 8.6% vs 3.9% |
GFR vs XOM — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Segment breakdown not available.
FY 2025
GFR vs XOM — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
BEST OVERALLXOMLAGGINGGFR
GFRGreenfire Resources L…
1leads
XOMExxon Mobil Corporati…
5leads
6 Total Categories
CATEGORYLEADERvs GFRMETRICS WON
Income & Cash FlowRevenue, margins, and cash flow strength
XOM4/6
Valuation MetricsMultiples, price ratios, and targets
GFR5/6
Profitability & EfficiencyROE, ROIC, leverage, and quality scores
XOM5/9
Total Returns1Y, 3Y, 5Y total returns with dividends
XOM6/6
Risk & VolatilityBeta, volatility, and downside exposure
XOM2/2
Analyst OutlookRatings, price targets, and dividends
XOM1/1
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
XOM leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
XOM is the larger business by revenue, generating $323.9B annually — 576.0x GFR's $562M. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from 8.9% (XOM) to 4.0% (GFR). On growth, XOM holds the edge at -1.3% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | GFRGreenfire Resourc… | XOMExxon Mobil Corpo… |
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $562M | $323.9B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $149M | $59.9B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $22M | $28.8B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $30M | $23.6B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +31.9% | +21.7% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +11.9% | +10.5% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +4.0% | +8.9% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +5.4% | +7.3% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -33.8% | -1.3% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -111.9% | -11.0% |
XOM leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
GFR leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 12.4x trailing earnings, GFR trades at a 44% valuation discount to XOM's 22.2x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, GFR's 9.3x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than XOM's 11.1x.
| Metric | GFRGreenfire Resourc… | XOMExxon Mobil Corpo… |
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $423M | $629.6B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $397M | $662.5B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 12.42x | 22.17x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 17.21x | 15.00x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 9.27x | 11.05x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 1.00x | 1.94x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.49x | 2.40x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 23.73x | 26.66x |
GFR leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
XOM leads this category, winning 5 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
XOM delivers a 10.7% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $11 in annual profit, vs $2 for GFR. GFR carries lower financial leverage with a 0.01x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to XOM's 0.16x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), GFR scores 5/9 vs XOM's 3/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | GFRGreenfire Resourc… | XOMExxon Mobil Corpo… |
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +2.3% | +10.7% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +1.7% | +6.4% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +3.9% | +8.6% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +5.5% | +8.9% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 5 | 3 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.01x | 0.16x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$36M | $32.9B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $42M | $10.7B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $6M | $43.5B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 1.63x | 69.44x |
XOM leads this category, winning 5 of 9 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
XOM leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in XOM five years ago would be worth $27,178 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $5,422 for GFR. Over the past 12 months, XOM leads with a +45.7% total return vs GFR's +29.4%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors XOM at 13.7% vs GFR's -18.5% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | GFRGreenfire Resourc… | XOMExxon Mobil Corpo… |
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +21.6% | +22.0% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +29.4% | +45.7% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -45.8% | +46.8% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -45.8% | +171.8% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -45.8% | +107.4% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -18.5% | +13.7% |
XOM leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
XOM leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
XOM is the less volatile stock with a -0.15 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than GFR's 0.05 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500.
| Metric | GFRGreenfire Resourc… | XOMExxon Mobil Corpo… |
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.05x | -0.15x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $7.06 | $176.41 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $3.81 | $101.19 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +82.9% | +84.2% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 60.2 | 53.2 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 237K | 18.8M |
XOM leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
XOM leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates GFR as "Buy" and XOM as "Hold". XOM is the only dividend payer here at 2.69% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | GFRGreenfire Resourc… | XOMExxon Mobil Corpo… |
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | — | $160.43 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 1 | 55 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +2.7% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 1 | 26 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $4.00 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +3.2% |
XOM leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Key Takeaway
XOM leads in 5 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). GFR leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics).
Best OverallExxon Mobil Corporation (XOM)Leads 5 of 6 categories
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GFR vs XOM: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is GFR or XOM a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) is the stronger pick with -4.
5% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -27. 4% for Greenfire Resources Ltd. (GFR). Greenfire Resources Ltd. (GFR) offers the better valuation at 12. 4x trailing P/E (17. 2x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Greenfire Resources Ltd. (GFR) a "Buy" — based on 1 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — GFR or XOM?
On trailing P/E, Greenfire Resources Ltd.
(GFR) is the cheapest at 12. 4x versus Exxon Mobil Corporation at 22. 2x. On forward P/E, Exxon Mobil Corporation is actually cheaper at 15. 0x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — GFR or XOM?
Over the past 5 years, Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) delivered a total return of +171.
8%, compared to -45. 8% for Greenfire Resources Ltd. (GFR). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: XOM returned +107. 4% versus GFR's -45. 8%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — GFR or XOM?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) is the lower-risk stock at -0.
15β versus Greenfire Resources Ltd. 's 0. 05β — meaning GFR is approximately -135% more volatile than XOM relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Greenfire Resources Ltd. (GFR) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 1% versus 16% for Exxon Mobil Corporation — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — GFR or XOM?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) is pulling ahead at -4.
5% versus -27. 4% for Greenfire Resources Ltd. (GFR). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Exxon Mobil Corporation grew EPS -14. 5% year-over-year, compared to -62. 4% for Greenfire Resources Ltd.. Over a 3-year CAGR, XOM leads at -6. 7% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — GFR or XOM?
Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) is the more profitable company, earning 8.
9% net margin versus 8. 1% for Greenfire Resources Ltd. — meaning it keeps 8. 9% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: XOM leads at 10. 5% versus 10. 1% for GFR. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — XOM leads at 21. 7%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is GFR or XOM more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) trades at 15.
0x forward P/E versus 17. 2x for Greenfire Resources Ltd. — 2. 2x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis.
08Which pays a better dividend — GFR or XOM?
In this comparison, XOM (2.
7% yield) pays a dividend. GFR does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is GFR or XOM better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β -0.
15), 2. 7% yield, +107. 4% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (XOM: +107. 4%, GFR: -45. 8%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between GFR and XOM?
Both stocks operate in the Energy sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: GFR is a small-cap deep-value stock; XOM is a large-cap quality compounder stock. XOM pays a dividend while GFR does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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Revenue Growth>
%
(GFR: -33.8% · XOM: -1.3%)Net Margin>
%
(GFR: 4.0% · XOM: 8.9%)P/E Ratio<
x
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