Biotechnology
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GUTS vs NVAX vs MRNA vs BNTX
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Biotechnology
Biotechnology
Biotechnology
GUTS vs NVAX vs MRNA vs BNTX — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Biotechnology | Biotechnology | Biotechnology | Biotechnology |
| Market Cap | $115M | $1.50B | $19.25B | $23.52B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $0.00 | $596M | $2.23B | $2.86B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-97M | $-88M | $-3.19B | $-1.13B |
| Gross Margin | — | 84.6% | -13.9% | 77.7% |
| Operating Margin | — | -11.2% | -153.3% | -45.9% |
| Forward P/E | — | 3.6x | — | — |
| Total Debt | $62M | $249M | $1.92B | $267M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $82M | $241M | $2.60B | $7.67B |
GUTS vs NVAX vs MRNA vs BNTX — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Feb 24 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fractyl Health, Inc… (GUTS) | 100 | 8.3 | -91.7% |
| Novavax, Inc. (NVAX) | 100 | 186.8 | +86.8% |
| Moderna, Inc. (MRNA) | 100 | 52.6 | -47.4% |
| BioNTech SE (BNTX) | 100 | 104.6 | +4.6% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: GUTS vs NVAX vs MRNA vs BNTX
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
GUTS lags the leaders in this set but could rank higher in a more targeted comparison.
NVAX carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure.
- Rev growth 64.7%, EPS growth 306.5%, 3Y rev CAGR -11.1%
- 64.7% revenue growth vs GUTS's -100.0%
- -14.7% margin vs MRNA's -143.6%
MRNA is the clearest fit if your priority is momentum.
- +101.7% vs GUTS's -50.5%
BNTX is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if income & stability and long-term compounding is your priority.
- Dividend streak 1 yrs, beta 1.14
- 5.7% 10Y total return vs MRNA's 161.0%
- Lower volatility, beta 1.14, Low D/E 1.4%, current ratio 7.54x
- Beta 1.14, current ratio 7.54x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 64.7% revenue growth vs GUTS's -100.0% | |
| Quality / Margins | -14.7% margin vs MRNA's -143.6% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.14 vs GUTS's 2.15, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | Tie | None of these 4 stocks pay a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | +101.7% vs GUTS's -50.5% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | -5.3% ROA vs GUTS's -102.2%, ROIC -4.3% vs -11.2% |
GUTS vs NVAX vs MRNA vs BNTX — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Segment breakdown not available.
GUTS vs NVAX vs MRNA vs BNTX — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 4 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
BNTX leads in 2 of 6 categories
NVAX leads 1 • GUTS leads 0 • MRNA leads 0 • 3 tied
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
NVAX leads this category, winning 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
BNTX and GUTS operate at a comparable scale, with $2.9B and $0 in trailing revenue. NVAX is the more profitable business, keeping -14.7% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to MRNA's -143.6%. On growth, MRNA holds the edge at +2.6% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $0 | $596M | $2.2B | $2.9B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$96M | -$47M | -$3.2B | -$931M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$97M | -$88M | -$3.2B | -$1.1B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$91M | -$96M | -$1.6B | $277M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | — | +84.6% | -13.9% | +77.7% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | — | -11.2% | -153.3% | -45.9% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | — | -14.7% | -143.6% | -39.6% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | — | -16.1% | -71.1% | +9.7% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -100.0% | -79.1% | +2.6% | -24.5% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +100.0% | -102.0% | -34.9% | -2.1% |
Valuation Metrics
BNTX leads this category, winning 2 of 3 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $115M | $1.5B | $19.3B | $23.5B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $95M | $1.5B | $18.6B | $14.8B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -0.40x | 3.63x | -6.69x | -17.55x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | — | — | — |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | 2.56x | — | — |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | — | 1.34x | 9.90x | 7.26x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 6.00x | — | 2.18x | 1.00x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | — | — | 74.19x |
Profitability & Efficiency
BNTX leads this category, winning 5 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
BNTX delivers a -6.0% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $-6 in annual profit, vs $-7 for GUTS. BNTX carries lower financial leverage with a 0.01x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to GUTS's 6.52x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), NVAX scores 5/9 vs MRNA's 3/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -7.4% | — | -36.7% | -6.0% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -102.2% | -7.4% | -26.6% | -5.3% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -11.2% | — | -26.1% | -4.3% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -101.2% | +100.4% | -27.6% | -3.1% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 6.52x | — | 0.22x | 0.01x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$20M | $8M | -$679M | -$7.4B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $82M | $241M | $2.6B | $7.7B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $62M | $249M | $1.9B | $267M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | — | -5.10x | -1803.00x | -62.15x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
Evenly matched — NVAX and MRNA and BNTX each lead in 2 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in BNTX five years ago would be worth $5,178 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $524 for NVAX. Over the past 12 months, MRNA leads with a +101.7% total return vs GUTS's -50.5%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors NVAX at 7.4% vs GUTS's -61.2% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -66.8% | +29.5% | +57.3% | -3.8% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -50.5% | +55.1% | +101.7% | +0.2% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -94.2% | +23.9% | -63.2% | -13.9% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -94.2% | -94.8% | -70.2% | -48.2% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -94.2% | -90.4% | +161.0% | +568.1% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -61.2% | +7.4% | -28.3% | -4.9% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — MRNA and BNTX each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
BNTX is the less volatile stock with a 1.14 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than GUTS's 2.15 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. MRNA currently trades 81.5% from its 52-week high vs GUTS's 24.7% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 2.15x | 2.11x | 1.82x | 1.14x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $3.03 | $11.97 | $59.55 | $124.00 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $0.38 | $5.80 | $22.28 | $79.52 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +24.7% | +77.1% | +81.5% | +75.0% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 69.0 | 64.4 | 47.0 | 43.3 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 1.9M | 4.4M | 6.9M | 1.2M |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — NVAX and BNTX each lead in 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: GUTS as "Buy", NVAX as "Buy", MRNA as "Hold", BNTX as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 568.4% upside for GUTS (target: $5) vs -25.8% for MRNA (target: $36).
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy | Hold | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $5.00 | $18.00 | $36.00 | $137.13 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 3 | 23 | 27 | 24 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +0.0% | +0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
BNTX leads in 2 of 6 categories (Valuation Metrics, Profitability & Efficiency). NVAX leads in 1 (Income & Cash Flow). 3 tied.
GUTS vs NVAX vs MRNA vs BNTX: Key Questions Answered
8 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is GUTS or NVAX or MRNA or BNTX a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Novavax, Inc.
(NVAX) is the stronger pick with 64. 7% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -100. 0% for Fractyl Health, Inc. Common Stock (GUTS). Novavax, Inc. (NVAX) offers the better valuation at 3. 6x trailing P/E, making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Fractyl Health, Inc. Common Stock (GUTS) a "Buy" — based on 3 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — GUTS or NVAX or MRNA or BNTX?
Over the past 5 years, BioNTech SE (BNTX) delivered a total return of -48.
2%, compared to -94. 8% for Novavax, Inc. (NVAX). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: BNTX returned +568. 1% versus GUTS's -94. 2%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — GUTS or NVAX or MRNA or BNTX?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), BioNTech SE (BNTX) is the lower-risk stock at 1.
14β versus Fractyl Health, Inc. Common Stock's 2. 15β — meaning GUTS is approximately 88% more volatile than BNTX relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, BioNTech SE (BNTX) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 1% versus 7% for Fractyl Health, Inc. Common Stock — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
04Which is growing faster — GUTS or NVAX or MRNA or BNTX?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Novavax, Inc.
(NVAX) is pulling ahead at 64. 7% versus -100. 0% for Fractyl Health, Inc. Common Stock (GUTS). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Novavax, Inc. grew EPS 306. 5% year-over-year, compared to -62. 8% for BioNTech SE. Over a 3-year CAGR, NVAX leads at -11. 1% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — GUTS or NVAX or MRNA or BNTX?
Novavax, Inc.
(NVAX) is the more profitable company, earning 39. 2% net margin versus -145. 2% for Moderna, Inc. — meaning it keeps 39. 2% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: NVAX leads at 50. 1% versus -158. 1% for MRNA. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — NVAX leads at 93. 7%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Which pays a better dividend — GUTS or NVAX or MRNA or BNTX?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
07Is GUTS or NVAX or MRNA or BNTX better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, BioNTech SE (BNTX) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 1.
14), +568. 1% 10Y return). Fractyl Health, Inc. Common Stock (GUTS) carries a higher beta of 2. 15 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (BNTX: +568. 1%, GUTS: -94. 2%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
08What are the main differences between GUTS and NVAX and MRNA and BNTX?
Both stocks operate in the Healthcare sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: GUTS is a small-cap quality compounder stock; NVAX is a small-cap high-growth stock; MRNA is a mid-cap quality compounder stock; BNTX is a mid-cap quality compounder stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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