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Stock Comparison

GUTS vs NVAX vs MRNA vs BNTX

Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.

Live fundamentals10-year financials5-year price chart
GUTS
Fractyl Health, Inc. Common Stock

Biotechnology

HealthcareNASDAQ • US
Market Cap$115M
5Y Perf.-91.7%
NVAX
Novavax, Inc.

Biotechnology

HealthcareNASDAQ • US
Market Cap$1.50B
5Y Perf.+86.8%
MRNA
Moderna, Inc.

Biotechnology

HealthcareNASDAQ • US
Market Cap$19.25B
5Y Perf.-47.4%
BNTX
BioNTech SE

Biotechnology

HealthcareNASDAQ • DE
Market Cap$23.52B
5Y Perf.+4.6%

GUTS vs NVAX vs MRNA vs BNTX — Key Financials

Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.

Company Snapshot
GUTS logoGUTS
NVAX logoNVAX
MRNA logoMRNA
BNTX logoBNTX
IndustryBiotechnologyBiotechnologyBiotechnologyBiotechnology
Market Cap$115M$1.50B$19.25B$23.52B
Revenue (TTM)$0.00$596M$2.23B$2.86B
Net Income (TTM)$-97M$-88M$-3.19B$-1.13B
Gross Margin84.6%-13.9%77.7%
Operating Margin-11.2%-153.3%-45.9%
Forward P/E3.6x
Total Debt$62M$249M$1.92B$267M
Cash & Equiv.$82M$241M$2.60B$7.67B

GUTS vs NVAX vs MRNA vs BNTXLong-Term Stock Performance

Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.

GUTS
NVAX
MRNA
BNTX
StockFeb 24May 26Return
Fractyl Health, Inc… (GUTS)1008.3-91.7%
Novavax, Inc. (NVAX)100186.8+86.8%
Moderna, Inc. (MRNA)10052.6-47.4%
BioNTech SE (BNTX)100104.6+4.6%

Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.

Quick Verdict: GUTS vs NVAX vs MRNA vs BNTX

Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.

Bottom line: NVAX and BNTX are tied at the top with 2 categories each — the right choice depends on your priorities. BioNTech SE is the stronger pick specifically for capital preservation and lower volatility and operational efficiency and capital deployment. MRNA also leads in specific categories worth noting. As sector peers, any of these can serve as alternatives in the same allocation.
GUTS
Fractyl Health, Inc. Common Stock
The Secondary Option

GUTS lags the leaders in this set but could rank higher in a more targeted comparison.

Best for: healthcare exposure
NVAX
Novavax, Inc.
The Growth Play

NVAX carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure.

  • Rev growth 64.7%, EPS growth 306.5%, 3Y rev CAGR -11.1%
  • 64.7% revenue growth vs GUTS's -100.0%
  • -14.7% margin vs MRNA's -143.6%
Best for: growth exposure
MRNA
Moderna, Inc.
The Momentum Pick

MRNA is the clearest fit if your priority is momentum.

  • +101.7% vs GUTS's -50.5%
Best for: momentum
BNTX
BioNTech SE
The Income Pick

BNTX is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if income & stability and long-term compounding is your priority.

  • Dividend streak 1 yrs, beta 1.14
  • 5.7% 10Y total return vs MRNA's 161.0%
  • Lower volatility, beta 1.14, Low D/E 1.4%, current ratio 7.54x
  • Beta 1.14, current ratio 7.54x
Best for: income & stability and long-term compounding
See the full category breakdown
CategoryWinnerWhy
GrowthNVAX logoNVAX64.7% revenue growth vs GUTS's -100.0%
Quality / MarginsNVAX logoNVAX-14.7% margin vs MRNA's -143.6%
Stability / SafetyBNTX logoBNTXBeta 1.14 vs GUTS's 2.15, lower leverage
DividendsTieNone of these 4 stocks pay a meaningful dividend
Momentum (1Y)MRNA logoMRNA+101.7% vs GUTS's -50.5%
Efficiency (ROA)BNTX logoBNTX-5.3% ROA vs GUTS's -102.2%, ROIC -4.3% vs -11.2%

GUTS vs NVAX vs MRNA vs BNTX — Revenue Breakdown by Segment

How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units

GUTSFractyl Health, Inc. Common Stock

Segment breakdown not available.

NVAXNovavax, Inc.
FY 2025
Product
50.0%$685M
Nuvaxovid Sales
45.6%$625M
Supply Sales
4.4%$60M
MRNAModerna, Inc.
FY 2025
Product Sales
100.0%$3.3B
BNTXBioNTech SE
FY 2025
Other Sales
100.0%$262M

GUTS vs NVAX vs MRNA vs BNTX — Financial Metrics

Side-by-side numbers across 4 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.

BEST OVERALLBNTXLAGGINGMRNA

Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)

NVAX leads this category, winning 3 of 6 comparable metrics.

BNTX and GUTS operate at a comparable scale, with $2.9B and $0 in trailing revenue. NVAX is the more profitable business, keeping -14.7% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to MRNA's -143.6%. On growth, MRNA holds the edge at +2.6% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.

MetricGUTS logoGUTSFractyl Health, I…NVAX logoNVAXNovavax, Inc.MRNA logoMRNAModerna, Inc.BNTX logoBNTXBioNTech SE
RevenueTrailing 12 months$0$596M$2.2B$2.9B
EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax-$96M-$47M-$3.2B-$931M
Net IncomeAfter-tax profit-$97M-$88M-$3.2B-$1.1B
Free Cash FlowCash after capex-$91M-$96M-$1.6B$277M
Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue+84.6%-13.9%+77.7%
Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue-11.2%-153.3%-45.9%
Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue-14.7%-143.6%-39.6%
FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue-16.1%-71.1%+9.7%
Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year-100.0%-79.1%+2.6%-24.5%
EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year+100.0%-102.0%-34.9%-2.1%
NVAX leads this category, winning 3 of 6 comparable metrics.

Valuation Metrics

BNTX leads this category, winning 2 of 3 comparable metrics.
MetricGUTS logoGUTSFractyl Health, I…NVAX logoNVAXNovavax, Inc.MRNA logoMRNAModerna, Inc.BNTX logoBNTXBioNTech SE
Market CapShares × price$115M$1.5B$19.3B$23.5B
Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash$95M$1.5B$18.6B$14.8B
Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS-0.40x3.63x-6.69x-17.55x
Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est.
PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate
EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple2.56x
Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue1.34x9.90x7.26x
Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share6.00x2.18x1.00x
Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF74.19x
BNTX leads this category, winning 2 of 3 comparable metrics.

Profitability & Efficiency

BNTX leads this category, winning 5 of 9 comparable metrics.

BNTX delivers a -6.0% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $-6 in annual profit, vs $-7 for GUTS. BNTX carries lower financial leverage with a 0.01x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to GUTS's 6.52x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), NVAX scores 5/9 vs MRNA's 3/9, reflecting solid financial health.

MetricGUTS logoGUTSFractyl Health, I…NVAX logoNVAXNovavax, Inc.MRNA logoMRNAModerna, Inc.BNTX logoBNTXBioNTech SE
ROE (TTM)Return on equity-7.4%-36.7%-6.0%
ROA (TTM)Return on assets-102.2%-7.4%-26.6%-5.3%
ROICReturn on invested capital-11.2%-26.1%-4.3%
ROCEReturn on capital employed-101.2%+100.4%-27.6%-3.1%
Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–93534
Debt / EquityFinancial leverage6.52x0.22x0.01x
Net DebtTotal debt minus cash-$20M$8M-$679M-$7.4B
Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets$82M$241M$2.6B$7.7B
Total DebtShort + long-term debt$62M$249M$1.9B$267M
Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense-5.10x-1803.00x-62.15x
BNTX leads this category, winning 5 of 9 comparable metrics.

Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)

Evenly matched — NVAX and MRNA and BNTX each lead in 2 of 6 comparable metrics.

A $10,000 investment in BNTX five years ago would be worth $5,178 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $524 for NVAX. Over the past 12 months, MRNA leads with a +101.7% total return vs GUTS's -50.5%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors NVAX at 7.4% vs GUTS's -61.2% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.

MetricGUTS logoGUTSFractyl Health, I…NVAX logoNVAXNovavax, Inc.MRNA logoMRNAModerna, Inc.BNTX logoBNTXBioNTech SE
YTD ReturnYear-to-date-66.8%+29.5%+57.3%-3.8%
1-Year ReturnPast 12 months-50.5%+55.1%+101.7%+0.2%
3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends-94.2%+23.9%-63.2%-13.9%
5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends-94.2%-94.8%-70.2%-48.2%
10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends-94.2%-90.4%+161.0%+568.1%
CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return-61.2%+7.4%-28.3%-4.9%
Evenly matched — NVAX and MRNA and BNTX each lead in 2 of 6 comparable metrics.

Risk & Volatility

Evenly matched — MRNA and BNTX each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.

BNTX is the less volatile stock with a 1.14 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than GUTS's 2.15 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. MRNA currently trades 81.5% from its 52-week high vs GUTS's 24.7% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.

MetricGUTS logoGUTSFractyl Health, I…NVAX logoNVAXNovavax, Inc.MRNA logoMRNAModerna, Inc.BNTX logoBNTXBioNTech SE
Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 5002.15x2.11x1.82x1.14x
52-Week HighHighest price in past year$3.03$11.97$59.55$124.00
52-Week LowLowest price in past year$0.38$5.80$22.28$79.52
% of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak+24.7%+77.1%+81.5%+75.0%
RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–10069.064.447.043.3
Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded1.9M4.4M6.9M1.2M
Evenly matched — MRNA and BNTX each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.

Analyst Outlook

Evenly matched — NVAX and BNTX each lead in 1 of 1 comparable metric.

Analyst consensus: GUTS as "Buy", NVAX as "Buy", MRNA as "Hold", BNTX as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 568.4% upside for GUTS (target: $5) vs -25.8% for MRNA (target: $36).

MetricGUTS logoGUTSFractyl Health, I…NVAX logoNVAXNovavax, Inc.MRNA logoMRNAModerna, Inc.BNTX logoBNTXBioNTech SE
Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sellBuyBuyHoldBuy
Price TargetConsensus 12-month target$5.00$18.00$36.00$137.13
# AnalystsCovering analysts3232724
Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price
Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises101
Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS
Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap+0.0%+0.3%0.0%0.0%
Evenly matched — NVAX and BNTX each lead in 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Key Takeaway

BNTX leads in 2 of 6 categories (Valuation Metrics, Profitability & Efficiency). NVAX leads in 1 (Income & Cash Flow). 3 tied.

Best OverallBioNTech SE (BNTX)Leads 2 of 6 categories
Loading custom metrics...

GUTS vs NVAX vs MRNA vs BNTX: Key Questions Answered

8 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily

01

Is GUTS or NVAX or MRNA or BNTX a better buy right now?

For growth investors, Novavax, Inc.

(NVAX) is the stronger pick with 64. 7% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -100. 0% for Fractyl Health, Inc. Common Stock (GUTS). Novavax, Inc. (NVAX) offers the better valuation at 3. 6x trailing P/E, making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Fractyl Health, Inc. Common Stock (GUTS) a "Buy" — based on 3 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.

02

Which is the better long-term investment — GUTS or NVAX or MRNA or BNTX?

Over the past 5 years, BioNTech SE (BNTX) delivered a total return of -48.

2%, compared to -94. 8% for Novavax, Inc. (NVAX). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: BNTX returned +568. 1% versus GUTS's -94. 2%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.

03

Which is safer — GUTS or NVAX or MRNA or BNTX?

By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), BioNTech SE (BNTX) is the lower-risk stock at 1.

14β versus Fractyl Health, Inc. Common Stock's 2. 15β — meaning GUTS is approximately 88% more volatile than BNTX relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, BioNTech SE (BNTX) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 1% versus 7% for Fractyl Health, Inc. Common Stock — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.

04

Which is growing faster — GUTS or NVAX or MRNA or BNTX?

By revenue growth (latest reported year), Novavax, Inc.

(NVAX) is pulling ahead at 64. 7% versus -100. 0% for Fractyl Health, Inc. Common Stock (GUTS). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Novavax, Inc. grew EPS 306. 5% year-over-year, compared to -62. 8% for BioNTech SE. Over a 3-year CAGR, NVAX leads at -11. 1% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.

05

Which has better profit margins — GUTS or NVAX or MRNA or BNTX?

Novavax, Inc.

(NVAX) is the more profitable company, earning 39. 2% net margin versus -145. 2% for Moderna, Inc. — meaning it keeps 39. 2% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: NVAX leads at 50. 1% versus -158. 1% for MRNA. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — NVAX leads at 93. 7%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.

06

Which pays a better dividend — GUTS or NVAX or MRNA or BNTX?

None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.

All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.

07

Is GUTS or NVAX or MRNA or BNTX better for a retirement portfolio?

For long-horizon retirement investors, BioNTech SE (BNTX) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 1.

14), +568. 1% 10Y return). Fractyl Health, Inc. Common Stock (GUTS) carries a higher beta of 2. 15 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (BNTX: +568. 1%, GUTS: -94. 2%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.

08

What are the main differences between GUTS and NVAX and MRNA and BNTX?

Both stocks operate in the Healthcare sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.

In terms of investment character: GUTS is a small-cap quality compounder stock; NVAX is a small-cap high-growth stock; MRNA is a mid-cap quality compounder stock; BNTX is a mid-cap quality compounder stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.

Find Stocks Like These

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GUTS

Quality Business

  • Sector: Healthcare
  • Market Cap > $100B
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NVAX

Quality Business

  • Sector: Healthcare
  • Market Cap > $100B
  • Gross Margin > 50%
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MRNA

High-Growth Disruptor

  • Sector: Healthcare
  • Market Cap > $100B
  • Revenue Growth > 131%
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BNTX

Quality Business

  • Sector: Healthcare
  • Market Cap > $100B
  • Gross Margin > 46%
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Beat Both

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Revenue Growth>
%
(GUTS: -100.0% · NVAX: -79.1%)

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