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NVAXNovavax, Inc.
$10.78$1.8B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
Live BreakoutsStock ScreenerOwnership
NVAX logo

Novavax, Inc.

NVAX
NASDAQ · Vaccines & Infectious Disease
$10.78
At close - Nov 6, 4:00 PM EST - USD
Market Cap$1.77B
P/E-23.2x
52W High$13.39
Volume6.28M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q2

COVID Revenue Collapse Strains Balance Sheet Liquidity

Novavax's revenue has collapsed 91.5% from its 2025Q1 peak of $666.7M to $56.7M in 2026Q2, reflecting the boom-bust nature of COVID vaccine demand.

GrowthDecelerating
ProfitabilityStrained
ValuationAttractive
TechnicalsHealthy
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

NVAX price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

8/12 Beats

EPS beat 8 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

-171% Peers

P/E is 171% below peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 82 · Leader

High momentum (Outperforming 82% of market)

04

Healthy Uptrend

Uptrend

Price > 50DMA > 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Feb 5

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 11/7/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
NVAX+51.19%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+7.63%
1-Year Return
NVAX+42.03%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+9.69%
3-Year Return
NVAX+56.46%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+85.02%
5-Year Return
NVAX-93.77%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+64.89%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y Low
-23.2x
Forward P/E
N/A
EV/EBITDA
N/A
FCF YieldCash Flow
N/A

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
-23.2x
2.6x
0th· Low
EV/EBITDA
N/A
2.0x
N/A
Price/FCF
N/A
40.1x
N/A
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$0.00N/A
Base (Fair)$12.62+17.1%
Bull$0.09-99.2%
$0.00 Bear$12.62 Base$0.09 Bull
Current Market Price: $10.78
Trades at a 14.6% discount to Base DCF ($12.62)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue FY25
$1.12B+64.7% YoY
Net income FY25
$440M+334.8% YoY
Free cash flow FY25
-$250M-149.4% YoY
Operating margin FY25
50.1%+86.6 pts YoY
ROIC (FY25)-
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (FY25)-
Piotroski Score5 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate8/12 (67%)
Revenue Beat Rate8/12 (67%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q4 2026Latest
Nov 5, 2026
-$0.19+45.1%
vs -$0.35
$68M+35.4%
vs $50M
Q3 2026
Aug 6, 2026
-$0.32+15.8%
vs -$0.38
$57M+8.0%
vs $53M
Q2 2026
May 6, 2026
-$0.06+76.0%
vs -$0.25
$140M+74.8%
vs $80M
Q1 2026
Feb 26, 2026
$0.11+116.7%
vs -$0.66
$147M+63.8%
vs $90M
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

4 Stories
Zacks Investment Research·1d ago
NVAX Stock Falls 8% Despite Q3 Earnings & Sales Beat, Costs Decline

Novavax shares fall 8% despite Q3 earnings and revenue beat as costs decline, while a Sanofi milestone drives a sharp increase in its 2026 outlook.

MarketBeat·1d ago
Novavax Q3 Earnings Call Highlights

Novavax NASDAQ: NVAX raised its 2026 revenue framework after partner Sanofi began a late-stage trial of a combination influenza and COVID-19 vaccine in Europe, triggering a $125 million milestone payment for the vaccine technology company.

Seeking Alpha·2d ago
Novavax, Inc. (NVAX) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Novavax, Inc. (NVAX) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Zacks Investment Research·2d ago
Novavax (NVAX) Reports Q3 Loss, Tops Revenue Estimates

Novavax (NVAX) came out with a quarterly loss of $0.19 per share versus the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of $0.37. This compares to a loss of $0.62 per share a year ago.

Filtered for Novavax, Inc.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark NVAX against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Novavax, Inc. (NVAX)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
NVAX logoNVAXNovavax, Inc.Current
$10.78$1.77B-23.1764.69%-18.64%——
MRNA logoMRNAModerna, Inc.
$254.19$100.86B-39.19-39.23%-110.46%-37.62%—
BNTX logoBNTXBioNTech SE
$87.51$21.98B-13.430.2%-61.28%-8.06%—
PFE logoPFEPfizer Inc.
$29.39$167.51B41.91-1.65%6.34%4.58%5.85%
SNY logoSNYSanofi
$47.04$112.95B24.245.49%8.19%5.81%5.23%
GSK logoGSKGSK plc
$50.33$100.84B17.694.11%12.96%23.31%3.23%

Compare NVAX vs Peers

Novavax, Inc. (NVAX) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs MRNA

Most directly comparable listed peer for NVAX.

Scale Benchmark

vs JNJ

Larger-name benchmark to compare NVAX against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs MRNA, BNTX, PFE, SNY

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

NVAX SEC Filings & Documents

Novavax, Inc. (NVAX) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Aug 6, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jun 23, 2026·SEC

Material company update

May 6, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

2
FY 2026

Feb 26, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Feb 27, 2025·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

Aug 6, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

May 6, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Nov 6, 2025·SEC

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NVAX Frequently Asked Questions

Novavax, Inc. (NVAX) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is Novavax, Inc.'s revenue?

Novavax, Inc. (NVAX) reported $411.6M in revenue over the trailing twelve months. Revenue was $1.12B in fiscal year 2025. That is 1123379% more than the $0.1M of fiscal year 1996.

How fast is Novavax, Inc. growing?

Novavax, Inc. (NVAX) revenue fell by 61.3% over the trailing twelve months, compared with the twelve months before.

Is NVAX profitable?

No. Novavax, Inc. (NVAX) reported a net loss of $76.7M over the trailing twelve months.

Dividend & Returns
What is Novavax, Inc.'s free cash flow?

Novavax, Inc. (NVAX) had negative free cash flow of $244.6M over the trailing twelve months.

What if you invested $1,000 in NVAX back in 1996?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 30+ years of data

See returns →