Biotechnology
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GUTS vs RNAC vs KYMR vs NVAX vs MRNA
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Biotechnology
Biotechnology
Biotechnology
Biotechnology
GUTS vs RNAC vs KYMR vs NVAX vs MRNA — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Biotechnology | Biotechnology | Biotechnology | Biotechnology | Biotechnology |
| Market Cap | $115M | $216M | $6.91B | $1.50B | $19.25B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $0.00 | $2M | $51M | $596M | $2.23B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-97M | $-152M | $-315M | $-88M | $-3.19B |
| Gross Margin | — | -6.3% | 33.2% | 84.6% | -13.9% |
| Operating Margin | — | -51.4% | -7.0% | -11.2% | -153.3% |
| Forward P/E | — | — | — | 3.6x | — |
| Total Debt | $62M | $13M | $82M | $249M | $1.92B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $82M | $125M | $357M | $241M | $2.60B |
GUTS vs RNAC vs KYMR vs NVAX vs MRNA — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Feb 24 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fractyl Health, Inc… (GUTS) | 100 | 8.4 | -91.6% |
| Cartesian Therapeut… (RNAC) | 100 | 39.4 | -60.6% |
| Kymera Therapeutics… (KYMR) | 100 | 201.6 | +101.6% |
| Novavax, Inc. (NVAX) | 100 | 204.7 | +104.7% |
| Moderna, Inc. (MRNA) | 100 | 58.9 | -41.1% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: GUTS vs RNAC vs KYMR vs NVAX vs MRNA
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
GUTS plays a supporting role in this comparison — it may shine differently against other peers.
RNAC lags the leaders in this set but could rank higher in a more targeted comparison.
KYMR is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if sleep-well-at-night and defensive is your priority.
- Lower volatility, beta 1.15, Low D/E 5.2%, current ratio 10.47x
- Beta 1.15, current ratio 10.47x
- Beta 1.15 vs GUTS's 2.15, lower leverage
- +190.7% vs GUTS's -50.5%
NVAX carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 1 yrs, beta 2.11
- Rev growth 64.7%, EPS growth 306.5%, 3Y rev CAGR -11.1%
- 64.7% revenue growth vs GUTS's -100.0%
- -14.7% margin vs RNAC's -85.5%
MRNA is the clearest fit if your priority is long-term compounding.
- 161.0% 10Y total return vs KYMR's 154.4%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 64.7% revenue growth vs GUTS's -100.0% | |
| Quality / Margins | -14.7% margin vs RNAC's -85.5% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.15 vs GUTS's 2.15, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | Tie | None of these 5 stocks pay a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | +190.7% vs GUTS's -50.5% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | -7.4% ROA vs GUTS's -102.2% |
GUTS vs RNAC vs KYMR vs NVAX vs MRNA — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Segment breakdown not available.
Segment breakdown not available.
GUTS vs RNAC vs KYMR vs NVAX vs MRNA — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 5 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
NVAX leads in 3 of 6 categories
KYMR leads 2 • GUTS leads 0 • RNAC leads 0 • MRNA leads 0 • 1 tied
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
NVAX leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
MRNA and GUTS operate at a comparable scale, with $2.2B and $0 in trailing revenue. NVAX is the more profitable business, keeping -14.7% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to RNAC's -85.5%. On growth, MRNA holds the edge at +2.6% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $0 | $2M | $51M | $596M | $2.2B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$96M | -$90M | -$352M | -$47M | -$3.2B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$97M | -$152M | -$315M | -$88M | -$3.2B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$91M | -$77M | -$244M | -$96M | -$1.6B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | — | -6.3% | +33.2% | +84.6% | -13.9% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | — | -51.4% | -7.0% | -11.2% | -153.3% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | — | -85.5% | -6.1% | -14.7% | -143.6% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | — | -43.6% | -4.7% | -16.1% | -71.1% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -100.0% | -92.9% | +55.5% | -79.1% | +2.6% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +100.0% | -114.7% | +13.4% | -102.0% | -34.9% |
Valuation Metrics
Evenly matched — KYMR and NVAX and MRNA each lead in 1 of 3 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $115M | $216M | $6.9B | $1.5B | $19.3B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $95M | $104M | $6.6B | $1.5B | $18.6B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -0.40x | -1.63x | -22.93x | 3.63x | -6.69x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | — | — | — | — |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — | — | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | — | — | 2.56x | — |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | — | 77.34x | 176.26x | 1.34x | 9.90x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 6.00x | — | 4.52x | — | 2.18x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | — | — | — | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
NVAX leads this category, winning 4 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
KYMR delivers a -25.0% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $-25 in annual profit, vs $-7 for GUTS. KYMR carries lower financial leverage with a 0.05x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to GUTS's 6.52x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), NVAX scores 5/9 vs RNAC's 1/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -7.4% | — | -25.0% | — | -36.7% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -102.2% | -45.1% | -22.3% | -7.4% | -26.6% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -11.2% | — | -24.9% | — | -26.1% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -101.2% | -25.0% | -27.2% | +100.4% | -27.6% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 6.52x | — | 0.05x | — | 0.22x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$20M | -$112M | -$275M | $8M | -$679M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $82M | $125M | $357M | $241M | $2.6B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $62M | $13M | $82M | $249M | $1.9B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | — | — | -2119.53x | -5.10x | -1803.00x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
KYMR leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in KYMR five years ago would be worth $19,212 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $524 for NVAX. Over the past 12 months, KYMR leads with a +190.7% total return vs GUTS's -50.5%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors KYMR at 45.0% vs GUTS's -61.2% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -66.8% | +20.7% | +16.3% | +29.5% | +57.3% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -50.5% | -19.6% | +190.7% | +55.1% | +101.7% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -94.2% | -77.1% | +205.1% | +23.9% | -63.2% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -94.2% | -91.3% | +92.1% | -94.8% | -70.2% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -94.2% | -98.1% | +154.4% | -90.4% | +161.0% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -61.2% | -38.9% | +45.0% | +7.4% | -28.3% |
Risk & Volatility
KYMR leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
KYMR is the less volatile stock with a 1.15 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than GUTS's 2.15 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. KYMR currently trades 82.2% from its 52-week high vs GUTS's 24.7% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.88x | 2.04x | 1.03x | 2.22x | 1.81x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $3.03 | $15.57 | $103.00 | $11.97 | $59.55 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $0.38 | $5.60 | $28.06 | $5.80 | $22.28 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +24.7% | +52.4% | +82.2% | +77.1% | +81.5% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 69.0 | 68.7 | 54.1 | 64.4 | 47.0 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 1.9M | 225K | 602K | 4.4M | 6.9M |
Analyst Outlook
NVAX leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: GUTS as "Buy", RNAC as "Buy", KYMR as "Buy", NVAX as "Buy", MRNA as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 568.4% upside for GUTS (target: $5) vs -19.7% for MRNA (target: $39).
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $5.00 | $16.00 | $118.06 | $18.00 | $39.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 3 | 10 | 26 | 23 | 27 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | — | — | 1 | 0 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — | — | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | +0.3% | 0.0% |
NVAX leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). KYMR leads in 2 (Total Returns, Risk & Volatility). 1 tied.
GUTS vs RNAC vs KYMR vs NVAX vs MRNA: Key Questions Answered
8 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is GUTS or RNAC or KYMR or NVAX or MRNA a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Novavax, Inc.
(NVAX) is the stronger pick with 64. 7% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -100. 0% for Fractyl Health, Inc. Common Stock (GUTS). Novavax, Inc. (NVAX) offers the better valuation at 3. 6x trailing P/E, making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Fractyl Health, Inc. Common Stock (GUTS) a "Buy" — based on 3 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — GUTS or RNAC or KYMR or NVAX or MRNA?
Over the past 5 years, Kymera Therapeutics, Inc.
(KYMR) delivered a total return of +92. 1%, compared to -94. 8% for Novavax, Inc. (NVAX). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: MRNA returned +192. 2% versus RNAC's -97. 9%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — GUTS or RNAC or KYMR or NVAX or MRNA?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Kymera Therapeutics, Inc.
(KYMR) is the lower-risk stock at 1. 03β versus Novavax, Inc. 's 2. 22β — meaning NVAX is approximately 116% more volatile than KYMR relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Kymera Therapeutics, Inc. (KYMR) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 5% versus 7% for Fractyl Health, Inc. Common Stock — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
04Which is growing faster — GUTS or RNAC or KYMR or NVAX or MRNA?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Novavax, Inc.
(NVAX) is pulling ahead at 64. 7% versus -100. 0% for Fractyl Health, Inc. Common Stock (GUTS). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Novavax, Inc. grew EPS 306. 5% year-over-year, compared to -52. 6% for Cartesian Therapeutics, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, KYMR leads at -5. 8% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — GUTS or RNAC or KYMR or NVAX or MRNA?
Novavax, Inc.
(NVAX) is the more profitable company, earning 39. 2% net margin versus -46. 6% for Cartesian Therapeutics, Inc. — meaning it keeps 39. 2% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: NVAX leads at 50. 1% versus -31. 0% for RNAC. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — RNAC leads at 100. 0%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Which pays a better dividend — GUTS or RNAC or KYMR or NVAX or MRNA?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
07Is GUTS or RNAC or KYMR or NVAX or MRNA better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Kymera Therapeutics, Inc.
(KYMR) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 1. 03), +158. 8% 10Y return). Cartesian Therapeutics, Inc. (RNAC) carries a higher beta of 2. 04 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (KYMR: +158. 8%, RNAC: -97. 9%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
08What are the main differences between GUTS and RNAC and KYMR and NVAX and MRNA?
Both stocks operate in the Healthcare sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: GUTS is a small-cap quality compounder stock; RNAC is a small-cap quality compounder stock; KYMR is a small-cap quality compounder stock; NVAX is a small-cap high-growth stock; MRNA is a mid-cap quality compounder stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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