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HCC vs XOM
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Oil & Gas Integrated
HCC vs XOM — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Coal | Oil & Gas Integrated |
| Market Cap | $4.62B | $629.60B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $1.47B | $323.90B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $138M | $28.84B |
| Gross Margin | 38.2% | 21.7% |
| Operating Margin | 9.7% | 10.5% |
| Forward P/E | 11.4x | 15.0x |
| Total Debt | $271M | $43.54B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $300M | $10.68B |
HCC vs XOM — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Warrior Met Coal, I… (HCC) | 100 | 621.7 | +521.7% |
| Exxon Mobil Corpora… (XOM) | 100 | 326.7 | +226.7% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: HCC vs XOM
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
HCC carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for long-term compounding and sleep-well-at-night.
- 12.0% 10Y total return vs XOM's 107.4%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.57, Low D/E 12.7%, current ratio 3.19x
- Beta 0.57, yield 0.4%, current ratio 3.19x
XOM is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 26 yrs, beta -0.15, yield 2.7%
- Rev growth -4.5%, EPS growth -14.5%, 3Y rev CAGR -6.7%
- -4.5% revenue growth vs HCC's -14.1%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | -4.5% revenue growth vs HCC's -14.1% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (11.4x vs 15.0x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 9.4% margin vs XOM's 8.9% | |
| Stability / Safety | Lower D/E ratio (12.7% vs 16.3%) | |
| Dividends | 2.7% yield, 26-year raise streak, vs HCC's 0.4% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +84.6% vs XOM's +45.7% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 6.4% ROA vs HCC's 5.0%, ROIC 8.6% vs 1.8% |
HCC vs XOM — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
HCC vs XOM — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
HCC leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
XOM is the larger business by revenue, generating $323.9B annually — 220.4x HCC's $1.5B. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from 9.4% (HCC) to 8.9% (XOM). On growth, HCC holds the edge at +53.8% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $1.5B | $323.9B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $289M | $59.9B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $138M | $28.8B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$135M | $23.6B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +38.2% | +21.7% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +9.7% | +10.5% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +9.4% | +8.9% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -9.2% | +7.3% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +53.8% | -1.3% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +9.6% | -11.0% |
Valuation Metrics
XOM leads this category, winning 3 of 5 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 22.2x trailing earnings, XOM trades at a 73% valuation discount to HCC's 81.1x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, XOM's 11.1x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than HCC's 19.5x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $4.6B | $629.6B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $4.6B | $662.5B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 81.06x | 22.17x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 11.37x | 15.00x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 19.47x | 11.05x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 3.53x | 1.94x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 2.15x | 2.40x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | 26.66x |
Profitability & Efficiency
XOM leads this category, winning 5 of 8 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
XOM delivers a 10.7% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $11 in annual profit, vs $6 for HCC. HCC carries lower financial leverage with a 0.13x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to XOM's 0.16x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +6.4% | +10.7% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +5.0% | +6.4% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +1.8% | +8.6% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +1.8% | +8.9% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 3 | 3 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.13x | 0.16x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$29M | $32.9B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $300M | $10.7B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $271M | $43.5B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 14.30x | 69.44x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
HCC leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in HCC five years ago would be worth $55,705 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $27,178 for XOM. Over the past 12 months, HCC leads with a +84.6% total return vs XOM's +45.7%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors HCC at 32.3% vs XOM's 13.7% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -2.1% | +22.0% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +84.6% | +45.7% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +131.6% | +46.8% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +457.0% | +171.8% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +1199.3% | +107.4% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +32.3% | +13.7% |
Risk & Volatility
XOM leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
XOM is the less volatile stock with a -0.15 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than HCC's 0.57 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.57x | -0.15x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $105.34 | $176.41 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $40.80 | $101.19 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +83.1% | +84.2% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 46.7 | 53.2 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 847K | 18.8M |
Analyst Outlook
XOM leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates HCC as "Hold" and XOM as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 28.5% upside for HCC (target: $113) vs 8.0% for XOM (target: $160). For income investors, XOM offers the higher dividend yield at 2.69% vs HCC's 0.39%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $112.50 | $160.43 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 24 | 55 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +0.4% | +2.7% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | 26 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $0.34 | $4.00 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +0.2% | +3.2% |
XOM leads in 4 of 6 categories (Valuation Metrics, Profitability & Efficiency). HCC leads in 2 (Income & Cash Flow, Total Returns).
HCC vs XOM: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is HCC or XOM a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) is the stronger pick with -4.
5% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -14. 1% for Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (HCC). Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) offers the better valuation at 22. 2x trailing P/E (15. 0x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (HCC) a "Hold" — based on 24 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — HCC or XOM?
On trailing P/E, Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) is the cheapest at 22.
2x versus Warrior Met Coal, Inc. at 81. 1x. On forward P/E, Warrior Met Coal, Inc. is actually cheaper at 11. 4x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — HCC or XOM?
Over the past 5 years, Warrior Met Coal, Inc.
(HCC) delivered a total return of +457. 0%, compared to +171. 8% for Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: HCC returned +1199% versus XOM's +107. 4%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — HCC or XOM?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) is the lower-risk stock at -0.
15β versus Warrior Met Coal, Inc. 's 0. 57β — meaning HCC is approximately -491% more volatile than XOM relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (HCC) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 13% versus 16% for Exxon Mobil Corporation — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — HCC or XOM?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) is pulling ahead at -4.
5% versus -14. 1% for Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (HCC). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Exxon Mobil Corporation grew EPS -14. 5% year-over-year, compared to -77. 5% for Warrior Met Coal, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, XOM leads at -6. 7% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — HCC or XOM?
Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) is the more profitable company, earning 8.
9% net margin versus 4. 4% for Warrior Met Coal, Inc. — meaning it keeps 8. 9% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: XOM leads at 10. 5% versus 3. 5% for HCC. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — XOM leads at 21. 7%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is HCC or XOM more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Warrior Met Coal, Inc.
(HCC) trades at 11. 4x forward P/E versus 15. 0x for Exxon Mobil Corporation — 3. 6x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for HCC: 28. 5% to $112. 50.
08Which pays a better dividend — HCC or XOM?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) offers the highest yield at 2. 7%, versus 0. 4% for Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (HCC).
09Is HCC or XOM better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β -0.
15), 2. 7% yield, +107. 4% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (XOM: +107. 4%, HCC: +1199%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between HCC and XOM?
Both stocks operate in the Energy sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
XOM pays a dividend while HCC does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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