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HLF vs WMT vs AMZN vs UPS vs SHOP
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Specialty Retail
Specialty Retail
Integrated Freight & Logistics
Software - Application
HLF vs WMT vs AMZN vs UPS vs SHOP — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Packaged Foods | Specialty Retail | Specialty Retail | Integrated Freight & Logistics | Software - Application |
| Market Cap | $1.50B | $1.04T | $2.92T | $85.05B | $145.00B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $5.13B | $703.06B | $742.78B | $88.33B | $12.37B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $240M | $22.91B | $90.80B | $5.25B | $1.33B |
| Gross Margin | 76.5% | 24.9% | 50.6% | 18.1% | 48.0% |
| Operating Margin | 6.4% | 4.1% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 13.3% |
| Forward P/E | 5.6x | 44.7x | 34.8x | 14.1x | 60.9x |
| Total Debt | $2.34B | $67.09B | $152.99B | $32.29B | $188M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $353M | $10.73B | $86.81B | $5.89B | $1.53B |
HLF vs WMT vs AMZN vs UPS vs SHOP — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Herbalife Nutrition… (HLF) | 100 | 33.1 | -66.9% |
| Walmart Inc. (WMT) | 100 | 314.9 | +214.9% |
| Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) | 100 | 222.1 | +122.1% |
| United Parcel Servi… (UPS) | 100 | 100.4 | +0.4% |
| Shopify Inc. (SHOP) | 100 | 147.5 | +47.5% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: HLF vs WMT vs AMZN vs UPS vs SHOP
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
HLF has the current edge in this matchup, primarily because of its strength in value and momentum.
- Lower P/E (5.6x vs 60.9x)
- +113.4% vs UPS's +13.5%
WMT ranks third and is worth considering specifically for sleep-well-at-night.
- Lower volatility, beta 0.12, Low D/E 67.2%, current ratio 0.79x
- Beta 0.12 vs SHOP's 2.64
AMZN is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if growth exposure is your priority.
- Rev growth 12.4%, EPS growth 29.7%, 3Y rev CAGR 11.7%
- 12.2% margin vs WMT's 3.3%
- 11.5% ROA vs UPS's 7.3%, ROIC 14.7% vs 16.1%
UPS is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and valuation efficiency.
- Dividend streak 16 yrs, beta 0.90, yield 6.3%
- PEG 0.42 vs WMT's 4.06
- Beta 0.90, yield 6.3%, current ratio 1.22x
- 6.3% yield, 16-year raise streak, vs WMT's 0.7%, (3 stocks pay no dividend)
SHOP is the clearest fit if your priority is long-term compounding.
- 41.2% 10Y total return vs AMZN's 7.0%
- 30.1% revenue growth vs UPS's -2.5%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 30.1% revenue growth vs UPS's -2.5% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (5.6x vs 60.9x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 12.2% margin vs WMT's 3.3% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.12 vs SHOP's 2.64 | |
| Dividends | 6.3% yield, 16-year raise streak, vs WMT's 0.7%, (3 stocks pay no dividend) | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +113.4% vs UPS's +13.5% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 11.5% ROA vs UPS's 7.3%, ROIC 14.7% vs 16.1% |
HLF vs WMT vs AMZN vs UPS vs SHOP — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
HLF vs WMT vs AMZN vs UPS vs SHOP — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 5 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
SHOP leads in 2 of 6 categories
HLF leads 1 • WMT leads 1 • AMZN leads 0 • UPS leads 0 • 2 tied
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
SHOP leads this category, winning 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
AMZN is the larger business by revenue, generating $742.8B annually — 144.7x HLF's $5.1B. AMZN is the more profitable business, keeping 12.2% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to WMT's 3.3%. On growth, SHOP holds the edge at +34.3% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $5.1B | $703.1B | $742.8B | $88.3B | $12.4B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $417M | $42.8B | $155.9B | $10.5B | $1.7B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $240M | $22.9B | $90.8B | $5.2B | $1.3B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $374M | $15.3B | -$2.5B | $4.5B | $2.1B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +76.5% | +24.9% | +50.6% | +18.1% | +48.0% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +6.4% | +4.1% | +11.5% | +8.6% | +13.3% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +4.7% | +3.3% | +12.2% | +5.9% | +10.8% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +7.3% | +2.2% | -0.3% | +5.1% | +17.2% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +7.8% | +5.8% | +16.6% | -1.6% | +34.3% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +16.3% | +35.1% | +74.8% | -27.1% | +15.1% |
Valuation Metrics
HLF leads this category, winning 5 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 6.6x trailing earnings, HLF trades at a 94% valuation discount to SHOP's 118.9x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), UPS offers better value at 0.45x vs WMT's 4.33x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $1.5B | $1.04T | $2.92T | $85.1B | $145.0B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $3.5B | $1.09T | $2.98T | $111.5B | $143.7B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 6.59x | 47.69x | 37.82x | 15.26x | 118.87x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 5.63x | 44.71x | 34.77x | 14.13x | 60.91x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 4.33x | 1.35x | 0.45x | 4.06x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 6.19x | 24.85x | 20.47x | 9.12x | 95.83x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.30x | 1.46x | 4.07x | 0.96x | 12.55x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | — | 10.45x | 7.14x | 5.23x | 10.82x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 5.92x | 24.97x | 378.98x | 17.85x | 72.25x |
Profitability & Efficiency
SHOP leads this category, winning 4 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
UPS delivers a 33.0% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $33 in annual profit, vs $11 for SHOP. SHOP carries lower financial leverage with a 0.01x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to UPS's 1.99x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), WMT scores 6/9 vs UPS's 5/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | — | +22.3% | +23.3% | +33.0% | +10.5% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +8.6% | +7.9% | +11.5% | +7.3% | +9.0% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +24.3% | +14.7% | +14.7% | +16.1% | +9.4% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +27.0% | +17.5% | +15.3% | +15.3% | +11.4% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | — | 0.67x | 0.37x | 1.99x | 0.01x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $2.0B | $56.4B | $66.2B | $26.4B | -$1.3B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $353M | $10.7B | $86.8B | $5.9B | $1.5B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $2.3B | $67.1B | $153.0B | $32.3B | $188M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 1.64x | 11.85x | 39.96x | 7.37x | — |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
WMT leads this category, winning 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in WMT five years ago would be worth $28,695 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $2,888 for HLF. Over the past 12 months, HLF leads with a +113.4% total return vs UPS's +13.5%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors WMT at 37.6% vs UPS's -11.8% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +13.0% | +15.7% | +19.7% | +0.7% | -28.9% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +113.4% | +32.7% | +43.7% | +13.5% | +18.2% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +3.1% | +160.5% | +156.2% | -31.4% | +73.6% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -71.1% | +186.9% | +64.8% | -40.0% | +0.8% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -53.6% | +499.5% | +697.8% | +44.7% | +4123.0% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +1.0% | +37.6% | +36.8% | -11.8% | +20.2% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — WMT and AMZN each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
WMT is the less volatile stock with a 0.12 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than SHOP's 2.64 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. AMZN currently trades 97.3% from its 52-week high vs SHOP's 61.3% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.79x | 0.12x | 1.51x | 0.90x | 2.64x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $20.40 | $134.69 | $278.56 | $122.41 | $182.19 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $6.59 | $91.89 | $185.01 | $82.00 | $88.14 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +71.0% | +96.7% | +97.3% | +81.8% | +61.3% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 53.5 | 55.9 | 81.1 | 44.0 | 34.7 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 1.2M | 17.2M | 45.5M | 5.8M | 8.7M |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — WMT and UPS each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: HLF as "Buy", WMT as "Buy", AMZN as "Buy", UPS as "Hold", SHOP as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 47.4% upside for SHOP (target: $165) vs 5.3% for WMT (target: $137). For income investors, UPS offers the higher dividend yield at 6.34% vs WMT's 0.72%.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy | Buy | Hold | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $16.00 | $137.04 | $306.77 | $115.23 | $164.75 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 26 | 64 | 94 | 45 | 63 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +0.7% | — | +6.3% | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | 37 | — | 16 | — |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $0.94 | — | $6.35 | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +0.5% | +0.8% | 0.0% | +1.2% | 0.0% |
SHOP leads in 2 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). HLF leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics). 2 tied.
HLF vs WMT vs AMZN vs UPS vs SHOP: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is HLF or WMT or AMZN or UPS or SHOP a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Shopify Inc.
(SHOP) is the stronger pick with 30. 1% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -2. 5% for United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS). Herbalife Nutrition Ltd. (HLF) offers the better valuation at 6. 6x trailing P/E (5. 6x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Herbalife Nutrition Ltd. (HLF) a "Buy" — based on 26 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — HLF or WMT or AMZN or UPS or SHOP?
On trailing P/E, Herbalife Nutrition Ltd.
(HLF) is the cheapest at 6. 6x versus Shopify Inc. at 118. 9x. On forward P/E, Herbalife Nutrition Ltd. is actually cheaper at 5. 6x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: United Parcel Service, Inc. wins at 0. 42x versus Walmart Inc. 's 4. 06x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — HLF or WMT or AMZN or UPS or SHOP?
Over the past 5 years, Walmart Inc.
(WMT) delivered a total return of +186. 9%, compared to -71. 1% for Herbalife Nutrition Ltd. (HLF). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: SHOP returned +41. 2% versus HLF's -53. 6%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — HLF or WMT or AMZN or UPS or SHOP?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Walmart Inc.
(WMT) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 12β versus Shopify Inc. 's 2. 64β — meaning SHOP is approximately 2157% more volatile than WMT relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Shopify Inc. (SHOP) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 1% versus 199% for United Parcel Service, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — HLF or WMT or AMZN or UPS or SHOP?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Shopify Inc.
(SHOP) is pulling ahead at 30. 1% versus -2. 5% for United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Amazon. com, Inc. grew EPS 29. 7% year-over-year, compared to -39. 4% for Shopify Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, SHOP leads at 27. 3% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — HLF or WMT or AMZN or UPS or SHOP?
Amazon.
com, Inc. (AMZN) is the more profitable company, earning 10. 8% net margin versus 3. 1% for Walmart Inc. — meaning it keeps 10. 8% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: SHOP leads at 12. 7% versus 4. 2% for WMT. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — HLF leads at 75. 6%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is HLF or WMT or AMZN or UPS or SHOP more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 42x versus Walmart Inc. 's 4. 06x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, Herbalife Nutrition Ltd. (HLF) trades at 5. 6x forward P/E versus 60. 9x for Shopify Inc. — 55. 3x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for SHOP: 47. 4% to $164. 75.
08Which pays a better dividend — HLF or WMT or AMZN or UPS or SHOP?
In this comparison, UPS (6.
3% yield), WMT (0. 7% yield) pay a dividend. HLF, AMZN, SHOP do not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is HLF or WMT or AMZN or UPS or SHOP better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Walmart Inc.
(WMT) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 12), 0. 7% yield, +499. 5% 10Y return). Shopify Inc. (SHOP) carries a higher beta of 2. 64 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (WMT: +499. 5%, SHOP: +41. 2%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between HLF and WMT and AMZN and UPS and SHOP?
These companies operate in different sectors (HLF (Consumer Defensive) and WMT (Consumer Defensive) and AMZN (Consumer Cyclical) and UPS (Industrials) and SHOP (Technology)), which means they face different economic cycles, regulatory environments, and macro sensitivities — making direct comparison nuanced.
In terms of investment character: HLF is a small-cap deep-value stock; WMT is a mega-cap quality compounder stock; AMZN is a mega-cap quality compounder stock; UPS is a mid-cap deep-value stock; SHOP is a mid-cap high-growth stock. WMT, UPS pay a dividend while HLF, AMZN, SHOP do not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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