Banks - Regional
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HTH vs IBCP vs FFIN vs MBWM
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Banks - Regional
Banks - Regional
Banks - Regional
HTH vs IBCP vs FFIN vs MBWM — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Banks - Regional | Banks - Regional | Banks - Regional | Banks - Regional |
| Market Cap | $2.27B | $699M | $4.61B | $898M |
| Revenue (TTM) | $1.63B | $315M | $739M | $372M |
| Net Income (TTM) | $162M | $69M | $243M | $89M |
| Gross Margin | 78.4% | 69.6% | 70.8% | 64.0% |
| Operating Margin | 13.6% | 25.8% | 36.8% | 27.5% |
| Forward P/E | 16.1x | 9.6x | 15.9x | 9.5x |
| Total Debt | $927M | $117M | $197M | $826M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $1.23B | $52M | $763M | $473M |
HTH vs IBCP vs FFIN vs MBWM — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hilltop Holdings In… (HTH) | 100 | 204.7 | +104.7% |
| Independent Bank Co… (IBCP) | 100 | 245.7 | +145.7% |
| First Financial Ban… (FFIN) | 100 | 105.7 | +5.7% |
| Mercantile Bank Cor… (MBWM) | 100 | 226.7 | +126.7% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: HTH vs IBCP vs FFIN vs MBWM
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
HTH is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if stability and momentum is your priority.
- Beta 0.72 vs FFIN's 0.95
- +30.0% vs FFIN's -3.2%
IBCP is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and long-term compounding.
- Dividend streak 11 yrs, beta 0.83, yield 3.0%
- 184.6% 10Y total return vs MBWM's 178.2%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.83, Low D/E 23.2%, current ratio 370.62x
- Beta 0.83, yield 3.0%, current ratio 370.62x
FFIN carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure.
- Rev growth 18.8%, EPS growth 12.2%
- 18.8% NII/revenue growth vs IBCP's -0.3%
- Efficiency ratio 0.3% vs HTH's 0.6% (lower = leaner)
- Efficiency ratio 0.3% vs HTH's 0.6%
MBWM is the clearest fit if your priority is valuation efficiency.
- PEG 0.63 vs FFIN's 3.05
- Lower P/E (9.5x vs 15.9x), PEG 0.63 vs 3.05
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 18.8% NII/revenue growth vs IBCP's -0.3% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (9.5x vs 15.9x), PEG 0.63 vs 3.05 | |
| Quality / Margins | Efficiency ratio 0.3% vs HTH's 0.6% (lower = leaner) | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.72 vs FFIN's 0.95 | |
| Dividends | 3.0% yield, 11-year raise streak, vs HTH's 1.9% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +30.0% vs FFIN's -3.2% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | Efficiency ratio 0.3% vs HTH's 0.6% |
HTH vs IBCP vs FFIN vs MBWM — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
HTH vs IBCP vs FFIN vs MBWM — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 4 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
FFIN leads in 2 of 6 categories
IBCP leads 2 • HTH leads 1 • MBWM leads 0 • 1 tied
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
FFIN leads this category, winning 3 of 5 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
HTH is the larger business by revenue, generating $1.6B annually — 5.2x IBCP's $315M. FFIN is the more profitable business, keeping 30.2% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to HTH's 10.2%.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $1.6B | $315M | $739M | $372M |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $172M | $89M | $310M | $107M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $162M | $69M | $243M | $89M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$140M | $70M | $290M | $11M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +78.4% | +69.6% | +70.8% | +64.0% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +13.6% | +25.8% | +36.8% | +27.5% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +10.2% | +21.7% | +30.2% | +23.9% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -5.9% | +22.2% | +39.6% | +3.0% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | — | — | — | — |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -1.5% | +2.3% | -7.7% | +14.8% |
Valuation Metrics
Evenly matched — HTH and MBWM each lead in 3 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 9.5x trailing earnings, MBWM trades at a 54% valuation discount to FFIN's 20.8x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), MBWM offers better value at 0.63x vs FFIN's 3.98x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $2.3B | $699M | $4.6B | $898M |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $2.0B | $764M | $4.0B | $1.3B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 14.49x | 10.38x | 20.76x | 9.53x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 16.07x | 9.56x | 15.92x | 9.54x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 1.97x | 3.98x | 0.63x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 8.91x | 9.39x | 14.17x | 11.75x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 1.40x | 2.22x | 6.23x | 2.42x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.09x | 1.41x | 2.89x | 1.17x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | 9.96x | 15.73x | 80.15x |
Profitability & Efficiency
FFIN leads this category, winning 6 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
IBCP delivers a 14.2% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $14 in annual profit, vs $7 for HTH. FFIN carries lower financial leverage with a 0.12x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to MBWM's 1.14x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), IBCP scores 8/9 vs MBWM's 4/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +7.4% | +14.2% | +13.3% | +13.5% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +1.0% | +1.3% | +1.6% | +1.4% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +5.0% | +10.2% | +11.0% | +5.5% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +3.2% | +2.6% | +16.0% | +8.0% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 4 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.42x | 0.23x | 0.12x | 1.14x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$305M | $65M | -$566M | $353M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $1.2B | $52M | $763M | $473M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $927M | $117M | $197M | $826M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 0.50x | 0.91x | 1.48x | 0.79x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
IBCP leads this category, winning 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in MBWM five years ago would be worth $17,837 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $7,178 for FFIN. Over the past 12 months, HTH leads with a +30.0% total return vs FFIN's -3.2%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors IBCP at 32.1% vs FFIN's 8.9% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +13.4% | +7.2% | +8.5% | +10.1% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +30.0% | +12.6% | -3.2% | +23.6% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +30.8% | +130.6% | +29.1% | +127.3% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +15.4% | +63.7% | -28.2% | +78.4% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +123.5% | +184.6% | +145.4% | +178.2% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +9.4% | +32.1% | +8.9% | +31.5% |
Risk & Volatility
HTH leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
HTH is the less volatile stock with a 0.72 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than FFIN's 0.95 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. HTH currently trades 94.7% from its 52-week high vs FFIN's 83.6% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.72x | 0.83x | 0.95x | 0.87x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $40.41 | $37.39 | $38.74 | $55.77 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $28.92 | $29.63 | $28.11 | $42.17 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +94.7% | +90.8% | +83.6% | +93.3% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 57.4 | 50.6 | 58.2 | 53.1 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 330K | 176K | 740K | 112K |
Analyst Outlook
IBCP leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: HTH as "Hold", IBCP as "Hold", FFIN as "Hold", MBWM as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 21.2% upside for FFIN (target: $39) vs -5.9% for HTH (target: $36). For income investors, IBCP offers the higher dividend yield at 3.05% vs HTH's 1.89%.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Hold | Hold | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $36.00 | $38.00 | $39.25 | $57.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 12 | 7 | 15 | 7 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +1.9% | +3.0% | +2.2% | +2.8% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 10 | 11 | 11 | 6 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $0.72 | $1.03 | $0.72 | $1.47 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +8.1% | +1.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
FFIN leads in 2 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). IBCP leads in 2 (Total Returns, Analyst Outlook). 1 tied.
HTH vs IBCP vs FFIN vs MBWM: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is HTH or IBCP or FFIN or MBWM a better buy right now?
For growth investors, First Financial Bankshares, Inc.
(FFIN) is the stronger pick with 18. 8% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -0. 3% for Independent Bank Corporation (IBCP). Mercantile Bank Corporation (MBWM) offers the better valuation at 9. 5x trailing P/E (9. 5x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Mercantile Bank Corporation (MBWM) a "Buy" — based on 7 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — HTH or IBCP or FFIN or MBWM?
On trailing P/E, Mercantile Bank Corporation (MBWM) is the cheapest at 9.
5x versus First Financial Bankshares, Inc. at 20. 8x. On forward P/E, Mercantile Bank Corporation is actually cheaper at 9. 5x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Mercantile Bank Corporation wins at 0. 63x versus First Financial Bankshares, Inc. 's 3. 05x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — HTH or IBCP or FFIN or MBWM?
Over the past 5 years, Mercantile Bank Corporation (MBWM) delivered a total return of +78.
4%, compared to -28. 2% for First Financial Bankshares, Inc. (FFIN). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: IBCP returned +184. 6% versus HTH's +123. 5%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — HTH or IBCP or FFIN or MBWM?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Hilltop Holdings Inc.
(HTH) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 72β versus First Financial Bankshares, Inc. 's 0. 95β — meaning FFIN is approximately 33% more volatile than HTH relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, First Financial Bankshares, Inc. (FFIN) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 12% versus 114% for Mercantile Bank Corporation — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — HTH or IBCP or FFIN or MBWM?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), First Financial Bankshares, Inc.
(FFIN) is pulling ahead at 18. 8% versus -0. 3% for Independent Bank Corporation (IBCP). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Hilltop Holdings Inc. grew EPS 51. 7% year-over-year, compared to 3. 5% for Independent Bank Corporation. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — HTH or IBCP or FFIN or MBWM?
First Financial Bankshares, Inc.
(FFIN) is the more profitable company, earning 30. 2% net margin versus 10. 2% for Hilltop Holdings Inc. — meaning it keeps 30. 2% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: FFIN leads at 36. 8% versus 13. 6% for HTH. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — HTH leads at 78. 4%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is HTH or IBCP or FFIN or MBWM more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Mercantile Bank Corporation (MBWM) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 63x versus First Financial Bankshares, Inc. 's 3. 05x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, Mercantile Bank Corporation (MBWM) trades at 9. 5x forward P/E versus 16. 1x for Hilltop Holdings Inc. — 6. 5x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for FFIN: 21. 2% to $39. 25.
08Which pays a better dividend — HTH or IBCP or FFIN or MBWM?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Independent Bank Corporation (IBCP) offers the highest yield at 3. 0%, versus 1. 9% for Hilltop Holdings Inc. (HTH).
09Is HTH or IBCP or FFIN or MBWM better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Hilltop Holdings Inc.
(HTH) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 72), 1. 9% yield, +123. 5% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (HTH: +123. 5%, FFIN: +145. 4%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between HTH and IBCP and FFIN and MBWM?
Both stocks operate in the Financial Services sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: HTH is a small-cap deep-value stock; IBCP is a small-cap deep-value stock; FFIN is a small-cap high-growth stock; MBWM is a small-cap deep-value stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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