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KAR vs AN vs PAG vs KMX
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Auto - Dealerships
Auto - Dealerships
Auto - Dealerships
KAR vs AN vs PAG vs KMX — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Auto - Dealerships | Auto - Dealerships | Auto - Dealerships | Auto - Dealerships |
| Market Cap | $2.91B | $7.05B | $11.29B | $5.71B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $1.93B | $27.49B | $32.07B | $27.38B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $178M | $679M | $926M | $458M |
| Gross Margin | 46.2% | 17.7% | 16.4% | 11.0% |
| Operating Margin | 10.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Forward P/E | 19.3x | 9.7x | 13.0x | 14.8x |
| Total Debt | $1.42B | $10.18B | $8.82B | $19.43B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $142M | $59M | $65M | $247M |
KAR vs AN vs PAG vs KMX — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | Mar 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| OPENLANE, Inc. (KAR) | 100 | 191.2 | +91.2% |
| AutoNation, Inc. (AN) | 100 | 494.3 | +394.3% |
| Penske Automotive G… (PAG) | 100 | 440.5 | +340.5% |
| CarMax, Inc. (KMX) | 100 | 49.0 | -51.0% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: KAR vs AN vs PAG vs KMX
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
KAR carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure.
- Rev growth 8.2%, EPS growth 264.4%, 3Y rev CAGR 8.2%
- 8.2% revenue growth vs PAG's -0.2%
- 9.2% margin vs KMX's 1.7%
- +43.1% vs KMX's -39.4%
AN is the clearest fit if your priority is valuation efficiency.
- PEG 0.31 vs PAG's 0.81
- Lower P/E (9.7x vs 14.8x)
PAG is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if income & stability and long-term compounding is your priority.
- Dividend streak 5 yrs, beta 0.66, yield 3.0%
- 427.6% 10Y total return vs AN's 324.6%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.66, current ratio 0.99x
- Beta 0.66, yield 3.0%, current ratio 0.99x
KMX lags the leaders in this set but could rank higher in a more targeted comparison.
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 8.2% revenue growth vs PAG's -0.2% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (9.7x vs 14.8x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 9.2% margin vs KMX's 1.7% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.66 vs KMX's 1.32, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 3.0% yield, 5-year raise streak, vs KAR's 1.3%, (2 stocks pay no dividend) | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +43.1% vs KMX's -39.4% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 5.2% ROA vs KMX's 1.8%, ROIC 6.9% vs 2.4% |
KAR vs AN vs PAG vs KMX — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
KAR vs AN vs PAG vs KMX — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 4 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
KAR leads in 2 of 6 categories
PAG leads 2 • AN leads 1 • KMX leads 0 • 1 tied
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
KAR leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
PAG is the larger business by revenue, generating $32.1B annually — 16.6x KAR's $1.9B. KAR is the more profitable business, keeping 9.2% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to KMX's 1.7%. On growth, PAG holds the edge at +3.4% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $1.9B | $27.5B | $32.1B | $27.4B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $288M | $1.5B | $1.4B | $791M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $178M | $679M | $926M | $458M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $337M | -$104M | $465M | $1.9B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +46.2% | +17.7% | +16.4% | +11.0% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +10.2% | +4.4% | +3.9% | +1.7% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +9.2% | +2.5% | +2.9% | +1.7% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +17.4% | -0.4% | +1.4% | +7.1% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +0.5% | -2.1% | +3.4% | -13.4% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +89.7% | +33.0% | -2.7% | -46.9% |
Valuation Metrics
AN leads this category, winning 4 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 12.0x trailing earnings, AN trades at a 28% valuation discount to KAR's 16.7x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), AN offers better value at 0.38x vs PAG's 0.76x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $2.9B | $7.0B | $11.3B | $5.7B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $4.2B | $17.2B | $20.0B | $24.9B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 16.73x | 12.05x | 12.15x | 12.43x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 19.31x | 9.70x | 12.97x | 14.81x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 0.38x | 0.76x | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 14.55x | 10.83x | 13.80x | 22.61x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 1.51x | 0.26x | 0.35x | 0.20x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.93x | 3.34x | 2.04x | 1.00x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 8.66x | — | 15.25x | 36.48x |
Profitability & Efficiency
KAR leads this category, winning 4 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
AN delivers a 28.4% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $28 in annual profit, vs $8 for KMX. KAR carries lower financial leverage with a 0.93x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to AN's 4.35x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), KAR scores 8/9 vs AN's 4/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +11.6% | +28.4% | +16.4% | +7.5% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +3.8% | +4.8% | +5.2% | +1.8% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +6.9% | +8.5% | +6.9% | +2.4% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +9.4% | +17.2% | +11.5% | +3.1% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 8 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.93x | 4.35x | 1.58x | 3.11x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $1.3B | $10.1B | $8.8B | $19.2B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $142M | $59M | $65M | $247M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $1.4B | $10.2B | $8.8B | $19.4B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 3.09x | 4.53x | 6.37x | 3.08x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
Evenly matched — KAR and PAG each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in PAG five years ago would be worth $20,467 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $3,070 for KMX. Over the past 12 months, KAR leads with a +43.1% total return vs KMX's -39.4%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors KAR at 22.2% vs KMX's -18.1% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -6.1% | -0.6% | +9.4% | +1.6% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +43.1% | +16.9% | +14.2% | -39.4% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +82.3% | +52.4% | +32.1% | -45.1% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +61.6% | +94.1% | +104.7% | -69.3% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +99.2% | +324.6% | +427.6% | -22.1% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +22.2% | +15.1% | +9.7% | -18.1% |
Risk & Volatility
PAG leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
PAG is the less volatile stock with a 0.66 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than KMX's 1.32 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. PAG currently trades 90.6% from its 52-week high vs KMX's 55.4% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.98x | 0.85x | 0.66x | 1.32x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $31.78 | $228.92 | $189.51 | $71.99 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $19.02 | $174.34 | $140.12 | $30.26 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +86.3% | +89.7% | +90.6% | +55.4% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 40.9 | 53.7 | 65.5 | 47.5 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 976K | 412K | 275K | 3.2M |
Analyst Outlook
PAG leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: KAR as "Buy", AN as "Buy", PAG as "Buy", KMX as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 20.8% upside for AN (target: $248) vs -5.3% for KMX (target: $38). For income investors, PAG offers the higher dividend yield at 3.02% vs KAR's 1.30%.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $32.00 | $248.00 | $190.00 | $37.78 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 18 | 34 | 26 | 35 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +1.3% | — | +3.0% | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $0.36 | — | $5.19 | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +1.6% | +11.2% | +1.4% | +7.5% |
KAR leads in 2 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). PAG leads in 2 (Risk & Volatility, Analyst Outlook). 1 tied.
KAR vs AN vs PAG vs KMX: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is KAR or AN or PAG or KMX a better buy right now?
For growth investors, OPENLANE, Inc.
(KAR) is the stronger pick with 8. 2% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -0. 2% for Penske Automotive Group, Inc. (PAG). AutoNation, Inc. (AN) offers the better valuation at 12. 0x trailing P/E (9. 7x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate OPENLANE, Inc. (KAR) a "Buy" — based on 18 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — KAR or AN or PAG or KMX?
On trailing P/E, AutoNation, Inc.
(AN) is the cheapest at 12. 0x versus OPENLANE, Inc. at 16. 7x. On forward P/E, AutoNation, Inc. is actually cheaper at 9. 7x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: AutoNation, Inc. wins at 0. 31x versus Penske Automotive Group, Inc. 's 0. 81x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — KAR or AN or PAG or KMX?
Over the past 5 years, Penske Automotive Group, Inc.
(PAG) delivered a total return of +104. 7%, compared to -69. 3% for CarMax, Inc. (KMX). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: PAG returned +427. 6% versus KMX's -22. 1%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — KAR or AN or PAG or KMX?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Penske Automotive Group, Inc.
(PAG) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 66β versus CarMax, Inc. 's 1. 32β — meaning KMX is approximately 99% more volatile than PAG relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, OPENLANE, Inc. (KAR) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 93% versus 4% for AutoNation, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — KAR or AN or PAG or KMX?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), OPENLANE, Inc.
(KAR) is pulling ahead at 8. 2% versus -0. 2% for Penske Automotive Group, Inc. (PAG). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: OPENLANE, Inc. grew EPS 264. 4% year-over-year, compared to -2. 5% for Penske Automotive Group, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, KAR leads at 8. 2% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — KAR or AN or PAG or KMX?
OPENLANE, Inc.
(KAR) is the more profitable company, earning 9. 2% net margin versus 1. 8% for CarMax, Inc. — meaning it keeps 9. 2% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: KAR leads at 10. 2% versus 2. 8% for KMX. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — KAR leads at 46. 2%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is KAR or AN or PAG or KMX more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, AutoNation, Inc. (AN) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 31x versus Penske Automotive Group, Inc. 's 0. 81x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, AutoNation, Inc. (AN) trades at 9. 7x forward P/E versus 19. 3x for OPENLANE, Inc. — 9. 6x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for AN: 20. 8% to $248. 00.
08Which pays a better dividend — KAR or AN or PAG or KMX?
In this comparison, PAG (3.
0% yield), KAR (1. 3% yield) pay a dividend. AN, KMX do not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is KAR or AN or PAG or KMX better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Penske Automotive Group, Inc.
(PAG) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 66), 3. 0% yield, +427. 6% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (PAG: +427. 6%, KMX: -22. 1%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between KAR and AN and PAG and KMX?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Cyclical sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
KAR, PAG pay a dividend while AN, KMX do not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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