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KAR vs AN vs PAG vs KMX vs CVNA
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Auto - Dealerships
Auto - Dealerships
Auto - Dealerships
Auto - Dealerships
KAR vs AN vs PAG vs KMX vs CVNA — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Auto - Dealerships | Auto - Dealerships | Auto - Dealerships | Auto - Dealerships | Auto - Dealerships |
| Market Cap | $2.91B | $7.05B | $11.29B | $5.71B | $86.77B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $1.93B | $27.49B | $32.07B | $27.38B | $22.52B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $178M | $679M | $926M | $458M | $1.60B |
| Gross Margin | 46.2% | 17.7% | 16.4% | 11.0% | 20.0% |
| Operating Margin | 10.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 9.2% |
| Forward P/E | 19.3x | 9.7x | 13.0x | 14.8x | 51.4x |
| Total Debt | $1.42B | $10.18B | $8.82B | $19.43B | $633M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $142M | $59M | $65M | $247M | $2.33B |
KAR vs AN vs PAG vs KMX vs CVNA — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | Mar 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| OPENLANE, Inc. (KAR) | 100 | 191.2 | +91.2% |
| AutoNation, Inc. (AN) | 100 | 494.3 | +394.3% |
| Penske Automotive G… (PAG) | 100 | 440.5 | +340.5% |
| CarMax, Inc. (KMX) | 100 | 49.0 | -51.0% |
| Carvana Co. (CVNA) | 100 | 359.4 | +259.4% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: KAR vs AN vs PAG vs KMX vs CVNA
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
KAR ranks third and is worth considering specifically for quality.
- 9.2% margin vs KMX's 1.7%
AN is the clearest fit if your priority is valuation efficiency.
- PEG 0.31 vs PAG's 0.81
- Lower P/E (9.7x vs 51.4x)
PAG is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if income & stability and long-term compounding is your priority.
- Dividend streak 5 yrs, beta 0.66, yield 3.0%
- 427.6% 10Y total return vs CVNA's 35.1%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.66, current ratio 0.99x
- Beta 0.66, yield 3.0%, current ratio 0.99x
Among these 5 stocks, KMX doesn't own a clear edge in any measured category.
CVNA carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure.
- Rev growth 48.6%, EPS growth 431.4%, 3Y rev CAGR 14.3%
- 48.6% revenue growth vs PAG's -0.2%
- +54.4% vs KMX's -39.4%
- 13.8% ROA vs KMX's 1.8%, ROIC 34.3% vs 2.4%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 48.6% revenue growth vs PAG's -0.2% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (9.7x vs 51.4x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 9.2% margin vs KMX's 1.7% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.66 vs CVNA's 2.14 | |
| Dividends | 3.0% yield, 5-year raise streak, vs KAR's 1.3%, (3 stocks pay no dividend) | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +54.4% vs KMX's -39.4% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 13.8% ROA vs KMX's 1.8%, ROIC 34.3% vs 2.4% |
KAR vs AN vs PAG vs KMX vs CVNA — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
KAR vs AN vs PAG vs KMX vs CVNA — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 5 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
CVNA leads in 2 of 6 categories
PAG leads 2 • KAR leads 1 • AN leads 1 • KMX leads 0
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
KAR leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
PAG is the larger business by revenue, generating $32.1B annually — 16.6x KAR's $1.9B. KAR is the more profitable business, keeping 9.2% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to KMX's 1.7%. On growth, CVNA holds the edge at +52.0% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $1.9B | $27.5B | $32.1B | $27.4B | $22.5B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $288M | $1.5B | $1.4B | $791M | $2.3B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $178M | $679M | $926M | $458M | $1.6B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $337M | -$104M | $465M | $1.9B | $740M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +46.2% | +17.7% | +16.4% | +11.0% | +20.0% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +10.2% | +4.4% | +3.9% | +1.7% | +9.2% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +9.2% | +2.5% | +2.9% | +1.7% | +7.1% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +17.4% | -0.4% | +1.4% | +7.1% | +3.3% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +0.5% | -2.1% | +3.4% | -13.4% | +52.0% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +89.7% | +33.0% | -2.7% | -46.9% | +11.9% |
Valuation Metrics
AN leads this category, winning 4 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 12.0x trailing earnings, AN trades at a 75% valuation discount to CVNA's 47.4x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), AN offers better value at 0.38x vs PAG's 0.76x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $2.9B | $7.0B | $11.3B | $5.7B | $86.8B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $4.2B | $17.2B | $20.0B | $24.9B | $85.1B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 16.73x | 12.05x | 12.15x | 12.43x | 47.36x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 19.31x | 9.70x | 12.97x | 14.81x | 51.40x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 0.38x | 0.76x | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 14.55x | 10.83x | 13.80x | 22.61x | 39.46x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 1.51x | 0.26x | 0.35x | 0.20x | 4.27x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.93x | 3.34x | 2.04x | 1.00x | 21.36x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 8.66x | — | 15.25x | 36.48x | 97.60x |
Profitability & Efficiency
CVNA leads this category, winning 7 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
CVNA delivers a 45.9% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $46 in annual profit, vs $8 for KMX. CVNA carries lower financial leverage with a 0.15x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to AN's 4.35x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), KAR scores 8/9 vs AN's 4/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +11.6% | +28.4% | +16.4% | +7.5% | +45.9% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +3.8% | +4.8% | +5.2% | +1.8% | +13.8% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +6.9% | +8.5% | +6.9% | +2.4% | +34.3% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +9.4% | +17.2% | +11.5% | +3.1% | +20.0% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 6 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.93x | 4.35x | 1.58x | 3.11x | 0.15x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $1.3B | $10.1B | $8.8B | $19.2B | -$1.7B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $142M | $59M | $65M | $247M | $2.3B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $1.4B | $10.2B | $8.8B | $19.4B | $633M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 3.09x | 4.53x | 6.37x | 3.08x | -0.68x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
CVNA leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in PAG five years ago would be worth $20,467 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $3,070 for KMX. Over the past 12 months, CVNA leads with a +54.4% total return vs KMX's -39.4%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors CVNA at 2.3% vs KMX's -18.1% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -6.1% | -0.6% | +9.4% | +1.6% | -0.0% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +43.1% | +16.9% | +14.2% | -39.4% | +54.4% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +82.3% | +52.4% | +32.1% | -45.1% | +3441.8% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +61.6% | +94.1% | +104.7% | -69.3% | +61.5% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +99.2% | +324.6% | +427.6% | -22.1% | +3505.6% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +22.2% | +15.1% | +9.7% | -18.1% | +2.3% |
Risk & Volatility
PAG leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
PAG is the less volatile stock with a 0.66 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than CVNA's 2.14 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. PAG currently trades 90.6% from its 52-week high vs KMX's 55.4% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.98x | 0.85x | 0.66x | 1.32x | 2.14x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $31.78 | $228.92 | $189.51 | $71.99 | $486.89 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $19.02 | $174.34 | $140.12 | $30.26 | $255.79 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +86.3% | +89.7% | +90.6% | +55.4% | +82.2% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 40.9 | 53.7 | 65.5 | 47.5 | 57.4 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 976K | 412K | 275K | 3.2M | 2.7M |
Analyst Outlook
PAG leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: KAR as "Buy", AN as "Buy", PAG as "Buy", KMX as "Hold", CVNA as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 20.9% upside for CVNA (target: $484) vs -5.3% for KMX (target: $38). For income investors, PAG offers the higher dividend yield at 3.02% vs KAR's 1.30%.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy | Buy | Hold | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $32.00 | $248.00 | $190.00 | $37.78 | $484.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 18 | 34 | 26 | 35 | 44 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +1.3% | — | +3.0% | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $0.36 | — | $5.19 | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +1.6% | +11.2% | +1.4% | +7.5% | 0.0% |
CVNA leads in 2 of 6 categories (Profitability & Efficiency, Total Returns). PAG leads in 2 (Risk & Volatility, Analyst Outlook).
KAR vs AN vs PAG vs KMX vs CVNA: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is KAR or AN or PAG or KMX or CVNA a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Carvana Co.
(CVNA) is the stronger pick with 48. 6% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -0. 2% for Penske Automotive Group, Inc. (PAG). AutoNation, Inc. (AN) offers the better valuation at 12. 0x trailing P/E (9. 7x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate OPENLANE, Inc. (KAR) a "Buy" — based on 18 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — KAR or AN or PAG or KMX or CVNA?
On trailing P/E, AutoNation, Inc.
(AN) is the cheapest at 12. 0x versus Carvana Co. at 47. 4x. On forward P/E, AutoNation, Inc. is actually cheaper at 9. 7x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: AutoNation, Inc. wins at 0. 31x versus Penske Automotive Group, Inc. 's 0. 81x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — KAR or AN or PAG or KMX or CVNA?
Over the past 5 years, Penske Automotive Group, Inc.
(PAG) delivered a total return of +104. 7%, compared to -69. 3% for CarMax, Inc. (KMX). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: CVNA returned +35. 1% versus KMX's -22. 1%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — KAR or AN or PAG or KMX or CVNA?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Penske Automotive Group, Inc.
(PAG) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 66β versus Carvana Co. 's 2. 14β — meaning CVNA is approximately 222% more volatile than PAG relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Carvana Co. (CVNA) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 15% versus 4% for AutoNation, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — KAR or AN or PAG or KMX or CVNA?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Carvana Co.
(CVNA) is pulling ahead at 48. 6% versus -0. 2% for Penske Automotive Group, Inc. (PAG). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Carvana Co. grew EPS 431. 4% year-over-year, compared to -2. 5% for Penske Automotive Group, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, CVNA leads at 14. 3% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — KAR or AN or PAG or KMX or CVNA?
OPENLANE, Inc.
(KAR) is the more profitable company, earning 9. 2% net margin versus 1. 8% for CarMax, Inc. — meaning it keeps 9. 2% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: KAR leads at 10. 2% versus 2. 8% for KMX. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — KAR leads at 46. 2%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is KAR or AN or PAG or KMX or CVNA more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, AutoNation, Inc. (AN) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 31x versus Penske Automotive Group, Inc. 's 0. 81x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, AutoNation, Inc. (AN) trades at 9. 7x forward P/E versus 51. 4x for Carvana Co. — 41. 7x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for CVNA: 20. 9% to $484. 00.
08Which pays a better dividend — KAR or AN or PAG or KMX or CVNA?
In this comparison, PAG (3.
0% yield), KAR (1. 3% yield) pay a dividend. AN, KMX, CVNA do not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is KAR or AN or PAG or KMX or CVNA better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Penske Automotive Group, Inc.
(PAG) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 66), 3. 0% yield, +427. 6% 10Y return). Carvana Co. (CVNA) carries a higher beta of 2. 14 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (PAG: +427. 6%, CVNA: +35. 1%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between KAR and AN and PAG and KMX and CVNA?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Cyclical sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: KAR is a small-cap deep-value stock; AN is a small-cap deep-value stock; PAG is a mid-cap deep-value stock; KMX is a small-cap deep-value stock; CVNA is a mid-cap high-growth stock. KAR, PAG pay a dividend while AN, KMX, CVNA do not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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