Insurance - Property & Casualty
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KMPB vs PGR
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Insurance - Property & Casualty
KMPB vs PGR — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Insurance - Property & Casualty | Insurance - Property & Casualty |
| Market Cap | $1.39B | $114.73B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $4.71B | $85.18B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $39M | $10.71B |
| Gross Margin | 8.1% | 26.3% |
| Operating Margin | 0.7% | 15.9% |
| Forward P/E | 6.3x | 12.0x |
| Total Debt | $1.00B | $6.89B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $126M | $143M |
KMPB vs PGR — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Mar 22 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kemper Corporation … (KMPB) | 100 | 95.5 | -4.5% |
| The Progressive Cor… (PGR) | 100 | 171.7 | +71.7% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: KMPB vs PGR
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
KMPB is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and defensive.
- Dividend streak 1 yrs, beta 0.20, yield 5.4%
- Beta 0.20, yield 5.4%
- Lower P/E (6.3x vs 12.0x)
PGR carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 21.4%, EPS growth 118.8%, 3Y rev CAGR 16.5%
- 5.9% 10Y total return vs KMPB's 23.5%
- Lower volatility, beta -0.07, Low D/E 26.9%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 21.4% revenue growth vs KMPB's 3.6% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (6.3x vs 12.0x) | |
| Quality / Margins | Combined ratio 0.9 vs KMPB's 1.0 (lower = better underwriting) | |
| Stability / Safety | Lower D/E ratio (26.9% vs 37.6%) | |
| Dividends | 5.4% yield, 1-year raise streak, vs PGR's 0.6% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +12.8% vs PGR's -26.8% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 8.8% ROA vs KMPB's 0.4%, ROIC 27.0% vs 3.1% |
KMPB vs PGR — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
KMPB vs PGR — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
PGR leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
PGR is the larger business by revenue, generating $85.2B annually — 18.1x KMPB's $4.7B. PGR is the more profitable business, keeping 12.6% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to KMPB's 0.8%. On growth, PGR holds the edge at +14.2% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $4.7B | $85.2B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $21M | $13.8B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $39M | $10.7B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $382M | $17.0B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +8.1% | +26.3% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +0.7% | +15.9% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +0.8% | +12.6% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +8.1% | +20.0% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -7.0% | +14.2% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -104.9% | +12.1% |
Valuation Metrics
KMPB leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 10.4x trailing earnings, KMPB trades at a 24% valuation discount to PGR's 13.6x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, KMPB's 9.7x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than PGR's 11.0x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $1.4B | $114.7B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $2.3B | $121.5B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 10.36x | 13.59x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 6.26x | 12.00x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 0.83x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 9.67x | 11.05x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.29x | 1.52x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.56x | 4.50x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 2.51x | 7.73x |
Profitability & Efficiency
PGR leads this category, winning 6 of 8 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
PGR delivers a 30.2% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $30 in annual profit, vs $1 for KMPB. PGR carries lower financial leverage with a 0.27x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to KMPB's 0.38x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +1.4% | +30.2% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +0.4% | +8.8% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +3.1% | +27.0% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +1.3% | +11.0% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 7 | 7 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.38x | 0.27x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $879M | $6.8B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $126M | $143M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $1.0B | $6.9B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 0.59x | 49.44x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
PGR leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in PGR five years ago would be worth $20,726 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $12,345 for KMPB. Over the past 12 months, KMPB leads with a +12.8% total return vs PGR's -26.8%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors PGR at 17.2% vs KMPB's 16.1% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +2.7% | -1.3% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +12.8% | -26.8% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +56.6% | +60.9% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +23.5% | +107.3% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +23.5% | +593.7% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +16.1% | +17.2% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — KMPB and PGR each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
PGR is the less volatile stock with a -0.07 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than KMPB's 0.20 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. KMPB currently trades 98.1% from its 52-week high vs PGR's 67.5% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.20x | -0.07x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $24.18 | $289.96 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $21.72 | $192.02 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +98.1% | +67.5% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 60.4 | 42.3 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 24K | 2.6M |
Analyst Outlook
KMPB leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
For income investors, KMPB offers the higher dividend yield at 5.36% vs PGR's 0.59%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | — | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | — | $230.27 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | — | 41 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +5.4% | +0.6% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 1 | 1 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $1.27 | $1.15 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +21.7% | +0.6% |
PGR leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). KMPB leads in 2 (Valuation Metrics, Analyst Outlook). 1 tied.
KMPB vs PGR: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is KMPB or PGR a better buy right now?
For growth investors, The Progressive Corporation (PGR) is the stronger pick with 21.
4% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 3. 6% for Kemper Corporation 5. 875% Fixed (KMPB). Kemper Corporation 5. 875% Fixed (KMPB) offers the better valuation at 10. 4x trailing P/E (6. 3x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate The Progressive Corporation (PGR) a "Hold" — based on 41 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — KMPB or PGR?
On trailing P/E, Kemper Corporation 5.
875% Fixed (KMPB) is the cheapest at 10. 4x versus The Progressive Corporation at 13. 6x. On forward P/E, Kemper Corporation 5. 875% Fixed is actually cheaper at 6. 3x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — KMPB or PGR?
Over the past 5 years, The Progressive Corporation (PGR) delivered a total return of +107.
3%, compared to +23. 5% for Kemper Corporation 5. 875% Fixed (KMPB). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: PGR returned +593. 7% versus KMPB's +23. 5%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — KMPB or PGR?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), The Progressive Corporation (PGR) is the lower-risk stock at -0.
07β versus Kemper Corporation 5. 875% Fixed's 0. 20β — meaning KMPB is approximately -388% more volatile than PGR relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, The Progressive Corporation (PGR) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 27% versus 38% for Kemper Corporation 5. 875% Fixed — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — KMPB or PGR?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), The Progressive Corporation (PGR) is pulling ahead at 21.
4% versus 3. 6% for Kemper Corporation 5. 875% Fixed (KMPB). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: The Progressive Corporation grew EPS 118. 8% year-over-year, compared to -53. 4% for Kemper Corporation 5. 875% Fixed. Over a 3-year CAGR, PGR leads at 16. 5% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — KMPB or PGR?
The Progressive Corporation (PGR) is the more profitable company, earning 11.
3% net margin versus 3. 0% for Kemper Corporation 5. 875% Fixed — meaning it keeps 11. 3% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: PGR leads at 14. 2% versus 3. 3% for KMPB. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — KMPB leads at 29. 7%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is KMPB or PGR more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Kemper Corporation 5.
875% Fixed (KMPB) trades at 6. 3x forward P/E versus 12. 0x for The Progressive Corporation — 5. 7x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis.
08Which pays a better dividend — KMPB or PGR?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Kemper Corporation 5. 875% Fixed (KMPB) offers the highest yield at 5. 4%, versus 0. 6% for The Progressive Corporation (PGR).
09Is KMPB or PGR better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, The Progressive Corporation (PGR) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β -0.
07), 0. 6% yield, +593. 7% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (PGR: +593. 7%, KMPB: +23. 5%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between KMPB and PGR?
Both stocks operate in the Financial Services sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: KMPB is a small-cap deep-value stock; PGR is a mid-cap high-growth stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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