Insurance - Property & Casualty
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KMPR vs HCI
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Insurance - Property & Casualty
KMPR vs HCI — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Insurance - Property & Casualty | Insurance - Property & Casualty |
| Market Cap | $1.92B | $2.00B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $4.71B | $902M |
| Net Income (TTM) | $39M | $299M |
| Gross Margin | 8.1% | 63.3% |
| Operating Margin | 0.9% | 47.6% |
| Forward P/E | 7.8x | 9.2x |
| Total Debt | $1.00B | $67M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $126M | $1.21B |
KMPR vs HCI — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kemper Corporation (KMPR) | 100 | 46.3 | -53.7% |
| HCI Group, Inc. (HCI) | 100 | 340.8 | +240.8% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: KMPR vs HCI
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
KMPR is the clearest fit if your priority is value and dividends.
- Lower P/E (7.8x vs 9.2x)
- 3.9% yield, 1-year raise streak, vs HCI's 1.0%
HCI carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 2 yrs, beta 0.39, yield 1.0%
- Rev growth 20.2%, EPS growth 179.8%, 3Y rev CAGR 22.3%
- 451.6% 10Y total return vs KMPR's 40.3%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 20.2% revenue growth vs KMPR's 3.6% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (7.8x vs 9.2x) | |
| Quality / Margins | Combined ratio 0.5 vs KMPR's 1.0 (lower = better underwriting) | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.39 vs KMPR's 0.58, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 3.9% yield, 1-year raise streak, vs HCI's 1.0% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +5.8% vs KMPR's -44.8% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 12.5% ROA vs KMPR's 0.4%, ROIC 6.8% vs 3.1% |
KMPR vs HCI — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
KMPR vs HCI — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
HCI leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
KMPR is the larger business by revenue, generating $4.7B annually — 5.2x HCI's $902M. HCI is the more profitable business, keeping 33.2% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to KMPR's 0.8%. On growth, HCI holds the edge at +52.5% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $4.7B | $902M |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $28M | $441M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $39M | $299M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $382M | $442M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +8.1% | +63.3% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +0.9% | +47.6% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +0.8% | +33.2% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +8.1% | +49.0% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -7.0% | +52.5% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -101.9% | +40.9% |
Valuation Metrics
KMPR leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 6.2x trailing earnings, HCI trades at a 57% valuation discount to KMPR's 14.3x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, HCI's 2.0x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than KMPR's 11.9x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $1.9B | $2.0B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $2.8B | $860M |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 14.30x | 6.20x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 7.82x | 9.19x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 0.13x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 11.92x | 1.95x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.40x | 2.22x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.77x | 1.78x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 3.47x | 4.51x |
Profitability & Efficiency
HCI leads this category, winning 9 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
HCI delivers a 36.2% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $36 in annual profit, vs $1 for KMPR. HCI carries lower financial leverage with a 0.06x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to KMPR's 0.38x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), HCI scores 8/9 vs KMPR's 7/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +1.4% | +36.2% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +0.4% | +12.5% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +3.1% | +6.8% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +1.3% | +18.1% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 7 | 8 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.38x | 0.06x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $879M | -$1.2B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $126M | $1.2B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $1.0B | $67M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 0.81x | 47.89x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
HCI leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in HCI five years ago would be worth $21,052 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $4,907 for KMPR. Over the past 12 months, HCI leads with a +5.8% total return vs KMPR's -44.8%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors HCI at 46.1% vs KMPR's -7.9% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -16.4% | -16.0% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -44.8% | +5.8% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -21.9% | +212.1% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -50.9% | +110.5% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +40.3% | +451.6% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -7.9% | +46.1% |
Risk & Volatility
HCI leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
HCI is the less volatile stock with a 0.39 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than KMPR's 0.58 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. HCI currently trades 73.2% from its 52-week high vs KMPR's 49.5% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.58x | 0.39x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $66.13 | $210.50 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $28.57 | $136.37 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +49.5% | +73.2% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 52.2 | 49.7 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 799K | 166K |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — KMPR and HCI each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates KMPR as "Buy" and HCI as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 46.6% upside for KMPR (target: $48) vs -17.9% for HCI (target: $127). For income investors, KMPR offers the higher dividend yield at 3.88% vs HCI's 0.97%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $48.00 | $126.50 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 12 | 14 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +3.9% | +1.0% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 1 | 2 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $1.27 | $1.50 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +15.7% | +0.1% |
HCI leads in 4 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). KMPR leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics). 1 tied.
KMPR vs HCI: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is KMPR or HCI a better buy right now?
For growth investors, HCI Group, Inc.
(HCI) is the stronger pick with 20. 2% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 3. 6% for Kemper Corporation (KMPR). HCI Group, Inc. (HCI) offers the better valuation at 6. 2x trailing P/E (9. 2x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Kemper Corporation (KMPR) a "Buy" — based on 12 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — KMPR or HCI?
On trailing P/E, HCI Group, Inc.
(HCI) is the cheapest at 6. 2x versus Kemper Corporation at 14. 3x. On forward P/E, Kemper Corporation is actually cheaper at 7. 8x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — KMPR or HCI?
Over the past 5 years, HCI Group, Inc.
(HCI) delivered a total return of +110. 5%, compared to -50. 9% for Kemper Corporation (KMPR). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: HCI returned +436. 8% versus KMPR's +31. 6%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — KMPR or HCI?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), HCI Group, Inc.
(HCI) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 39β versus Kemper Corporation's 0. 58β — meaning KMPR is approximately 49% more volatile than HCI relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, HCI Group, Inc. (HCI) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 6% versus 38% for Kemper Corporation — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — KMPR or HCI?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), HCI Group, Inc.
(HCI) is pulling ahead at 20. 2% versus 3. 6% for Kemper Corporation (KMPR). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: HCI Group, Inc. grew EPS 179. 8% year-over-year, compared to -53. 4% for Kemper Corporation. Over a 3-year CAGR, HCI leads at 22. 3% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — KMPR or HCI?
HCI Group, Inc.
(HCI) is the more profitable company, earning 33. 2% net margin versus 3. 0% for Kemper Corporation — meaning it keeps 33. 2% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: HCI leads at 47. 7% versus 3. 3% for KMPR. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — HCI leads at 73. 2%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is KMPR or HCI more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Kemper Corporation (KMPR) trades at 7.
8x forward P/E versus 9. 2x for HCI Group, Inc. — 1. 4x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for KMPR: 46. 6% to $48. 00.
08Which pays a better dividend — KMPR or HCI?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Kemper Corporation (KMPR) offers the highest yield at 3. 9%, versus 1. 0% for HCI Group, Inc. (HCI).
09Is KMPR or HCI better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, HCI Group, Inc.
(HCI) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 39), 1. 0% yield, +436. 8% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (HCI: +436. 8%, KMPR: +31. 6%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between KMPR and HCI?
Both stocks operate in the Financial Services sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: KMPR is a small-cap deep-value stock; HCI is a small-cap high-growth stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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