REIT - Mortgage
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KREF vs BXMT
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
REIT - Mortgage
KREF vs BXMT — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | REIT - Mortgage | REIT - Mortgage |
| Market Cap | $422M | $3.25B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $442M | $1.54B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-104M | $104M |
| Gross Margin | 87.1% | 62.6% |
| Operating Margin | 48.0% | 58.3% |
| Forward P/E | — | 12.1x |
| Total Debt | $4.69B | $16.16B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $85M | $453M |
KREF vs BXMT — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| KKR Real Estate Fin… (KREF) | 100 | 40.6 | -59.4% |
| Blackstone Mortgage… (BXMT) | 100 | 81.8 | -18.2% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: KREF vs BXMT
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
KREF is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and sleep-well-at-night.
- Dividend streak 0 yrs, beta 0.87, yield 15.2%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.87, current ratio 0.32x
- Beta 0.87, yield 15.2%, current ratio 0.32x
BXMT carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth -14.0%, EPS growth 154.7%, 3Y rev CAGR 4.9%
- 52.6% 10Y total return vs KREF's -9.2%
- -14.0% FFO/revenue growth vs KREF's -22.7%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | -14.0% FFO/revenue growth vs KREF's -22.7% | |
| Value | Better valuation composite | |
| Quality / Margins | 6.7% margin vs KREF's -23.6% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.74 vs KREF's 0.87 | |
| Dividends | 15.2% yield, vs BXMT's 9.8% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +13.3% vs KREF's -16.7% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 0.5% ROA vs KREF's -1.6%, ROIC 4.3% vs 3.4% |
KREF vs BXMT — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
BXMT leads this category, winning 4 of 5 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
BXMT is the larger business by revenue, generating $1.5B annually — 3.5x KREF's $442M. BXMT is the more profitable business, keeping 6.7% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to KREF's -23.6%. On growth, BXMT holds the edge at +4.0% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $442M | $1.5B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $140M | $948M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$104M | $104M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $65M | $335M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +87.1% | +62.6% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +48.0% | +58.3% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -23.6% | +6.7% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +14.8% | +21.8% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -13.8% | +4.0% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -5.4% | — |
Valuation Metrics
KREF leads this category, winning 4 of 5 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
On an enterprise value basis, BXMT's 16.4x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than KREF's 18.3x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $422M | $3.3B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $5.0B | $19.0B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -6.26x | 30.14x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | 12.07x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 18.35x | 16.37x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.92x | 2.14x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.36x | 0.94x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 6.33x | 11.79x |
Profitability & Efficiency
BXMT leads this category, winning 6 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
BXMT delivers a 2.9% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $3 in annual profit, vs $-8 for KREF. KREF carries lower financial leverage with a 3.83x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to BXMT's 4.61x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), BXMT scores 6/9 vs KREF's 4/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -8.4% | +2.9% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -1.6% | +0.5% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +3.4% | +4.3% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +4.5% | +11.3% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 4 | 6 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 3.83x | 4.61x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $4.6B | $15.7B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $85M | $453M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $4.7B | $16.2B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 0.84x | 1.11x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
BXMT leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in BXMT five years ago would be worth $9,733 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $6,401 for KREF. Over the past 12 months, BXMT leads with a +13.3% total return vs KREF's -16.7%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors BXMT at 14.2% vs KREF's -0.3% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -17.6% | +1.4% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -16.7% | +13.3% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -0.8% | +49.0% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -36.0% | -2.7% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -9.2% | +52.6% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -0.3% | +14.2% |
Risk & Volatility
BXMT leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
BXMT is the less volatile stock with a 0.74 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than KREF's 0.87 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. BXMT currently trades 93.3% from its 52-week high vs KREF's 65.8% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.87x | 0.74x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $9.98 | $20.67 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $5.29 | $17.67 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +65.8% | +93.3% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 53.1 | 44.3 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 1.6M | 1.4M |
Analyst Outlook
KREF leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates KREF as "Buy" and BXMT as "Hold". For income investors, KREF offers the higher dividend yield at 15.23% vs BXMT's 9.79%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $7.00 | — |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 12 | 18 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +15.2% | +9.8% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | 0 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $1.00 | $1.89 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +10.3% | +3.4% |
BXMT leads in 4 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). KREF leads in 2 (Valuation Metrics, Analyst Outlook).
KREF vs BXMT: Frequently Asked Questions
8 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is KREF or BXMT a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc.
(BXMT) is the stronger pick with -14. 0% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -22. 7% for KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. (KREF). Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc. (BXMT) offers the better valuation at 30. 1x trailing P/E (12. 1x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. (KREF) a "Buy" — based on 12 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — KREF or BXMT?
Over the past 5 years, Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc.
(BXMT) delivered a total return of -2. 7%, compared to -36. 0% for KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. (KREF). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: BXMT returned +52. 6% versus KREF's -9. 2%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — KREF or BXMT?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc.
(BXMT) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 74β versus KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. 's 0. 87β — meaning KREF is approximately 18% more volatile than BXMT relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. (KREF) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 4% versus 5% for Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
04Which is growing faster — KREF or BXMT?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc.
(BXMT) is pulling ahead at -14. 0% versus -22. 7% for KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. (KREF). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc. grew EPS 154. 7% year-over-year, compared to -652. 6% for KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, BXMT leads at 4. 9% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — KREF or BXMT?
Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc.
(BXMT) is the more profitable company, earning 7. 2% net margin versus -10. 3% for KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. — meaning it keeps 7. 2% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: BXMT leads at 71. 6% versus 59. 3% for KREF. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — KREF leads at 88. 3%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Which pays a better dividend — KREF or BXMT?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. (KREF) offers the highest yield at 15. 2%, versus 9. 8% for Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc. (BXMT).
07Is KREF or BXMT better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc.
(BXMT) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 74), 9. 8% yield). Both have compounded well over 10 years (BXMT: +52. 6%, KREF: -9. 2%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
08What are the main differences between KREF and BXMT?
Both stocks operate in the Real Estate sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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