Packaged Foods
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LW vs NOMD vs CAG vs HRL
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Packaged Foods
Packaged Foods
Packaged Foods
LW vs NOMD vs CAG vs HRL — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Packaged Foods | Packaged Foods | Packaged Foods | Packaged Foods |
| Market Cap | $5.83B | $1.34B | $6.76B | $11.24B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $6.53B | $3.00B | $11.18B | $12.14B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $450M | $133M | $13M | $489M |
| Gross Margin | 22.2% | 26.6% | 24.6% | 15.5% |
| Operating Margin | 11.9% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 6.0% |
| Forward P/E | 15.2x | 6.2x | 8.3x | 13.9x |
| Total Debt | $4.16B | $2.29B | $8.31B | $2.86B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $71M | $325M | $68M | $671M |
LW vs NOMD vs CAG vs HRL — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lamb Weston Holding… (LW) | 100 | 69.9 | -30.1% |
| Nomad Foods Limited (NOMD) | 100 | 44.6 | -55.4% |
| Conagra Brands, Inc. (CAG) | 100 | 40.6 | -59.4% |
| Hormel Foods Corpor… (HRL) | 100 | 41.8 | -58.2% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: LW vs NOMD vs CAG vs HRL
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
LW carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 0.8%, EPS growth 0.0%, 3Y rev CAGR 16.3%
- 52.8% 10Y total return vs NOMD's 31.8%
- 6.9% margin vs CAG's 0.1%
- -15.4% vs NOMD's -47.9%
NOMD is the clearest fit if your priority is value.
- Lower P/E (6.2x vs 13.9x)
CAG is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if income & stability and defensive is your priority.
- Dividend streak 6 yrs, beta 0.07, yield 9.9%
- Beta 0.07, yield 9.9%, current ratio 0.71x
- Beta 0.07 vs LW's 0.69, lower leverage
- 9.9% yield, 6-year raise streak, vs HRL's 5.6%
HRL is the clearest fit if your priority is sleep-well-at-night.
- Lower volatility, beta 0.15, Low D/E 36.1%, current ratio 2.47x
- 1.6% revenue growth vs CAG's -4.8%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 1.6% revenue growth vs CAG's -4.8% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (6.2x vs 13.9x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 6.9% margin vs CAG's 0.1% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.07 vs LW's 0.69, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 9.9% yield, 6-year raise streak, vs HRL's 5.6% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | -15.4% vs NOMD's -47.9% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 6.2% ROA vs CAG's 0.1%, ROIC 8.6% vs 6.0% |
LW vs NOMD vs CAG vs HRL — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Segment breakdown not available.
LW vs NOMD vs CAG vs HRL — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 4 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
LW leads in 2 of 6 categories
NOMD leads 1 • CAG leads 0 • HRL leads 0 • 3 tied
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
Evenly matched — LW and HRL each lead in 2 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
HRL is the larger business by revenue, generating $12.1B annually — 4.0x NOMD's $3.0B. LW is the more profitable business, keeping 6.9% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to CAG's 0.1%. On growth, HRL holds the edge at +1.3% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $6.5B | $3.0B | $11.2B | $12.1B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $1.2B | $429M | $1.9B | $932M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $450M | $133M | $13M | $489M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $845M | $227M | $634M | $578M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +22.2% | +26.6% | +24.6% | +15.5% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +11.9% | +10.6% | +13.1% | +6.0% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +6.9% | +4.4% | +0.1% | +4.0% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +12.9% | +7.6% | +5.7% | +4.8% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +0.3% | -4.4% | -6.8% | +1.3% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -47.7% | 0.0% | -3.4% | +6.5% |
Valuation Metrics
NOMD leads this category, winning 5 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 5.9x trailing earnings, CAG trades at a 75% valuation discount to HRL's 23.5x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), CAG offers better value at 0.84x vs LW's 189.58x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $5.8B | $1.3B | $6.8B | $11.2B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $9.9B | $3.6B | $15.0B | $13.4B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 16.80x | 8.84x | 5.86x | 23.48x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 15.20x | 6.23x | 8.31x | 13.92x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 189.58x | — | 0.84x | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 9.25x | 7.15x | 8.55x | 13.66x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.90x | 0.38x | 0.58x | 0.93x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 3.45x | 0.48x | 0.76x | 1.42x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 25.36x | 4.53x | 5.19x | 21.03x |
Profitability & Efficiency
LW leads this category, winning 4 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
LW delivers a 25.1% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $25 in annual profit, vs $0 for CAG. HRL carries lower financial leverage with a 0.36x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to LW's 2.39x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), CAG scores 6/9 vs NOMD's 4/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +25.1% | +5.3% | +0.2% | +4.3% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +6.2% | +2.1% | +0.1% | +3.7% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +8.6% | +5.5% | +6.0% | +5.3% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +11.2% | +6.2% | +8.2% | +6.0% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 2.39x | 0.92x | 0.93x | 0.36x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $4.1B | $2.0B | $8.2B | $2.2B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $71M | $325M | $68M | $671M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $4.2B | $2.3B | $8.3B | $2.9B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 4.33x | 2.64x | 1.56x | 6.44x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
LW leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in LW five years ago would be worth $6,117 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $3,794 for NOMD. Over the past 12 months, LW leads with a -15.4% total return vs NOMD's -47.9%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors HRL at -16.3% vs LW's -25.6% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +1.1% | -21.0% | -14.3% | -10.2% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -15.4% | -47.9% | -33.1% | -26.5% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -58.8% | -43.8% | -51.4% | -41.3% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -38.8% | -62.1% | -45.4% | -45.5% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +52.8% | +31.8% | -28.5% | -24.7% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -25.6% | -17.5% | -21.4% | -16.3% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — CAG and HRL each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
CAG is the less volatile stock with a 0.07 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than LW's 0.69 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. HRL currently trades 64.1% from its 52-week high vs NOMD's 48.2% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.69x | 0.08x | 0.07x | 0.15x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $67.07 | $19.60 | $23.47 | $31.86 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $37.64 | $9.17 | $13.61 | $20.32 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +62.6% | +48.2% | +60.2% | +64.1% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 49.2 | 58.3 | 42.5 | 40.2 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 2.2M | 1.4M | 14.0M | 4.1M |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — CAG and HRL each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: LW as "Hold", NOMD as "Buy", CAG as "Hold", HRL as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 43.0% upside for NOMD (target: $14) vs 18.1% for LW (target: $50). For income investors, CAG offers the higher dividend yield at 9.91% vs LW's 3.45%.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Buy | Hold | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $49.60 | $13.50 | $17.55 | $27.25 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 17 | 13 | 25 | 29 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +3.5% | +7.6% | +9.9% | +5.6% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 7 | 2 | 6 | 34 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $1.45 | $0.61 | $1.40 | $1.15 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +5.0% | +17.7% | +0.9% | 0.0% |
LW leads in 2 of 6 categories (Profitability & Efficiency, Total Returns). NOMD leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics). 3 tied.
LW vs NOMD vs CAG vs HRL: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is LW or NOMD or CAG or HRL a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Hormel Foods Corporation (HRL) is the stronger pick with 1.
6% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -2. 2% for Nomad Foods Limited (NOMD). Conagra Brands, Inc. (CAG) offers the better valuation at 5. 9x trailing P/E (8. 3x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Nomad Foods Limited (NOMD) a "Buy" — based on 13 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — LW or NOMD or CAG or HRL?
On trailing P/E, Conagra Brands, Inc.
(CAG) is the cheapest at 5. 9x versus Hormel Foods Corporation at 23. 5x. On forward P/E, Nomad Foods Limited is actually cheaper at 6. 2x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Conagra Brands, Inc. wins at 1. 19x versus Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. 's 189. 58x — a reasonable growth-adjusted valuation.
03Which is the better long-term investment — LW or NOMD or CAG or HRL?
Over the past 5 years, Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc.
(LW) delivered a total return of -38. 8%, compared to -62. 1% for Nomad Foods Limited (NOMD). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: LW returned +52. 8% versus CAG's -28. 5%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — LW or NOMD or CAG or HRL?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Conagra Brands, Inc.
(CAG) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 07β versus Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. 's 0. 69β — meaning LW is approximately 965% more volatile than CAG relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Hormel Foods Corporation (HRL) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 36% versus 2% for Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — LW or NOMD or CAG or HRL?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Hormel Foods Corporation (HRL) is pulling ahead at 1.
6% versus -2. 2% for Nomad Foods Limited (NOMD). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. grew EPS 0. 0% year-over-year, compared to -40. 8% for Hormel Foods Corporation. Over a 3-year CAGR, LW leads at 16. 3% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — LW or NOMD or CAG or HRL?
Conagra Brands, Inc.
(CAG) is the more profitable company, earning 9. 9% net margin versus 4. 0% for Hormel Foods Corporation — meaning it keeps 9. 9% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: CAG leads at 11. 8% versus 5. 9% for HRL. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — NOMD leads at 27. 1%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is LW or NOMD or CAG or HRL more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Conagra Brands, Inc. (CAG) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 1. 19x versus Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. 's 189. 58x. A PEG below 1. 5 suggests fair-to-attractive pricing relative to expected growth. On forward earnings alone, Nomad Foods Limited (NOMD) trades at 6. 2x forward P/E versus 15. 2x for Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. — 9. 0x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for NOMD: 43. 0% to $13. 50.
08Which pays a better dividend — LW or NOMD or CAG or HRL?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Conagra Brands, Inc. (CAG) offers the highest yield at 9. 9%, versus 3. 5% for Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. (LW).
09Is LW or NOMD or CAG or HRL better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Nomad Foods Limited (NOMD) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
08), 7. 6% yield). Both have compounded well over 10 years (NOMD: +31. 8%, LW: +52. 8%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between LW and NOMD and CAG and HRL?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Defensive sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: LW is a small-cap deep-value stock; NOMD is a small-cap deep-value stock; CAG is a small-cap deep-value stock; HRL is a mid-cap income-oriented stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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