Insurance - Specialty
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MBI vs RDN
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Insurance - Specialty
MBI vs RDN — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Insurance - Specialty | Insurance - Specialty |
| Market Cap | $325M | $5.13B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $90M | $1.25B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-155M | $583M |
| Gross Margin | 16.7% | 92.3% |
| Operating Margin | -177.8% | 61.2% |
| Forward P/E | — | 7.6x |
| Total Debt | $2.84B | $1.13B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $69M | $25M |
MBI vs RDN — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| MBIA Inc. (MBI) | 100 | 90.3 | -9.7% |
| Radian Group Inc. (RDN) | 100 | 236.9 | +136.9% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: MBI vs RDN
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
MBI is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure.
- Rev growth 90.5%, EPS growth 61.9%, 3Y rev CAGR -19.6%
- 90.5% revenue growth vs RDN's -3.4%
- Better valuation composite
RDN carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and long-term compounding.
- Dividend streak 11 yrs, beta 0.37, yield 2.8%
- 250.2% 10Y total return vs MBI's 197.3%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.37, Low D/E 23.7%, current ratio 4.28x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 90.5% revenue growth vs RDN's -3.4% | |
| Value | Better valuation composite | |
| Quality / Margins | Combined ratio 0.4 vs MBI's 3.3 (lower = better underwriting) | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.37 vs MBI's 0.81 | |
| Dividends | 2.8% yield; 11-year raise streak; the other pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +37.7% vs RDN's +14.3% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 6.7% ROA vs MBI's -7.6%, ROIC 8.9% vs -16.9% |
MBI vs RDN — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
MBI vs RDN — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
Evenly matched — MBI and RDN each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
RDN is the larger business by revenue, generating $1.2B annually — 13.9x MBI's $90M. RDN is the more profitable business, keeping 46.7% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to MBI's -172.2%. On growth, MBI holds the edge at +71.4% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $90M | $1.2B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$13M | $807M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$155M | $583M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $48M | $116M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +16.7% | +92.3% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -177.8% | +61.2% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -172.2% | +46.7% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +53.3% | +9.3% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +71.4% | -5.0% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +38.3% | +17.3% |
Valuation Metrics
MBI leads this category, winning 3 of 4 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
On an enterprise value basis, RDN's 7.7x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than MBI's 193.7x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $325M | $5.1B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $3.1B | $6.2B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -1.78x | 9.09x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | 7.63x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 0.58x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 193.72x | 7.73x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 4.07x | 4.11x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | — | 1.09x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 8.56x | 15.23x |
Profitability & Efficiency
RDN leads this category, winning 6 of 7 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), MBI scores 7/9 vs RDN's 5/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | — | +12.6% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -7.6% | +6.7% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -16.9% | +8.9% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -9.4% | +10.2% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 7 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | — | 0.24x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $2.8B | $1.1B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $69M | $25M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $2.8B | $1.1B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 0.11x | 12.64x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
MBI leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in MBI five years ago would be worth $22,525 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $17,795 for RDN. Over the past 12 months, MBI leads with a +37.7% total return vs RDN's +14.3%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors MBI at 33.3% vs RDN's 17.7% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -7.7% | +5.4% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +37.7% | +14.3% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +136.7% | +63.2% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +125.3% | +77.9% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +197.3% | +250.2% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +33.3% | +17.7% |
Risk & Volatility
RDN leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
RDN is the less volatile stock with a 0.37 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than MBI's 0.81 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. RDN currently trades 96.9% from its 52-week high vs MBI's 77.4% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.81x | 0.37x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $8.26 | $38.84 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $4.11 | $31.50 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +77.4% | +96.9% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 54.9 | 57.0 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 309K | 1.2M |
Analyst Outlook
RDN leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates MBI as "Buy" and RDN as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 119.1% upside for MBI (target: $14) vs 6.3% for RDN (target: $40). RDN is the only dividend payer here at 2.80% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $14.00 | $40.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 6 | 22 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +2.8% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 1 | 11 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $1.06 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +2.2% | +8.4% |
RDN leads in 3 of 6 categories (Profitability & Efficiency, Risk & Volatility). MBI leads in 2 (Valuation Metrics, Total Returns). 1 tied.
MBI vs RDN: Frequently Asked Questions
9 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is MBI or RDN a better buy right now?
For growth investors, MBIA Inc.
(MBI) is the stronger pick with 90. 5% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -3. 4% for Radian Group Inc. (RDN). Radian Group Inc. (RDN) offers the better valuation at 9. 1x trailing P/E (7. 6x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate MBIA Inc. (MBI) a "Buy" — based on 6 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — MBI or RDN?
Over the past 5 years, MBIA Inc.
(MBI) delivered a total return of +125. 3%, compared to +77. 9% for Radian Group Inc. (RDN). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: RDN returned +250. 2% versus MBI's +197. 3%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — MBI or RDN?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Radian Group Inc.
(RDN) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 37β versus MBIA Inc. 's 0. 81β — meaning MBI is approximately 118% more volatile than RDN relative to the S&P 500.
04Which is growing faster — MBI or RDN?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), MBIA Inc.
(MBI) is pulling ahead at 90. 5% versus -3. 4% for Radian Group Inc. (RDN). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: MBIA Inc. grew EPS 61. 9% year-over-year, compared to 5. 6% for Radian Group Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, RDN leads at 1. 6% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — MBI or RDN?
Radian Group Inc.
(RDN) is the more profitable company, earning 46. 7% net margin versus -221. 3% for MBIA Inc. — meaning it keeps 46. 7% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: RDN leads at 61. 2% versus -226. 3% for MBI. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — RDN leads at 92. 3%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Is MBI or RDN more undervalued right now?
Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for MBI: 119.
1% to $14. 00.
07Which pays a better dividend — MBI or RDN?
In this comparison, RDN (2.
8% yield) pays a dividend. MBI does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
08Is MBI or RDN better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Radian Group Inc.
(RDN) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 37), 2. 8% yield, +250. 2% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (RDN: +250. 2%, MBI: +197. 3%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
09What are the main differences between MBI and RDN?
Both stocks operate in the Financial Services sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: MBI is a small-cap high-growth stock; RDN is a small-cap deep-value stock. RDN pays a dividend while MBI does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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